measuring global uncertainty
publications
"Global Economic Uncertainty Remains Elevated, Weighing on Growth" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. IMF Blog. January 2023.
Also on World Economic Forum.
"Tracking uncertainty in a rapidly changing global economic outlook" with
N. Bloom and D. Furceri. VoxEU. December 2022.
"Visualizing the Rise of Global Economic Uncertainty" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. Harvard Business Review. September 2022.
"Global Economic Uncertainty, Surging Amid War, May Slow Growth" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. IMF Blog. April 2022.
"The World Uncertainty Index" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. NBER. February 2022.
"Why global uncertainty is declining" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. VoxEU. May 2021.
"What the Continued Global Uncertainty Means for You" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. IMF Blog. January 2021.
Also in Spanish and on World Economic Forum.
"Global Uncertainty Related to Coronavirus at Record High" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. IMF Blog. April 2020.
"60 Years of Uncertainty" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. Finance & Development. March 2020.
Also in Spanish.
"New Index Tracks Trade Uncertainty Across the Globe" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. IMF Blog. September 2019.
Also in Spanish and on World Economic Forum.
"Caution: Trade uncertainty is rising and can harm the global economy" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. VoxEU. July 2019.
Also on World Economic Forum.
"The global economy hit by higher uncertainty" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. VoxEU. May 2019.
Also on World Economic Forum.
"Global uncertainty is rising, and that is a bad omen for growth" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. VoxEU. November 2018.
"World Uncertainty Index" with N. Bloom and D. Furceri. Mimeo. November 2018.
presentations
2024: "How can we measure uncertainty across countries?" at Management Development Institute in Gurgaon, India.
2024: "How can we measure uncertainty across countries?" at the University of District of Columbia in Washington D.C.
2023: ¿Cómo se puede medir la incertidumbre? at Universidad de Panamá in Panama.
2022: "World Uncertainty Index" at the University of District of Columbia in Washington D.C.
2021: "World Uncertainty Index" for the 2nd Applied Macroeconomics Forum: AI, Machine Learning, and Macroeconomic via video conference.
2021: "World Uncertainty Index" for Digital Innovation Alliance via video conference.
2020: "World Uncertainty Index" for the IMF's iLab Spark Events via video conference.
2019: "World Uncertainty Index" at the University of Richmond in Richmond.
2019: "La incertidumbre: ¿una herramienta de prediccion? ¿La podemos medir?" for the Conferencia de Mercadeo at the Panama Canal in Panama.
2019: "World Uncertainty Index" for the Analytical Corner at the IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington D.C.
2019: "World Uncertainty Index" at the University of District of Columbia in Washington D.C.