The Scientific Programme will consist of three 50-minute keynote talks (+10 minutes for questions) and thirty 20-minute contributed talks (+5 minutes for questions).
Important:
Please, check the programme for last-minute changes.
If you have not received the form to confirm your attendance at the social activities of the conference before 10th September let us know as soon as possible.
8:30-9:30 REGISTRATION (Hall of the Physics building, University of Zaragoza)
9:30-10:00 WELCOME WORDS
10:00-11:15 CONTRIBUTED SESSION I - Chair: Carmen Minuesa Abril
10:00-10:25 Characteristic martingale and delta-records. Miguel Lafuente.
10:25-10:50 Estimation of the discrete hazard rate based on delta-records. Martín Alcalde.
10:50-11:15 Change point detection test based on theory of records. An application to climate change. Jorge Castillo.
11:15-11:45 COFFEE BREAK
11:45-12:45 PLENARY TALK I - Chair: Javier Villarroel
11:45-12:45 Stochastic resetting. Satya Majumdar.
12:55-14:10 CONTRIBUTED SESSION II - Chair: Antonio Gómez Corral
12:55-13:20 The two barrier escape problem for compound renewal processes with two-side jumps. Juan Antonio Vega.
13:20-13:45 Stochastic model for subsurface water flow in Swiss catchments. Maria Chiara Bovier.
13:45-14:10 Brownian motion with non-vanishing drift and Poisson restarts. Javier Villarroel.
14:10-15:50 LUNCH
16:00-17:15 CONTRIBUTED SESSION III - Chair: Rosa E. Lillo
16:00-16:25 The k-in-a-row walk design. José A. Moler.
16:25-16:50 Convergence of estimators in dose-finding designs. Maider Sada.
16:50-17:15 Non-existence of performance paradox in dynamic matching models with self-loops. Irati Delgado.
17:15-17:35 SHORT COFFEE BREAK
17:40-18:55 CONTRIBUTED SESSION IV - Chair: Miguel González Velasco
17:40-18:05 On a Markovian epidemic model with limited resources. Antonio Gómez-Corral.
18:05-18:30 Optimal confinement strategy in SIR-based models. Christian Carballo.
18:30-18:55 Quantifying the disease incidence in a stochastic SVIR model with waning immunity. Diana Taipe.
9:25-10:40 CONTRIBUTED SESSION V - Chair: María Jesús López-Herrero
9:25 - 9:50 Multivariate MMPP2 for modelling dependent counting processes. Marcos González.
9:50-10:15 Overtaking-free Jackson networks and equilibrium strategies. Bernardo D’Auria.
10:15-10:40 A single server delay/retrial model with two phases of service and non-preemptive priority for the queued customer. Rein Nobel.
10:40-11:10 COFFEE BREAK
11:10-12:10 PLENARY TALK II - Chair: Javier López
11:10-12:10 Canadization, phase-type distributions and barrier options. Soeren Asmussen
12:20-14:00 CONTRIBUTED SESSION VI - Chair: Inés M. del Puerto
12:20-12:45 Parametric inference for population-size-dependent branching processes with almost sure extinction: a study of consistency. Carmen Minuesa.
12:45-13:10 A comparative analysis of curve Fréchet global and local regression in manifolds. Antoni Torres.
13:10-13:35 Critical multitype branching processes with random migration. Miguel González.
13:35-14:00 On the property of decreasing inverse failure rate for random sums and its applications in applied probability models. Carmen Sangüesa.
14:10-15:50 LUNCH
16:00-17:40 CONTRIBUTED SESSION VII - Chair: Carmen Sangüesa
16:00-16:25 Statistical inference for a Wiener degradation model in presence of imperfect maintenance actions. Lucía Bautista.
16:25-16-50 Modelling the degradation of a two-component system using stochastic process. Inma T. Castro.
16:50-17:15 Imperfect condition-based maintenance for a gamma degradation process in presence of unknown parameters. Christian Paroissin.
17:15-17:40 Shock models with underlying geometric counting processes. Marco Capaldo.
18:30-20:45 CULTURAL VISIT
21:00-22:30 CONFERENCE GALA DINNER.
9:25-10:15 CONTRIBUTED SESSION VIII - Chair: Francisco de Asis Torres Ruíz
9:25-9:50 Optimal stopping of Gauss-Markov bridges. Abel Guada Azze.
9:50-10:15 Pricing cumulative loss derivatives under additive models via Malliavin calculus. Josep Vives.
10:15-10:45 COFFEE BREAK
10:45-11:45 PLENARY TALK III - Chair: Gerardo Sanz
10:45-11:45 Analysis of spatiotemporal threshold exceedances and risk in the context of infinite-dimensional Gaussian measures. José Miguel Angulo.
11:55-13:10 CONTRIBUTED SESSION IX - Chair: Josep Vives
11:55-12:20 Diffusion process to model and impute fetal growth. Ana García.
12:20-12:45 Covariance-based filtering for multi-sensor systems under random access protocol. Jiaxing Li.
12:45-13:10 Fusion estimation based on covariances over sensor networks with multiple random attacks. Raquel Caballero-Águila.
13:15-13:30 CLOSING WORDS
13:30 LUNCH