disasters & climate change



A Non-Monetary Index of Disaster Impact


The Long-Term Consequences of Disasters: What do we Know, and What we still Don't. w/ Will duPont. International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics (2018).

The Socio-Economics of Cyclones. Nature Climate Change (2016).

Poverty, Inequality and Natural Disasters – A Survey. w/ Azreen Karim. Singapore Economic Review (2016).

The Economics of Natural Disasters – A Survey. w/ Eduardo Cavallo. International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics (2011).

Impacts of Disasters I (direct damages):

The Economics of Disaster Risks and Impacts in the Pacific. w/ Christopher Edmonds. Disaster Prevention and Management (2018).

A Non-Monetary Global Measure of the Direct Impact of Natural Disasters. Global Policy (2016).

Natural Disasters in the Pacific Island Countries: New Measurements of Impacts. Natural Hazards (2016).

Comparing the Direct Human Impact of Natural Disasters for Two (Surprisingly Similar) Cases - the Christchurch Earthquake and Bangkok Flood. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (2015).

Impacts of Disasters II (indirect losses - macro):

Measuring the Economic and Fiscal Burdens of Disasters in the Pacific. w/ Christopher Edmonds (2016). Working paper.

Natural disasters and firms in Vietnam. w/ Tam Vu. Pacific Economic Review (2018).

The 1960 Tsunami in Hawaii: Long Term Consequences of a Coastal Disaster. w/ John Lynham and Jonathan Page. World Development (2017).

The Canterbury Rebuild Five Years on from the Christchurch Earthquake. w/ Amy Wood and Miles Parker. RBNZ Bulletin (2016).

The Long-Run Socio-Economic Consequences of a Large Disaster: The 1995 Earthquake in Kobe. w/ William duPont, Yoko Okuyama, Yasuyuki Sawada. PLOS One (2015).

Regional Effects of Natural Disasters in China: Investing in Recovery. w/ Tam Vu. Natural Hazards (2015).

The Short-run Nationwide Macroeconomic Effects of the Canterbury Earthquakes. w/ Lisa Doyle. New Zealand Economic Papers (2015).

What Happened to Kobe? A Reassessment of the Impact of the 1995 Earthquake. w/ William duPont. Economic Development and Cultural Change (2015).

Catastrophic Natural Disasters and Economic Growth. w/ Juan Pantano, Eduardo Cavallo and Sebastian Galiani. Review of Economics and Statistics (2013).

Hurricane Iniki: Measuring the Long-Term Economic Impact of a Natural Disaster Using Synthetic Control. w/ Makena Coffman. Environment and Development Economics (2012).

Fiscal Storms: Public Spending and Revenues in the Aftermath of Natural Disasters. w/ Aekkanush Nualsri. Environment and Development Economics (2011).

The Economics of Natural Disasters in a Developing Country: The Case of Vietnam. w/ Tam Vu. Journal of Asian Economics (2010).

The Macroeconomic Consequences of Natural Disasters. Journal of Development Economics (2009).

Impacts of Disasters III (indirect losses - micro):

The Cost of Being Under the Weather: Droughts, Floods, and Health Care Costs in Sri Lanka. w/ Diana De Alwis. Asian Development Review (2019).

Sri Lankan Households a Decade after the Indian Ocean Tsunami. w/ Diana De Alwis. Review of Development Economics (2019).

Floods and Spillovers: Households after the 2011 Great Flood in Thailand. w/ Cuong Nguyen and Pooja Patel. Economic Development and Cultural Change (2019). Web appendix.

At the Very Edge of a Storm: The Impact of a Distant Cyclone on Atoll Islands. w/ Tauisi Taupo. Economics of Disasters and Climate Change (2017).

Measurement of Disaster and Climate Risk:

Measurement of Economic Welfare Risk and Resilience of the Philippine Regions. w/ Rio Yonson (2017). Working paper. Code.

The Measurement of Disaster Risk: An Example from Tropical Cyclones In the Philippines. w/ Rio Yonson and JC Gaillard. Review of Development Economics (2018).

Economic Vulnerability and Resilience to Natural Hazards: A Survey of Concepts and Measurements. w/ Rio Yonson. Sustainability (2018).

Disaster Insurance:

Measuring the Impact of Insurance on Urban Recovery with Light: The 2011 New Zealand Earthquake. w/ Cuong Nguyen (2018). Working paper.

Insuring Earthquakes: How Would the Californian and Japanese Insurance Programs Have Fared After the 2011 New Zealand Earthquake? w/ Cuong Nguyen. Disasters (2019).

The Unfortunate Regressivity of Public Disaster Insurance: A Quantitative Analysis of a New Zealand Case. w/ Sally Owen (2017).

A Viable and Cost-Effective Weather Index Insurance for Rice in Indonesia. w/ Aditya Kusuma and Bethanna Jackson. Geneva Risk and Insurance Review (2018).

Insurance as a Response to Loss and Damage? w/ JoAnne Linnerooth-Bayer, Swenja Surminski, Laurens M. Bouwer, and Reinhard Mechler. Book Chapter (2018).

Insurance as a Double-Edged Sword? Quantitative Evidence from the 2011 Christchurch Earthquake. w/ Polly Poontirakul, Charlotte Brown, Erica Seville, and John Vargo. Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance (2017).

Insuring Property Under Climate Change. w/ Belinda Storey. Policy Quarterly (2017).

Disaster Risk Reduction and Mitigation Policy:

What determines Public Spending in a Low-Income Country? Evidence from Disaster Risk Reduction Spending in Bangladesh. w/ Azreen Karim (2015). Working paper.

Earthquake Strengthening Policy for Commercial Buildings in Small-Town New Zealand. w/ Olga Filippova. Disasters (forthcoming).

Investing in Early Warning Systems: A Global Fund for Disaster Preparedness. Copenhagen Consensus Project Book Chapter (2012).

Post-Disaster Aid:

Where is the Money? Post-Disaster Foreign Aid Flows. w/ Oscar Becerra and Eduardo Cavallo. Environment and Development Economics (2015).

In the Aftermath of Large Natural Disasters, What Happens to Foreign Aid? w/ Oscar Becerra and Eduardo Cavallo. Review of Development Economics (2014).

Economics of Climate Change:

Insurance as a Response to Loss and Damage? w/ JoAnne Linnerooth-Bayer, Swenja Surminski, Laurens M. Bouwer, and Reinhard Mechler. Book Chapter (2018).

Household Vulnerability on the Frontline of Climate Change in Tuvalu. w/ Tauisi Taupo and Harold Cuffe. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies (2018).

To Leave or not to Leave? Climate Change, Exit, and Voice on a Pacific Island. CESifo Economic Studies (2017).

Insuring Property Under Climate Change. w/ Belinda Storey. Policy Quarterly (2017).


The Ethical Content of the Economic Analysis of Disasters: Price Gouging and Post-Disaster Recovery. Book Chapter (2018).

The Trade Impacts of a Food Scare: The Fonterra Contamination Incident. w/ Katarina Stojkov and Yiğit Sağlam. Journal of Agricultural and Food Industrial Organisation (2018).

Poverty and Natural Disasters: A Meta-Regression Analysis. w/ Azreen Karim. Review of Economics and Institutions (2016).