Dräger, L., Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2025): Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Journal of International Economics, vol.153, 104029. [Journal Article][Working Paper][FAZ Press Article][Wirtschaftswoche][Handelsblatt][Oekonomenstimme]
Fuest, C., Gründler, K. Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2024): Read My Lips? Taxes and Elections, Journal of Public Economics, vol.236, 105149. [Journal Article][Working Paper] [Policy Paper] [FAS Press Article] [Nord News] [Helsinki Times]
Boumans, D., Gründler, K. , Potrafke, N., and Ruthardt, F. (2024): Political Leaders and Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence from a Global Survey Experiment, Journal of Public Economics, vol.235, 105149. [Journal Article][Working Paper] [EconPol][n-tv][Der Standard]
Borisova, E., Gründler, K., Hackenberger, A., Harter, A., Potrafke, N., Schors, K. (2023): Crisis Experience and the Deep Roots of COVID-19 Vaccination Preferences, European Economic Review, vol.160, 104607. [Journal Article][Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ)][tagesschau][Policy Paper]
Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2022): Should We Care (More) About Data Aggregation?, European Economic Review, vol.142, 104010. [Journal Article][Working Paper] [SVMDI Dataset]
Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2019): Corruption and Economic Growth: New Empirical Evidence, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.60, 101810 [Link to Journal] [Policy Paper] [Working Paper]
Blesse, S., Gründler, K., Heil, P. and Hermes, H. (2025): The Demand for Economic Narratives, CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP20759 (Revise & Resubmit, The Review of Economics and Statistics).
Dörr, L., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Tähtinen,T. (2025): Female Leaders and the Representation of Women in Government, CESifo Working Paper No.11851 (Reject & Resubmit, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy)
Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2020): Fiscal Institutions and Economic Growth, CESifo Working Paper No.8305 (Reject & Resubmit, Journal of Economic Growth) [Working Paper] [FAZ Article]
Blum, J. and Gründler, K. (2020): Political Stability and Economic Prosperity: Are Coups Bad for Growth?, CESifo Working Paper No.8317 (Reject & Resubmit, Journal of Applied Econometrics) [Working Paper] [Oekonomenstimme]
Gründler, K., Lamla, M., Potrafke, N. and Wochner, T. (2026): Experts as Intermediaries, CESifo Working Paper No.12492 .
Grewenig, E., Gründler, K., Lergetporer, P., Potrafke, N., Werner, K. and Zeidler, H. (2026): Expertise and Prediction Accuracy, CESifo Working Paper No.12522.
Dräger, L., Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2025): Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations, CESifo Working Paper No.11892.
Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2023): Aging, Retirement, and Aggregate Productivity, CESifo Working Paper No.10594.
Fuest, C., Gründler, K. Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2022): Tax Policies after Crises, Saïd Business School Center for Business Taxation, University of Oxford, Working Paper 2022-01. [FAZ Article]
Gründler, K. and Link, A. (2024): Ethnic Inequality and Economic Growth: Evidence from Harmonized Satellite Data, CESifo Working Paper No.11034.
Gründler, K. and Feichtmayer, J. (2021): Global Evidence on Misperceptions and Preferences for Redistribution, CESifo Working Paper No.9381 (submitted). [Working Paper]
"Attentiveness in Online Surveys" (with Andreas Ziegler)
"Electoral Voting at the Precint Level: Evidence from Germany's 400 Largest Cities" (with Luisa Dörr, Philipp Heil, Niklas Potrafke, and Marcel Schlepper) [Die ZEIT Article][Introducing the Local Election Lab (LOCEL)][Policy Paper]
Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., Schmid, R. and Sturm, J.-E. (2026): Globalization and Gender Equality, World Development, vol.197, 107183. [Journal Article][Working Paper]
Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Wochner, T. (2025): Outside Employment and Parliamentary Priorities, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, vol.237, 107185. [Journal Article][FAZ Press Article][Working Paper]
Dräger, L., Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2025): Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Journal of International Economics, vol.153, 104029. [Journal Article][Working Paper][FAZ Press Article][Wirtschaftswoche][Handelsblatt][Oekonomenstimme]
Fuest, C., Gründler, K. Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2024): Read My Lips? Taxes and Elections, Journal of Public Economics, vol.236, 105149. [Journal Article][Working Paper] [Policy Paper] [FAS Press Article] [Nord News] [Helsinki Times]
Boumans, D., Gründler, K. , Potrafke, N., and Ruthardt, F. (2024): Political Leaders and Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence from a Global Survey Experiment, Journal of Public Economics, vol.235, 105149. [Journal Article][Working Paper] [EconPol][n-tv][Der Standard]
Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Wochner, T. (2023): The Beauty Premium of Politicians in Office, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, vol.217, pp.298-311. [Wirtschaftswoche][n-tv][RTL][Augsburger Allgemeine][Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung (FAS)][Policy Paper][Link to Journal]
Borisova, E., Gründler, K., Hackenberger, A., Harter, A., Potrafke, N., Schors, K. (2023): Crisis Experience and the Deep Roots of COVID-19 Vaccination Preferences, European Economic Review, vol.160, 104607. [Journal Article][Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ)][tagesschau][Policy Paper]
Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2022): Should We Care (More) About Data Aggregation?, European Economic Review, vol.142, 104010. [Journal Article][Working Paper] [SVMDI Dataset]
Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2021): Using Machine Learning to Measure Democracy: A Practitioners Guide And a New Updated Dataset for 186 Countries from 1919 to 2019, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.70, 102047. [Journal Article][Working Paper]
Gründler, K. and Hillman, A. (2021): Ambiguous Protection, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.68, 102009. [Journal Article]
Gründler, K. and Köllner, S. (2020): Culture, Diversity, and the Welfare State, Journal of Comparative Economics, vol.48(4), pp.913-932. [Journal Article] [Working Paper]
Bachmann, O., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. und Seiberlich, R. (2019): Partisan Bias in Inflation Expectations, Public Choice, vol.186, pp.513-536. [Journal Article] [Working Paper] [ABC News]
Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2019): Corruption and Economic Growth: New Empirical Evidence, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.60, 101810 [Link to Journal] [Policy Paper] [Working Paper]
Gründler, K. (2019): The Vanishing Effect of Finance on Economic Development. Macroeconomic Dynamics, vol.25(2), pp.536-578. [Journal Article]
Gründler, K. and Sauerhammer, S. (2018): Do Expectations Matter? Reassessing the Effect of Government Spending on Macroeconomic Variables in Germany, Applied Economics Letters, vol.25(15), pp.1045-1050. [Journal Article]
Gründler, K. and Scheuermyer, P. (2018): Growth Effects of Inequality and Redistribution: What are the Transmission Channels?, Journal of Macroeconomics, vol.5, pp.293-313. [Journal Article] [Book] [Blog Post]
Gründler, K. and Köllner, S. (2017): Determinants of Government Redistribution: Income Distribution, Development Levels, and the Role of Perceptions, Journal of Comparative Economics, vol.45(4), pp.930-962. [Journal Article] [Policy Paper I] [Policy Paper II] [Book] [Blog Post] [FAS Article]
Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2016): Democracy and Growth: Evidence from a Machine Learning Indicator, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.45, pp.85-107. [Link to Journal] [Wirtschaftswoche Article] [FAZ Article] [SVMDI Dataset]