High means that something has more chance of happening, and low means it has less chance.
"Will" - High Probability
At the high end, we have the modal "will". This is a very strong modal, and we only use it when the chance of something happening is almost certain.
Let's look at a couple of examples:
Rising sea levels will cause more coastal flooding.
As we saw in a previous video, we can be certain that rising sea levels will result in areas near the sea being flooded. Consequently, we can make a prediction with high probability and use the modal verb, "will".
Another example:
Lack of rainfall over a long time will cause drought.
Again, we can be certain of this happening. So, we use "will".
"Won't" - No Probability
If we want to say that something will not happen, we use the negative of "will", "won't". In this case, we are certain that something will not happen. For example:
Increased use of fossil fuels won't reduce CO2 emissions.
So, we know we should use "will" if we are certain that something will happen, and "won't" if we are certain that something won't happen.
"Should" - Fairly High Probability
If we are not quite certain of the result, we use "should". "Should" is still fairly high in probability, but not as high as "will".
For example, scientists believe that hurricanes are going to be stronger in the future, but they are not certain of this because there are so many things to consider.
Therefore, we make this sentence:
As the climate gets warmer, hurricanes should get stronger.
"Might" and "Could" - Low Probability
What if the future is even more difficult to predict? In this case, we use lower probability modals like "might" or "could" to express our opinions.
Climate scientists looking at data about tornadoes have found that there are more tornadoes now than in the past, but that does not necessarily mean there will be more in the future.
They are not 100% sure. Therefore, their prediction is:
Climate change might cause more tornadoes.
Because in this case, "might" and "could" have very similar meanings, another way of saying this is:
Climate change could cause more tornadoes.