Families-Inequality-Polarization
Working paper out: Fathers’ Time-Use while on Paternity Leave: Childcare or Leisure? .
My paper "Economic expectations under the shadow of party polarization" was published at European Economic Review!
I am an applied microeconomist and data scientist. I work on family and labor economics and political economy. I wrote my dissertation at Duke (2021), and I currently work at the Bank of Spain.
My CV (Link)
My job market paper Partisan Abortions :
Abstract: We study the effect of unexpected government changes on family outcomes. Using administrative data, we follow a diff-in-diff strategy to show that, after a surprise loss by the party in power in Spain in 2004, municipalities supporting this party experienced a sharp increase in abortions, as well as a decrease in pregnancies, shotgun marriages, and total marriages. We also find a sharp effect on economic expectations, a plausible channel for the impact on fertility.
Recently published
Economic expectations under the shadow of party polarization European Economic Review, 2024, p. 104910.
Family and career: an analysis across Europe and North America Fiscal Studies 45.2 (2024): 243-257. (with Laura Hospido and Andrea Weber)
Current projects
Fathers’ Time-Use while on Paternity Leave: Childcare or Leisure? (WP) (with Libertad González and Laura Hospido)
Employers' response to paternity leave (with Libertad González)
Click here for a detailed account of my research.
Research interests:
Fertility and family choices.
Policies, such as parental leave.
Inequality, especially gender gaps.
The effect of political polarization on economic expectations and trust.
See a wordy summary here.
Contact information: luism.guirola@gmail.com / luis.guirola@bde.es
Twitter / Linkedin / Google Scholar / Github/ Bank of Spain webpage