Families-Inequality-Polarization
New version of The Shadow of Polarization is Long: Trust in the Government and Independent Institutions after 142 Government Changes submitted.
Working paper out: Fathers’ Time-Use while on Paternity Leave: Childcare or Leisure? .
I am an applied microeconomist and data scientist. I work on family and labor economics and political economy. I wrote my dissertation at Duke (2021), and I work as an Assistant Professor at the University of Barcelona Department of Econometrics and Statistics. Before that, I worked at the Bank of Spain.
My CV (Link)
My job market paper Partisan Abortions :
Abstract: We study the effect of unexpected government changes on family outcomes. Using administrative data, we follow a diff-in-diff strategy to show that, after a surprise loss by the party in power in Spain in 2004, municipalities supporting this party experienced a sharp increase in abortions, as well as a decrease in pregnancies, shotgun marriages, and total marriages. We also find a sharp effect on economic expectations, a plausible channel for the impact on fertility.
Now accepted at Journal of Population Economics
Recently published
Economic expectations under the shadow of party polarization European Economic Review, 2024, p. 104910.
Family and career: an analysis across Europe and North America Fiscal Studies 45.2 (2024): 243-257. (with Laura Hospido and Andrea Weber)
Current projects
Fathers’ Time-Use while on Paternity Leave: Childcare or Leisure? (WP) (with Libertad González and Laura Hospido)
Employers' response to paternity leave (with Libertad González)
Click here for a detailed account of my research.
Research interests:
Fertility and family choices.
Policies, such as parental leave.
Inequality, especially gender gaps.
The effect of political polarization on economic expectations and trust.
See a wordy summary here.
Contact information: luism.guirola@gmail.com / luism.guirola@ub.edu
Twitter / Linkedin / Google Scholar / Github/ Bank of Spain webpage