Research

Working Papers

Searching for Job and Marriage: Household Formation, Fertility Shock, and Gender Gaps in Employment

 (Job Market Paper)

This paper develops a random search model incorporating marriage decisions, fertility shocks, and human capital accumulation to examine the mechanisms underlying wage and employment differences between men and women over their life-cycles. The model assumes that men and women are mostly identical, with women bearing child-rearing responsibilities in a gender-heterogeneous labor market. When single, workers search for jobs and marriage partners individually; when married, they search for jobs jointly as a household. The household search and exogenous fertility shocks are the primary factors contributing to the life-cycle employment patterns observed in the NLSY97 data. Child-rearing responsibilities amount to approximately 39.83 hours per week, a significant portion of the 80 hours available to each worker, leading to a decline in women's employment rates and full-time working status. Initial gender wage gaps stem from gender-specific wage offer distributions, with human capital accumulation as the main factor widening these gaps over time. Counterfactual policy experiments indicate that a gender-neutral hiring process could eliminate wage gaps, while 10 hours of government-funded childcare services per week could eliminate employment differences. 

Taste-Based Discrimination against Sexual Orientation: An Equilibrium Search Model with Bargaining and Private Information

This paper evaluates the effect of prejudice sentiments on the wages of homosexual relative to heterosexual men. I propose a random search model with taste-based prejudice, bargaining, and migration. In particular, since sexual orientation is unobservable, the wage is determined by bargaining with one-sided private information. The estimates show that prejudice is crucial in predicting the empirical earnings and employment patterns. Although homosexual workers have higher conditional mean productivity, they earn only 80% to 90% of their productivity value due to prejudice. The monetary loss amounts to 3.99 to 12.88 dollars per hour on average under different model specifications. Finally, a tax of 0.09 to 0.3 dollars per hour of work on heterosexual men is sufficient to compensate for the loss.

Just Run Sweepstakes—Designing Prediction Markets to Counter Manipulation (with Joseph Tao-yi Wang)

We run the same prediction market with potential manipulation under four different incentive schemes: Real money, play money, contests and lotteries based on points earned. We find all markets work well when there is no manipulation, and bystanders adjust their forecasts according to evolving market price and excess bids/asks. However, when there is manipulation, forecasters rely more on evolving market price, but less on excess bids/asks (since manipulators can easily tamper them). Nonetheless, manipulators successfully mislead market prices under play money and contests because other traders have little incentives to react. In contrast, real money and lotteries provide incentive for arbitragers to counter manipulation, helping market prices (and forecasts) to aggregate information. This suggests using lotteries as legal alternatives to real money prediction markets.

Work in Progress

Race and Wage Dynamics: Asians in the US Labor Market

Understanding Consumer's Intentions and Acceptance of Voice Assistants on Smartphones: An Empirical Study in Taiwan (with Hong-Teng Liao)