Nayeli Salgado
Nayeli Salgado
PUBLISHED PAPERS
The economic impact of immigration enforcement, Applied Geography, Q1 (Download)
with Roxana Gutiérrez
This paper evaluates the impact of the pandemic and enforcement at the US and Mexican borders on the emigration of Guatemalans during 2017–2020. During this period, the number of crossings from Guatemala fell by 10%, according to the Survey of Migration to the Southern Border of Mexico. Yet, there was a rise of nearly 30% in the number of emigration crossings of male adults travelling with their children. This new trend was partly driven by the recent reduction in the number of children deported from the US. For a one-point reduction in the number of children deported from the US to Guatemalan municipalities, there was an increase of nearly 14 in the number of crossings made by adult males leaving from Guatemala for Mexico; and nearly 0.5 additional crossings made by male adults travelling with their children. However, the surge of emigrants travelling with their children was also driven by the acute economic shock that Guatemala experienced during the pandemic. During this period, air pollution in the analysed Guatemalan municipalities fell by 4%, night light per capita fell by 15%, and homicide rates fell by 40%. Unlike in previous years, emigrants are fleeing poverty rather than violence. Our findings suggest that a reduction in violence alone will not be sufficient to reduce emigration flows from Central America, but that economic recovery is needed.
WORKING PAPERS
Public good or public bad? Indigenous institutions and the demand for public goods (Download)
R&R Journal of Development Economics
with Aldo Elizalde, Eduardo Hidalgo and Sotiris Kampanelis
This paper argues that the underprovision of public goods can be partly explained by lower demand from Indigenous groups with high preferences for Indigenous identity and a high capacity for coordination. Examining the postMexican Revolution period (1920s-1950s), when the state used the first road network for nation-building, our diff-in-diff analysis shows that pre-colonial political centralisation is associated with less road infrastructure. This is attributed to stronger capacity for collective action and stronger Indigenous identity preferences. Finally, we show that poor road infrastructure today is linked to lower economic performance
BOOKCHAPTERS
Die Entwicklung der sozioökonomischen Bedingungen für die mexikanische Bevölkerung: jüngste Perspektiven*
with Ricardo Aparicio
In Das politische System Mexikos, Springer, 2015. Available in German and Spanish.
La pobreza rural en México. Perspectivas de política pública*
with David Escamilla-Guerrero and Ricardo Aparicio
In El agro y las áreas rurales en el México del siglo XXI, UNAM, 2014. Available in Spanish only.
Pobreza en la población y los municipios indígenas de México, 2010. Una breve revisión según familia lingüística*
with Ricardo Aparicio
In Hitos Demográficos del Siglo XXI: Población Indígena., UAEM, 2014. Available in Spanish only.
Medición de la pobreza en México*
with Gonzalo Hernández-Licona, Ricardo Aparicio and Carlos Mora
In Pobreza y desigualdad social. Retos para la reconfiguración de la política social, UNAM, 2012. Available in Spanish only.
WORK IN PROGRESS
The impact of transport infrastructure