Unraveling Complexity: The 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics
By Hogan Wong
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By Hogan Wong
The Nobel Prize in Physics 2021 signified the increase in groundbreaking research into complex physical systems.
For that year, the Nobel Prize was divided into two parts: half was awarded jointly to Syukuro Manabe and Klaus Hasselmann for their work on the physical modeling of Earth's climate, and the other half was awarded to Giorgio Parisi for his discovery of the interplay of disorder and fluctuations in physical systems.
Manabe and Hasselmann are credited with foundational work in climate science. Their research set the stage for the development of models that predict how Earth's climate responds to increased levels of greenhouse gases.
Manabe's work in the 1960s laid the groundwork for modern climate modeling. He was one of the first scientists to simulate Earth's climate on a computer, focusing on how changes in carbon dioxide levels impact temperatures globally. Manabe's models demonstrated the greenhouse effect's role in Earth's warming, predicting the rise in global temperatures due to increasing atmospheric CO2 levels. Nowadays, these predictions and physical models are used by policy analysts to determine how to tackle climate change.
Hasselmann developed unique statistical methods to distinguish the human-induced changes in the climate system from the natural variability ("noise") of weather. In the 1970s and 1980s, Hasselmann created models that could identify the "signal" of global warming within the chaotic climate data, thereby confirming the human impact on global warming.
On the other hand, Parisi's contribution lies in the field of complex systems, particularly in understanding how disorder and fluctuations impact such systems. His work in the 1970s and 1980s provided insights into the statistical properties of spin glasses, which are disordered materials that exhibit magnetic properties.
Parisi devised mathematical techniques to describe how seemingly random or chaotic systems could be understood in a structured way. His discovery shed light on the hidden patterns and rules governing these systems, influencing areas beyond physics, including neuroscience, biology, and machine learning.
First and foremost, the work of Manabe and Hasselmann is crucial for understanding and predicting climate change, informing environmental policy and global climate agreements. The ability to accurately predict and understand the human impact on climate change is essential for informing public policy and raising awareness about environmental challenges.
Conversely, Parisi's work provides a framework for studying systems where disorder plays a critical role. This has implications for a wide range of academic fields, including material science/engineering, biology, and economics.
The 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics honors contributions that have significantly enhanced our understanding of complex systems, from the vast scales of climate to the intricate details of atomic interactions. This work not only deepens our scientific knowledge but also has profound implications for addressing some of the most pressing challenges of our time, particularly in the realm of climate change.
The achievements of Manabe, Hasselmann, and Parisi exemplify the power of scientific inquiry to unravel the complexities of the natural world and provide tools for future generations to navigate and understand the complexities of our universe.