I initiate and coordinate Earth System model-based carbon prediction as part of the regular annual activities: i) WMO Lead Centre for Annual-to-Decadal Climate Prediction, ii) Global Carbon Budget Assessments.
I have been involving in many exciting projects. My recent projects are the European Union’s Horizon Europe programme AI4PEX on AI-enhanced representation of extremes and Horizon 2020 programmes 4C on carbon-climate interactions and COMFORT on ocean tipping elements. I have been working for a German national project MiKlip on decadal climate prediction and Cluster of Excellence project CliSAP on stochastic meso-scale processes. In the meanwhile, I participated in the WCRP Grand Challenge on carbon feedbacks in the climate system, and have been contributing to the WCRP Safe Landing Climates on Transient Climate Response to cumulative carbon Emissions (TCRE). My work was also actively involved in other EU projects CARBOCHANGE and CRESCENDO. Moreover, I have engaged in writing chapter 9 of the IPCC AR5 and chapter 4 of the IPCC AR6 as a contributing author.
The Earth system predictions provide valuable inputs for understanding the global carbon cycle and informing climate-relevant policy. Earth system model-based applications will be a useful tool in supporting global carbon stocktaking in compliance with the goals of the Paris Agreement.