"It is far better to foresee even without certainty than not to foresee at all. "

~Henri Poincaré

You've arrived at the website of Nicholas D. Lybarger (though I prefer Nick).

I am a Postdoctoral Researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, CO, in the Research Applications Laboratory (RAL) Joint Numerical Testbed (JNT). I am currently working with a group interrogating the current generations of physics suites in the Unified Forecast System (UFS) framework. Particularly, I am investigating the track error seen in this system for Hurricane Barry, which hit the Louisiana coast in July 2019, and utilizing this storm as a way of identifying ways to improve these physics suites for ongoing development for UFS.

I hold a PhD in Climate Dynamics from George Mason University, where I worked with Prof. Cristiana Stan on my dissertation, for which I developed a statistical model relating the Madden-Julian Oscillation to El Niño development via wind-affected Kelvin wave activity in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Based on this work I published two original research articles as first author.

Through this work I have acquired an understanding of the physical processes of the climate system, strong written and oral communication skills, and a working knowledge of various analytical methods and scientific coding languages, including NCL, MatLab, Python, FOTRAN, and GrADS.


Nicholas D. Lybarger3090 Center Green DriveFL3-1053Boulder, CO 80301

nlybarger@ucar.edu