In preparation and under review
Brovkin, V., Sanderson, B. M., Brizuela, N. G., Hajima, T., Ilyina, T., Jones, C. D., Koven, C., Lawrence, D., Lawrence, P., Li, H., Liddcoat, S., Romanou, A., Séférian, R., Sentman, L. T., Swann, A. L. S., Tjiputra, J., Ziehn, T., and Winkler, A. J., 2025. On a simplified solution of climate-carbon dynamics in idealized flat10MIP simulations, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3270.
Li, H., Ilyina, T., Dunkl, I., Spring, A., Brune, S., Müller, W.A., Bernardello, R., Bopp, L., Merryfield, W.J., Mignot, J., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Tourigny, E., Watanabe, M., Multi-model reconstructions and predictions of the CO2 fluxes and atmospheric CO2variations. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., in revision.
Li, H., Ramme, L., Li, C., Ilyina, T. (in prep.), Asymmetric carbon-climate responses to cumulative emissions under different CO2 pathways.
Filippou, D., Li, H., and Ilyina, T. (in prep.), Ocean Compound Extreme Events Under Emission Reduction and Negative CO2 Pathways.
Spring, A., Li, H., Ilyina, T. (in prep.), Lessons learned from COVID-19 Earth-System-Model simulations with prognostic atmospheric CO2.
Refereed publications
36. Sanderson, B. M., Brovkin, V., Fisher, R. A., Hohn, D., Ilyina, T., Jones, C. D., Koenigk, T., Koven, C., Li, H., Lawrence, D. M., Lawrence, P., Liddicoat, S., MacDougall, A. H., Mengis, N., Nicholls, Z., O'Rourke, E., Romanou, A., Sandstad, M., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Sentman, L. T., Simpson, I. R., Smith, C., Steinert, N. J., Swann, A. L. S., Tjiputra, J., and Ziehn, T., 2025. flat10MIP: an emissions-driven experiment to diagnose the climate response to positive, zero and negative CO2 emissions, Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 5699–5724, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-5699-2025.
35. Guo, S., Havermann, F., De Hertog, S. J., Luo, F., Manola, I., Raddatz, T., Li, H., Thiery, W., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F., Wårlind, D., Nieradzik, L., and Pongratz, J., 2025. Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land cover and land management changes, Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 631–666, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-631-2025.
34. Friedlingstein, P., O'sullivan, M., Jones, M.W., Andrew, R.M., Hauck, J., Landschützer, P., Le Quéré, C., \textbf{Li, H.}, Luijkx, I.T., Olsen, A. and Peters, G.P., et al., 2025. Global carbon budget 2024. Earth System Science Data, 17(3), pp.965-1039.
33. Wu, M., Li, C., Collins, M., Li, H., Chen, X., Zhou, T. and Zhang, Z., 2024. Early emergence and determinants of human-induced Walker circulation weakening. Nature Communications, 15(1), p
32. Friedlingstein, P., O’Sullivan, M., et al. (incl. Li, H.), 2023: Global Carbon Budget 2023. Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 15, 5301–5369, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-5301-2023.
31. Olonscheck, D., Sebastian, B., et al. (incl. Li, H.), 2023: The CMIP6 Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble with high-frequent model output. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 15, e2023MS003790, doi: 10.1029/2023MS003790.
30. Jiang, J., Zhou, T., Qian, Y., Li, C., Song, F., Li, H., Chen, X., Zhang, W., Chen, Z., 2023: Precipitation regime changes in high mountain Asia driven by cleaner air. Nature, 623, 544–549. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06619-y.
29. Li, H., Ilyina, T., Loughran, T., Spring, A., and Pongratz, J., 2023: Reconstructions and predictions of the global carbon budget with an emission-driven Earth system model, Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 101–119, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-101-2023.
28. Brune, S., Espejo, M., Nielsen, D., Li, H., Ilyina, T. Baehr, J., 2022: Oceanic Rossby waves drive inter-annual predictability of net primary production in the central tropical Pacific. Environmental Res. Lett., 17: 014030. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac43e1.
27. Ilyina, T., Li, H., Spring, A., Müller, W., Bopp, L., Chikamoto, M., Danabasoglu, G., Dobrynin, M., Dunne, J., Fransner, F., Friedlingstein, P., Lee, W.-S., Lovenduski, N., Merryfield, W., Mignot, J., Park, J.-Y., Séférian, R., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Watanabe, M. Yeager, S., 2021: Predictable variations of the carbon sinks and atmospheric CO2 growth in a multi-model framework. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48: e2020GL090695. doi:10.1029/2020GL090695.
26. Jones, C., Hickman, J., Rumbold, S., Walton, J., Lamboll, R., Skeie, R., Fiedler, S., Forster, P., Rogelj, J., Abe, M., Botzet, M., Calvin, K., Cassou, C., Cole, J., Davini, P., Deushi, M., Dix, M., Fyfe, J., Gillett, N., Ilyina, T., Kawamiya, M., Kelley, M., Kharin, S., Koshiro, T., Li, H., Mackallah, C., Müller, W., Nabat, P., van Noije, T., Nolan, P., Ohgaito, R., Olivié, D., Oshima, N., Parodi, J., Reerink, T., Ren, L., Romanou, A., Séférian, R., Tang, Y., Timmreck, C., Tjiputra, J., Tourigny, E., Tsigaridis, K., Wang, H., Wu, M., Wyser, K., Yang, S., Yang, Y. Ziehn, T., 2021: The climate response to emissions reductions due to COVID-19: Initial results from CovidMIP. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48: e2020GL091883. doi:10.1029/2020GL091883.
25. Lee, J.-Y., J. Marotzke, G. Bala, L. Cao, S. Corti, J.P. Dunne, F. Engelbrecht, E. Fischer, J.C. Fyfe, C. Jones, A. Maycock, J. Mutemi, O. Ndiaye, S. Panickal, and T. Zhou (incl. H. Li), 2021: Future Global Climate: Scenario-Based Projections and NearTerm Information. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 553–672, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.006.
24. Loughran, T., Boysen, L., Bastos, A., Hartung, K., Havermann, F., Li, H., Nabel, J., Obermeier, W. Pongratz, J., 2021: Past and future climate variability uncertainties in the global carbon budget using the MPI Grand Ensemble. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 35: e2021GB007019. doi:10.1029/2021GB007019.
23. Spring, A., Dunkl, I., Li, H., Brovkin, V. Ilyina, T., 2021: Trivial improvements of predictive skill due to direct reconstruction of global carbon cycle. Earth System Dyn., 12, 1139-1167. doi:10.5194/esd-12-1139-2021.
22. Wu, M., Zhou, T., Li, C., Li, H., Chen, X., Wu, B., Zhang, W. Zhang, L., 2021: A very likely weakening of Pacific Walker Circulation in constrained near-future projections. Nature Communications, 12: 6502. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-26693-y.
21. Huang, X., Zhou, T., Dai, A., Li, H., Li, C., Chen, X., Lu, J. von Storch, J., 2020: South Asian summer monsoon projections constrained by the Intedacadal Pacific Oscillation. Science Advances, 6: eaay6546. doi:10.1126/sciadv.aay6546.
20. Kwiatkowski, L., Torres, O., Bopp, L., Aumont, O., Chamberlain, M., Christian, J., Dunne, J., Gehlen, M., Ilyina, T., John, J., Lenton, A., Li, H., Lovenduski, N., Orr, J., Palmieri, J., Santana-Falcon, Y., Schwinger, J., Seferian, R., Stock, C., Tagliabue, A., Takano, Y., Tjiputra, J., Toyama, K., Tsujino, H., Watanabe, M., Yamamoto, A., Yool, A. Ziehn, T. (2020). Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 modelprojections. Biogeosciences, 17, 3439-3470. doi:10.5194/bg-17-3439-2020.
19. Seferian, R., Berthet, S., Yool, A., Palmieri, J., Bopp, L., Tagliabue, A., Kwiatkowski, L., Aumont, O., Christian, J., Dunne, J., Gehlen, M., Ilyina, T., John, J., Li, H., Long, M., Luo, J., Nakano, H., Romanou, A., Schwinger, J., Stock, C., Santana-Falcon, Y., Takano, Y., Tjiputra, J., Tsujino, H., Watanabe, M., Wu, T., Wu, F. Yamamoto, A., 2020: Tracking improvement in simulated marine biogeochemistry between CMIP5 and CMIP6. Current Climate Change Reports, 6, 95-115. doi:10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0.
18. Li, H., T. Ilyina, W.A. Müller, and P. Landschützer, 2019: Predicting the variable ocean carbon sink. Science Advances, 5: eaav6471. doi:10.1126/sciadv.aav6471.
17. Maher, N., Milinski, S., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Botzet, M., Kornblueh, L., Takano, Y., Kröger, J., Ghosh, R., Hedemann, C., Li, C., Li, H., Manzini, E., Notz, D., Putrasahan, D., Boysen, L., Claussen, M., Ilyina, T., Olonscheck, D., Raddatz, T., Stevens, B., Marotzke, J. (2019). The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble - Enabling the Exploration of Climate System Variability. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 11, 2050-2069. doi:10.1029/2019MS001639. Highly cited paper: 184 times
16. Müller, W., Jungclaus, J., Mauritsen, T., Baehr, J., Bittner, M., Budich, R., Bunzel, F., Esch, M., Ghosh, R., Haak, H., Ilyina, T., Kleinen, T., Kornblueh, L., Li, H., Modali, K., Notz, D., Pohlmann, H., Roeckner, E., Stemmler, I., Tian, F., Marotzke, J., 2018: A higher-resolution version of the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM 1.2 - HR). J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 10, 1383 -1413. doi:10.1029/2017MS001217.
15. Li, H. and T. Ilyina, 2018: Current and future decadal trends in the oceanic carbon uptake are dominated by internal variability, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 916-925, doi: 10.1002/2017GL075370.
14. Li, H., T. Ilyina, W.A. Müller, and F. Sienz, 2016: Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic 𝐶 𝑂2 uptake. Nature Communications, 7, 11076, doi: 10.1038/ncomms1 1076. [The first study in the world on decadal prediction of the ocean carbon uptake]
13. Flato, G., J. Marotzke, et al. (incl. H. Li): Chapter 9, Evaluation of Climate Models. In: Climate Change 2013. The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK and New York, USA, 2014.
12. Ilyina T., K. Six, J. Segschneider, E. Maier-Reimer, H. Li, I. Núñúñez-Riboni, 2013: The global ocean biogeochemistry model HAMOCC: Model architecture and performance as component of the MPI-Earth System Model in different CMIP5 experimental realizations, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 5, 287-315, doi:10.1029/2012MS000178. [Highly cited paper: 232 times]
11. Li, H., and J.-S. von Storch, 2013: On the fluctuating buoyancy fluxes simulated in a 1/10 ∘ OGCM, J. Phys. Oceanogr. 43, 1270-1287. doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-12-080.1
10. Dai A., H. Li, Y. Sun, L.-C. Hong, H. Lin, C. Chou, and T. Zhou, 2013: The relative roles of upper and lower tropospheric thermal contrasts and tropical influences in driving Asian summer monsoons, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, 7024-7045, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50565.
9. Li, H., L. Feng, and T. Zhou, 2011: Multi-model projection of July-August climate extreme changes over China under 𝐶𝑂2 doubling. Part II: temperature, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 28(2), 448-463, doi:10.1007/s00376-010-0052-x
8. Li, H., L. Feng, T. Zhou, 2011: Multi-model projection of July-August climate extreme changes over China under 𝐶𝑂2 doubling. Part I: precipitation, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 28(2), 433-447, doi:10.1007/s00376-010-0013-4
7. Li, H., A. Dai, T. Zhou, and J. Lu, 2010: Responses of East Asian Summer Monsoon to Historical SST and Atmospheric Forcing during 1950-2000. Climate Dynamics, 34, 501-514. doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0482-7 [Highly cited paper: 326 times]
6. Li, H., T. Zhou, and C. Li, 2009: Decreasing trends in global land monsoon precipitation simulated by a coupled climate model over the past 50 years, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 27(2), 285-292, doi:10.1007/s00376-009-8173-9.
5. Li, H., T. Zhou, and J. Nam, 2009: Comparison of daily extreme temperature over East China and South Korea between 1996-2005. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 26(2), 253-264.
4. Zhou, T., L. Zhang, and H. Li, 2008: Changes in global land monsoon area and total rainfall accumulation over the last half century. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2008 GL034881.
3. Zhou, T., R. Yu, H. Li, and B. Wang, 2008: Ocean Forcing to Changes in Global Monsoon Precipitation over the Recent Half-Century. J. Climate, 21(15), 3833-3852. Highly cited paper: 200 times
2. Zhou, T., L. Li, H. Li, and Q. Bao, 2008: Progress in climate change attribution and projection studies (in Chinese), Chinese Journal of Atmospheric sciences, 32(4), 906-922.
1. Li, H., T. Zhou, and R. Yu, 2008: Analysis of July-August daily Precipitation Characteristics Change over East China during 1958-2000 (in Chinese). Chinese Journal of Atmospheric sciences, 32(2), 358-370.
Other publications
Li, H., 2009: Numerical study on the decadal shift of East Asian summer monsoon during 1950-2000. Ph.D. thesis, Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China (in Chinese with English abstract).
Li, H., 2007: Observational analyses and numerical simulations of mid-summer precipitation and temperature variations over China in the past 40 years. M. Sc. thesis, Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China (in Chinese with English abstract).
Li, H., 2004: The application of virtual private network (VPN) in meteorology. B. Sc. thesis, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China (in Chinese with English abstract).
Li, H., 2004: Summertime response of the sensible heat and winds to the Indian-Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies. B. Sc. thesis, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China (in Chinese with English abstract).