Publications 

International Journal

• Honda, H., Kagawa, R., & Shirasuna, M. (2024). The nature of anchor-biased estimates and its application to the wisdom of crowds. Cognition, 246, 105758. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2024.105758  

• Shirasuna, M., Honda, H. (2023). Can individual subjective confidence in training questions predict group performance in test questions?. PLOS ONE. 18(3): e0280984. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280984 [Kudos]

• Honda, H., Kagawa, R., & Shirasuna, M. (2022). On the round number bias and wisdom of crowds in different response formats for numerical estimation. Scientific Reports. 12, 8617. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-11900-7 

• Shirasuna, M., Honda, H., Matsuka, T., & Ueda, K. (2020). Familiarity-matching: An ecologically rational heuristic for the relationships-comparison task. Cognitive Science. 44(2), e12806. https://doi.org/10.1111/cogs.12806 [Kudos]

• Honda, H., Shirasuna, M., Matsuka, T., & Ueda, K. (2018). Do people explicitly make a frame choice based on the reference point? Frontiers in Psychology, 9, 2552. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.02552

Japanese Journal

• Shirasuna, M., & Kosaka, K. (2024). Judgments under uncertainty in a buzzer quiz: A case study based on behavioral data in a quiz competition. Cognitive Studies: Bulletin of the Japanese Cognitive Science Society. 31(2), 352-361. 

• Shirasuna, M., Honda, H., Matsuka, T., & Ueda, K. (2022). Rationality that is speculated from the history of heuristic studies: Investigations of human intelligence through interactions between cognition and environment. Cognitive Studies: Bulletin of the Japanese Cognitive Science Society. 29(3), 404-414. https://doi.org/10.11225/cs.2022.028 

• Shirasuna, M., Matsuka, T., Honda, H., & Ueda, K. (2017) Familiarity-Matching: Experimental Study on Cognitive Processes and Ecological Rationality. Cognitive Studies: Bulletin of the Japanese Cognitive Science Society, 24(3), 328-343. https://doi.org/10.11225/jcss.24.328 

Preprint

• Shirasuna, M. (2024). The evidence accumulation-based framework to explain human cognitive processes for considering quiz questions: A pilot study in Japan. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/8q9u3  

• Shirasuna, M., Kagawa, R., & Honda, H. (2024). "Wait Short Time" as a Simple and Resource-rational Boost: Theoretical and Empirical Approaches in the Contexts of Speed-accuracy Trade-off. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4284750/v1  

• Shirasuna, M., & Kosaka, K. (2023). Judgments under uncertainty in a buzzer quiz: A case study based on behavioral data in a quiz competition. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/tghax (Japanese manuscript)

• Honda, H., Kagawa, R., & Shirasuna, M. (2023). The nature of anchor-biased estimates and its application to the wisdom of crowds. PsyArXiv. https://psyarxiv.com/9yv5q/  

• Shirasuna, M., Kagawa, R., & Honda, H. (2023). "One-second wait": A simple and effective intervention to boost judgment accuracy. PsyArXiv. https://psyarxiv.com/fd8u9/

• Shirasuna, M., & Honda, H. (2022). Can individual subjective confidence in prior questions predict group performance in future questions? PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/fpw6m 

• Kagawa, R., Shirasuna, M., Ikeda, A., Sanuki, M., Honda, H., & Nosato, H. (2022). One-second Boosting: A Simple and Cost-effective Intervention for Data Annotation in Machine Learning. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/ctqgd

• Shirasuna, M., & Honda, H. (2021). Do low-confidence individuals decrease group judgments’ accuracy? Investigations in terms of the wisdom of crowds framework. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/xnk4p

Other papers

• Shirasuna, M. (2021). Is the heuristic applicable? ~Examinations of the adaptive toolbox framework in terms of the accuracy and applicability in a new task structure~. de Finetti Award (The European Association for Decision Making). ※ paper submitted

Thesis (English)

• [Ph D. thesis] Shirasuna, M. (2021). The adaptive use of heuristics: Investigations of human inferential strategies in a new task structure. (The University of Tokyo) [UTokyo Repository]

• [Master thesis] Shirasuna, M. (2018). Familiarity-matching ~inferences based on familiarity and investigations of inference processes using statistical model. (The University of Tokyo)

International conference (with referred proceedings)

• Shirasuna, M., Kagawa, R., & Honda, H. (accepted). Cognitive Load In Speed-Accuracy Tradeoff: Theoretical and Empirical Evidence Based on Resource-Rational Analyses. In L. K. Samuelson, S. L. Frank, M. Toneva, A. Mackey, & E. Hazeltine (Eds.), Proceedings of the 46th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 5115-5121). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

• Honda, H., Shirasuna, M., Kawaguchi, J., Matsuka, T., & Ueda, K. (accepted). On the ecologically rational inference and memory-based judgment errors. In L. K. Samuelson, S. L. Frank, M. Toneva, A. Mackey, & E. Hazeltine (Eds.), Proceedings of the 46th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (p. 6162; accepted for 6-page paper, but we chose to publish only abstracts) Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

• Shirasuna, M., Kagawa, R., & Honda, H. (2023). A one-second wait improves judgment accuracy: A mouse tracking reveals cognitive processes during choice behaviors. In M. Goldwater, F. K. Anggoro, B. K. Hayes, & D. C. Ong (Eds.), Proceedings of the 45th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (p. 3672; accepted for 6-page paper, but we chose to publish only abstracts). Cognitive Science Society.   

• Kagawa, R., Shirasuna, M., Ikeda, A., Sanuki, M., Honda, H., & Nosato, H. (2022). A simple and cost-effective intervention that promotes the optimal allocation of cognitive resources. Proceedings of the 44th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (p. 3723; accepted for 6-page paper, but we chose to publish only abstracts). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society. 

• Shirasuna, M., Honda, H., & Ueda, K. (2019). Can a forward posture enhance willingness to change one’s own attitude in decision making? ~Nudging with embodied cognition approach~. In A. Goel, C. Seifert, & C. Freksa (Eds.), Proceedings of the 41st Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (p. 3361; accepted for 6-page paper, but we chose to publish only abstracts). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

• Honda, H., Shirasuna, M. (presenting author), Matsuka, T., & Ueda, K. (2018). Speakers’ choice of frame based on reference point: With explicit reason or affected by irrelevant prime? In T.T. Rogers, M. Rau, X. Zhu, & C. W. Kalish (Eds.), Proceedings of the 40th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 1806-1811). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

• Shirasuna, M., Honda, H., Matsuka, T., & Ueda, K. (2017). Familiarity-matching in decision making: Experimental studies on cognitive processes and analyses of its ecological rationality. In G. Gunzelmann, A. Howes, T. Tenbrink, & E. J. Davelaar (Eds.), Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 3143-3148). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

International conference presentation

• Shirasuna, M., Kagawa, R., & Honda, H. (accepted). Cognitive Load In Speed-Accuracy Tradeoff: Theoretical and Empirical Evidence Based on Resource-Rational Analyses. Poster presented at the 46th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society,  in Rotterdam, South Holland, Netherlands (and in Virtual). 

• Honda, H., Shirasuna, M., Kawaguchi, J., Matsuka, K., & Ueda, K. (accepted). On the ecologically rational inference and memory-based judgment errors. Poster presented at the 46th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society,  in Rotterdam, South Holland, Netherlands (and in Virtual). 

• Shirasuna, M., Kagawa, R., & Honda, H. (2023). One-second wait: boosting to improve workers’ accuracy with less their workload. Oral presented at 1er Colloque international à distance NUDGES et ÉDUCATIO, in virtual (Nudgelabeducation, in Cergy, France). [link] 

• Honda, H., Kagawa, R., & Shirasuna, M. (2023). Nudging or boosting group: utilizing anchoring effects for enhancing wisdom of crowds. Oral presented at 1er Colloque international à distance NUDGES et ÉDUCATIO, in virtual (Nudgelabeducation, in Cergy, France). [link] 

• Shirasuna, M., Kagawa, R., & Honda, H. (2023). A one-second wait improves judgment accuracy: A mouse tracking reveals cognitive processes during choice behaviors. Poster presented at the 45th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, in Sydney, Australia (and in Virtual).

• Honda, H., Kagawa, R., & Shirasuna, M. (2023). Effective utilization of anchor-biased estimates for the wisdom of crowds. Poster presented at the 45th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, in Sydney, Australia (and in Virtual).

• Shirasuna, M., Kagawa, R. (presenting author), & Honda, H. (2022). Waiting for one second improves accuracy: Experimental examinations based on mouse trajectories during binary choice tasks. Poster presented at the 43rd Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, in San Diego, CA. 

• Honda, H., Kagawa, R. (presenting author), & Shirasuna, M. (2022). Utilization of anchoring bias for wisdom of crowds. Poster presented at the 43rd Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, in San Diego, CA. 

• Kagawa, R., Shirasuna, M., Ikeda, A., Sanuki, M., Honda, H., & Nosato, H. (2022). A simple and cost-effective intervention that promotes the optimal allocation of cognitive resources. Poster presented at the 44th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, in Toronto, Canada (and in Virtual).

• Shirasuna, M., & Honda, H. (2022). How do individuals’ confidence about their judgments affect group judgments? Medium-level confidence will decrease accuracy. Poster presented at the 42nd Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making.

• Honda, H., Kagawa, R., & Shirasuna, M. (2022). Response format in numerical estimations and the wisdom of crowds. Poster presented at the 42nd Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making.

• Shirasuna, M., Honda, H., & Ueda, K. (2019). Can a forward posture enhance willingness to change one’s own attitude in decision making? ~Nudging with embodied cognition approach~. Poster presented at the 41st Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, in Montreal, Canada.

• Honda, H., Shirasuna, M. (presenting author), Matsuka, T., & Ueda, K. (2018). Speakers’ choice of frame based on reference point: With explicit reason or affected by irrelevant prime? Poster presented at the 40th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, in Madison, WI.

• Shirasuna, M., Honda, H., Matsuka, T., & Ueda, K. (2017). Familiarity-matching in decision making: Experimental studies on cognitive processes and analyses of its ecological rationality. Poster presented at the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, in London, England.