Dräger, L., Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2025): Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Journal of International Economics, vol.153, 104029. [Journal Article][Working Paper][FAZ Article][Wirtschaftswoche][Handelsblatt][Oekonomenstimme]
Fuest, C., Gründler, K. Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2024): Read My Lips? Taxes and Elections, Journal of Public Economics, vol.236, 105149. [Journal Article][Working Paper] [Policy Paper] [FAS Article] [Nord News] [Helsinki Times]
Boumans, D., Gründler, K. , Potrafke, N., and Ruthardt, F. (2024): Political Leaders and Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence from a Global Survey Experiment, Journal of Public Economics, vol.235, 105149. [Journal Article][Working Paper] [EconPol][n-tv][Der Standard]
Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Wochner, T. (2023): The Beauty Premium of Politicians in Office, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, vol.217, pp.298-311. [Wirtschaftswoche][n-tv][RTL][Augsburger Allgemeine][Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung (FAS)][Policy Paper][Link to Journal]
Borisova, E., Gründler, K., Hackenberger, A., Harter, A., Potrafke, N., Schors, K. (2023): Crisis Experience and the Deep Roots of COVID-19 Vaccination Preferences, European Economic Review, vol.160, 104607. [Journal Article][Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ)][tagesschau][Policy Paper]
Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2022): Should We Care (More) About Data Aggregation?, European Economic Review, vol.142, 104010. [Journal Article][Working Paper] [SVMDI Dataset]
Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2021): Using Machine Learning to Measure Democracy: A Practitioners Guide And a New Updated Dataset for 186 Countries from 1919 to 2019, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.70, 102047. [Journal Article][Working Paper]
Gründler, K. and Hillman, A. (2021): Ambiguous Protection, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.68, 102009. [Journal Article]
Gründler, K. and Köllner, S. (2020): Culture, Diversity, and the Welfare State, Journal of Comparative Economics, vol.48(4), pp.913-932. [Journal Article] [Working Paper]
Bachmann, O., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. und Seiberlich, R. (2019): Partisan Bias in Inflation Expectations, Public Choice, vol.186, pp.513-536. [Journal Article] [Working Paper] [ABC News]
Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2019): Corruption and Economic Growth: New Empirical Evidence, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.60, 101810 [Link to Journal] [Policy Paper] [Working Paper]
Gründler, K. (2019): The Vanishing Effect of Finance on Economic Development. Macroeconomic Dynamics, vol.25(2), pp.536-578. [Journal Article]
Gründler, K. and Sauerhammer, S. (2018): Do Expectations Matter? Reassessing the Effect of Government Spending on Macroeconomic Variables in Germany, Applied Economics Letters, vol.25(15), pp.1045-1050. [Journal Article]
Gründler, K. and Scheuermyer, P. (2018): Growth Effects of Inequality and Redistribution: What are the Transmission Channels?, Journal of Macroeconomics, vol.5, pp.293-313. [Journal Article] [Book] [Blog Post]
Gründler, K. and Köllner, S. (2017): Determinants of Government Redistribution: Income Distribution, Development Levels, and the Role of Perceptions, Journal of Comparative Economics, vol.45(4), pp.930-962. [Journal Article] [Policy Paper I] [Policy Paper II] [Book] [Blog Post] [FAS Article]
Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2016): Democracy and Growth: Evidence from a Machine Learning Indicator, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.45, pp.85-107. [Link to Journal] [Wirtschaftswoche Article] [FAZ Article] [SVMDI Dataset]
Dörr, L., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Tähtinen,T.(2025): Female Leaders and the Representation of Women in Government, CESifo Working Paper No.11851 (Reject & Resubmit, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy)
Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., Schmid, R. and Sturm, J.-E. (2025): Globalization and Gender Equality (Revise & Resubmit, World Development)
Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Wochner, T. (2025): Outside Employment and Parliamentary Priorities (Revise & Resubmit, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization)
Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2020): Fiscal Institutions and Economic Growth, CESifo Working Paper No.8305 (Reject & Resubmit, Journal of Economic Growth) [Working Paper] [FAZ Article]
Blum, J. and Gründler, K. (2020): Political Stability and Economic Prosperity: Are Coups Bad for Growth?, CESifo Working Paper No.8317 (Reject & Resubmit, Journal of Applied Econometrics) [Working Paper] [Oekonomenstimme]
Dräger, L., Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2025): Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations, CESifo Working Paper No.11892 (submitted).
Gründler, K. and Link, A. (2024): Ethnic Inequality and Economic Growth: Evidence from Harmonized Satellite Data, CESifo Working Paper No.11034 (submitted).
Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2023): Aging, Retirement, and Aggregate Productivity, CESifo Working Paper No.10594 (submitted).
Fuest, C., Gründler, K. Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2022): Tax Policies after Crises, Saïd Business School Center for Business Taxation, University of Oxford, Working Paper 2022-01 (submitted). [FAZ Article]
Gründler, K. and Feichtmayer, J. (2021): Global Evidence on Misperceptions and Preferences for Redistribution, CESifo Working Paper No.9381 (submitted). [Working Paper]
Experts as Intermediaries: Mpnetary Policy and Macroeconomic Expectations (with Michael Lamla, Niklas Potrafke, and Timo Wochner)
The Willigness to Pay for Expert Advice?" (with Sebastian Blesse, Philipp Heil, and Henning Hermes)
"Becoming an Expert is Never Easy" (with Elisabeth Grewenig, Philipp Lergetporer, Niklas Potrafke, Katharina Werner, and Helen Zeidler)
"Electoral Voting at the Precint Level: Evidence from Germany's 400 Largest Cities" (with Luisa Dörr, Philipp Heil, Niklas Potrafke, and Marcel Schlepper) [Die ZEIT Article][Introducing the Local Election Lab (LOCEL)][Policy Paper]