Research

PUBLISHED OR FORTHCOMING

Mental Models and Learning: The Case of Base-Rate Neglect, with Emanuel Vespa and Sevgi Yuksel, accepted at American Economic Review [paper, online appendix, procedures]

Contingent Thinking and the Sure-Thing Principle: Revisiting Classic Anomalies in the Laboratory, with Emanuel Vespa, accepted at Review of Economic Studies [paper, online appendix, instructions].

Seeing What Is Representative, with Ryan Oprea and  Sevgi Yuksel, forthcoming at Quarterly Journal of Economics, 138(4):2607-2657, November 2023 [paper, online appendix] 

Asymptotic Behavior of Bayesian Learners with Misspecified Models, with Demian Pouzo and Yuichi Yamamoto, Journal of Economic Theory, July 2021 [paper, correction]

Equilibrium in Misspecified Markov Decision Processes, with Demian Pouzo, Theoretical Economics, 16(2):717-757, May 2021 [paper] 

The Industry Supply Function and the Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium with Heterogeneous Firms, with Demian Pouzo, Journal of Economic Theory, 184: 104946, November 2019  [paper]

Retrospective Voting and Party Polarization, with Demian Pouzo, International Economic Review, 60(1):157-186, February 2019 [paper]

Endogenous Sample Selection: A Laboratory Study, with Emanuel Vespa, Quantitative Economics, 9(1):183-216, March 2018 [paper,appendix]  

Conditional Retrospective Voting in Large Elections, with Demian Pouzo, American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 9(2): 54-75, May 2017 [paper, appendix] 

Berk-Nash Equilibrium: A Framework for Modeling Agents with Misspecified Models, with Demian Pouzo, Econometrica, 84(3): 1093-1130, May 2016 [paper, appendix] 

Hypothetical Thinking and Information Extraction in the Laboratory, with Emanuel Vespa, American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 6(4): 180-202, November 2014 [paper, appendix]

Rationalizable Conjectural Equilibrium: A Framework for Robust Predictions, Theoretical Economics, 8(2): 467-501, May 2013 [paper, WP]

Behavioral Equilibrium in Economies with Adverse Selection, American Economic Review, 98(4): 1269-91, September 2008 [paper, appendix]

Information Feedback in First Price Auctions, RAND Journal of Economics, 39: 491-508, Summer 2008 [paper]

WORKING PAPERS

Learning Foundation and Equilibrium Selection in Voting Environments with Private Information, with Demian Pouzo  [paper, appendix]

Equilibrium Refinement in Elections with Private Information [paper]