Trade Liberalisation and Pollution Haven Hypothesis: An Ex-Post Analysis of ChAFTA’s Effects
Abstract: This paper investigates the greenhouse gas emissions embodied in trade between Australia and China (1995–2020). Using a dual gravity framework, I disentangle scale, technique, and composition effects. Results suggest that trade liberalisation amplified emissions through scale effects and resource specialisation, rather than through the relocation of "dirty" industries (Pollution Haven Hypothesis).
(Draft available upon request)
Foreign Demand and Energy Intensity: Firm-level Evidence from Vietnam during the US–China Trade War
Abstract: This study examines how the 2018–2019 US–China trade war, acting as a foreign demand shock, affected firm-level energy intensity in Vietnam. Using Vietnam Enterprise Survey data (2012–2022) and a difference-in-differences approach, I find that export opportunities led to a significant scale effect without corresponding efficiency improvements. The analysis highlights the impact of trade shocks on industrial energy use in developing economies.
A multi-criteria assessment of industrial zones’ attractiveness scores in Vietnam
(with Nguyen Duc Thanh, Le Huong Linh)
Operations and Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, volume 14, pages 387–398, 2021.
Abstract: Since the first industrial zones (IZ) was established more than two decades ago, the number of IZs in Viet Nam has mushroomed to meet the demand of national industrial development. However, it is challenging for enterprises, IZs’ infrastructure developers, policy-makers and other users to assess the competence of IZs for their location decisions due to the substantial number of IZs, the insufficiency of information of IZs, the lack of suitable and reliable ranking methods and the absence of a ready-made ranking of all IZs in Viet Nam. Thus, there is an urgent need to identify precisely the ‘attractiveness’ level of the existing IZs based on their own characteristics or in other words, to make a ranking of IZs nationwide. Toward this purpose, this study applied the multi-criteria analysis method to rank the IZs in Viet Nam. This paper is the first ever to successfully conduct a ranking of IZs in Viet Nam with a database constructed at both macro and micro levels, including local economic environment, accessibility, infrastructure, and financial expenses. The ranking is expected to be a useful instrument for enterprises to choose their locations as well as for IZs’ infrastructure developers to measure the attractiveness levels of their IZs to develop better business plans. Moreover, it can be used as a basis for policy makers in IZs planning in a more reasonable and scientific manner.
ISSN: 1979-3561. DOI: http://doi.org/10.31387/oscm0460310
Environmental Impact Assessments of Trade Agreements: Towards a Systematic and Comprehensive Application
(with Ruben Dewitte, Simon Happersberger, Nidhi Nagabhatla, and Glenn Rayp)
T20 Brasil Policy Brief, 2024.
Link here
Environmental Impact Assessments in Trade Agreements
(with Ruben Dewitte, Simon Happersberger, Nidhi Nagabhatla, and Glenn Rayp)
Research Report Series 2404/1, UNU-CRIS, Bruges, 2024.
Abstract: This report examines the design and implementation of EIAs to understand their methodologies and effectiveness. It emphasizes the importance of aligning trade policies with sustainable development to support global sustainability goals. The study analyzes 124 EIAs, providing insights into their geographical and thematic scope and setting a benchmark for future assessments. It highlights the roles of international organizations and national governments in maintaining environmental standards. The findings are crucial for policymakers, environmental advocates, and trade negotiators, advocating for the integration of environmental considerations in trade agreements for a sustainable global trading system.
Draft: PDF
Viet Nam Productivity Report: Identifying Growth Challenges and Exploring a Way Forward.
(with Ohno Kenichi, Nguyen Duc Thanh, Pham The Anh, Pham Thi Huong)
Research report, GRIPS, Tokyo, 2020.
Draft: PDF