coverage by the media

Photo by Sasha Freemind.

On measuring uncertainty

October 2023. Financial Times. "Geopolitical volatility returns to the financial markets. Investors and policymakers face another type of higher-for-longer uncertainty".
April 2022. El Mundo. “El mundo en una ruleta: cómo afrontar la mayor incertidumbre global de la historia”.
May 2021. The Economist. “Global uncertainty is on the wane”.
February 2021. Forbes. “Build Back Better: How Leaders Can Build A Better, More Equal Future In An Agile Way”.
January 2021. Caixin. “IMF: What Ongoing Global Uncertainty Means for You”.
December 2020. Barron’s. “Do Headlines Move Markets? Researchers Say Yes, but Stocks Aren’t Buying the Story.”
December 2020. Financial Times. “Management: what business learnt in the time of coronavirus”.
September 2020. Medium. “Why the Covid-19 Pandemic is a Formidably Complex Crisis”.
August 2020. Forbes. “Uncertainty during the pandemic: Lessons from expert entrepreneurs”.
June 2020. El Cronista. “Cuando la incertidumbre socava los cimientos del comercio”.
May 2020. The New Economy. “How crises transform the manufacturing sector”.
May 2020. Medium. “Strategic innovation funding in times of radical uncertainty”.
May 2020. EU Reporter. “What will the world look like after #COVID-19?”.
April 2020. La Razón. “Los robots no tienen coronavirus”.
April 2020. Malay Mail. “SC 2019 Annual Report: Malaysian economy resilient in 2019, boosted by domestic, private sectors”.
April 2020. La Nacion. “Todas las estrategias para lograr el esperado “desconfinamiento””.
April 2020. The Indian Express. “Notes from a recovery: Let us fear, let us be careful, but let us not panic”.
February 2020. Financial Times. “How to navigate the US-China trade war”.
January 2020. Quartz. “The biggest threat to the economy in 2020? It could be politics”.
January 2020. Seeking Alpha. “Doubling Down On Las Vegas Sands”.
January 2020. El Asesor Financiero. “Amundi AM: Los inversores deben centrarse en construir una cartera resistente”.
December 2019. The Irish News. “More uncertainty to come in 2020…”.
December 2019. Belfast Telegraph. “Economy Watch: The decisive election result isn’t bringing uncertainty to an end”.
December 2019. Business Report. “Primary and secondary sectors shrink in 2019 so far”.
November 2019. The Economist. “Britain’s economy is holding up well—for now”.
October 2019. El Faro. "Cuantificar la incertidumbre: una tarea global".
October 2019. South Morning China Post. “From the US-China trade war to Trump’s impeachment inquiry and Brexit, record levels of political uncertainty are battering the global economy”.
October 2019. Fortune. "Trusted advisors: True custodians of corporate governance".
October 2019. South Morning China Post. “China’s economy is slowing, but it has the keys to future growth”.
October 2019. Newsweek. "Trump is the most principled president in over a century. And that’s bad for all of us".
October 2019. Dirigentes Digital. “La inversión en crédito, lo más atractivo en los próximos meses”.
October 2019. Jill on money. “Preparing for amargeddon”.
October 2019. Istoe Dinheiro. “Alguns riscos no cenário internacional declinaram, mas outros permanecem, diz BC”.
October 2019. Houston Chronicle. "Trump tariffs slowing global economy, strangling shale oil revolution".
October 2019. Axios. "Global economic uncertainty hits a 20-year high".
October 2019. Bloomberg. "Is the World Economy Sliding Into First Recession Since 2009?"
October 2019. Belfast Telegraph. "Economy Watch: 'Uncertainty' a position we'll be stuck with for quite some time to come".
October 2019. Business Day. “Policy uncertainty at levels last seen during Zuma presidency, says North West University”.
September 2019. El Confidencial. "Por qué las distopías (y los nacionalismos) triunfan en tiempos de incertidumbre".
September 2019. Wall Street Journal. "Hey CEOs, Have You Hugged the Uncertainty Monster Lately?".
September 2019. Reuters. "Trade uncertainty to trim $850 billion global output: Fed paper".
August 2019. Reuters. "Fed's Powell, under pressure, likely to stick to 'mid-cycle' message".
August 2019. The Australian Financial Review. "Get ready for another markets correction".
July 2019. Seeking Alpha. "Preparing For The Fed Meeting: Stick With The USD, Gold And Japanese Yen".
July 2019. Wall Street Journal. "Real Time Economics: What Will the June Jobs Report Tell Us About the Economy?"
June 2019. El Pais. "Mucha desigualdad es mala para la economía y aumenta riesgo sistémico".
June 2019. La Razon. "Incertidumbre regada de euros".
May 2019. Ibercampus. "¿Desaceleración económica? Riesgos dividen a optimistas y pesimistas".
May 2019. Seeking Alpha. "A New Economic Statistic To Consider - The World Uncertainty Index".
April 2019. Wall Street Journal. "Real Time Economics: Trump vs. Fed, World vs. Germany".
April 2019. S&P Global Market Intelligence. "Global economic uncertainty climbing sharply, IMF economists' new index finds".
January 2019. Wall Street Journal. "Real Time Economics: Recession Odds Are Rising".
December 2018. El Observador. "La diplomacia del río revuelto y el G20".
December 2018. Financial Times. "Uncertainty is killing growth".

Photo by Victor He.

On measuring Pandemic uncertainty

April 2020. L’Obs. “Trois scénarios de sortie de crise du Covid, du plus optimiste au plus noir”.
April 2020. Wall Street Journal. “Real Times Economics: Crisis of Confidence”.
April 2020. Reuters. “MORNING BID-Markets rally on hopes of virus spread stabilising”.
April 2020. Medium. “Indian Bond Markets Post Covid – Emerging Countours”.
April 2020. Xinhua. “Global uncertainty over coronavirus at record high: IMF”. Also on Bangladesh Post, Line Today, Page One, and the Philippine Post.

Photo by Kyle Ryan.

On measuring trade uncertainty

October 2021. The Economist. “The new order of trade. Trade has been about growth and efficiency. Now other goals are competing for attention, says Soumaya Keynes”.
February 2020. The Economist. Megatrends Toolkit.
January 2020. Quartz. “The biggest threat to the economy in 2020? It could be politics”.
December 2019. Finanz und Wirtschaft. “Chart of the day”.
December 2019. Criterios Digital. “El nuevo índice de incertidumbre comercial advierte el lento crecimiento mundial”.
December 2019. The Business Standard. “Understanding India’s growth recession”.
November 2019. Gazeta do Povo. “Por que as exportações estão em baixa – e não vão disparar com a alta do dólar”
November 2019. nestegg. “Currency volatility to continue into 2020”.
October 2019. Bloomberg. "Tracking the Forces Threatening the World’s Hottest Economies".
October 2019. Wall Street Journal. “Financial Markets Face Fresh Wave of Political Uncertainty: ‘There’s Literally Nowhere to Hide’”.
September 2019. La Prensa. “Comercio pasa por fuerte incertidumbre”.
September 2019. Seeking Alpha. "Global Monetary Easing And China Stimulus To Stabilize Global Growth".
September 2019. El Pais. "El Banco de España advierte de que la guerra comercial lastrará la economía de la UE".
September 2019. Expreso. 'Una incertidumbre moderada por la guerra comercial".
September 2019. The National. "Why oil could hit $100 a barrel".
September 2019. Bloomberg. "What Electric Shock Treatment and Trade Wars Have in Common".
September 2019. The Economist. "Trade uncertainty is at its highest point on record".
September 2019. Financial Times. "EU trade nominee sends tough signal to Donald Trump".
September 2019. New York Times. "U.S., China Tariffs Could Lower Global GDP by 0.8% in 2020 - IMF". Also on: AAP Newswire, 7News, and Reuters.
September 2019. Bloomberg. "Flawed Process Nominates Right Leader for IMF, But at a Cost".
September 2019. Central Banking. "Trade uncertainty ‘surging’ in many countries, IMF warns".
September 2019. Medium. "What is the New World Trade Uncertainty (WTU) Index?".
September 2019. Business Maverick. "Jitters in global trade tracked by a new index".
September 2019. La Republica. "Incertidumbre, la palabra que se debe alejar".
September 2019. La Republica. "México y Bolivia tienen la mayor incertidumbre comercial en América Latina"
September 2019. Il Sole 24 Ore. "Per tornare a crescere non abbandonare il filo rosso della credibilità".
September 2019. eKonomia.it. "BCE, Fed e le altre. La supplenza della politica economica non può durare in eterno".
September 2019. L'Echo. "Quand l'incertitude atteint des sommets".
September 2019. El Pais. "Índice del FMI sitúa a Uruguay como el país con mayor incertidumbre comercial del continente".
September 2019. Brazil-Arab News Agency. "Trade uncertainty below average in the Middle East".
September 2019. The Edge Singapore. "IMF launches World Trade Uncertainty index; Asia-Pacific among regions feeling the heat most".
September 2019. Bloomberg. "Surging Trade Uncertainties About 10 Times Previous Peaks: IMF". Also on: ANI, Big News Network, Business Day, Business Insider, Business Mirror, Central Banking, El Comercio, El Espectador, Gestion, New Indian Express, The Star, and Yahoo Finance.
September 2019. Yahoo Finance. "IMF launches World Trade Uncertainty index; Asia-Pacific among regions feeling the heat most".
September 2019. Reuters. "Trade uncertainty to trim $850 billion global output: Fed paper".
August 2019. Reuters. "Fed's Powell, under pressure, likely to stick to 'mid-cycle' message".

Photo by Breno Assis.

On global housing markets

January 2022. The Economist. How long can the global housing boom last?
July 2019. New Geography. "LSE Economist Paul Cheshire on Urban Containment and Housing Affordability".
Spring 2019. Journal of Economic Perspectives. "Recommendations for Further Reading".
March 2019. Wall Street Journal. "Affordable Housing Crisis Spreads Throughout World".
June 2017. Canadian Mortgage Trends. "Canada Not Alone in House Price Mania".
April 2017. Conversable Economist. "When Restrictions on House-Building Meet Growing Demand: Interview with Joseph Gyourko".
December 2016. Wall Street Journal. "Why It Isn’t Yet Time to Worry as Global House Prices Rise".
December 2016. El Universal. "FMI pide prudencia en creditos hipotecarios".
December 2016. El Financiero. "‘Boom’, en los precios de vivienda en México".
December 2016. El Confidencial. "El FMI alerta del riesgo de una nueva burbuja por falta de viviendas y bajos tipos".
December 2016. ABC. "House prices near pre-financial crisis levels but no need to panic, says IMF".
October 2014. Wall Street Journal. "Global Housing Prices: It’s a Tale of Two Worlds".
November 2013. Business Insider. "CHART OF THE DAY: The Most Overvalued And Undervalued Housing Markets In The Developed World".
November 2013. Business Insider. "Australia Is One Of The Most Overvalued Housing Markets In The Developed World".

Photo by Lloyd Dirks.

On assessing forecasts

January 2020. investors Chronicle. "Another rewarding year".
November 2017. Wall Street Journal. "Coins Are Right Half the Time, Beating Economists".
February 2017. MoneyWeek. "The crisis in economic forecasting".
September 2014. The New York Review of Books. "Why the Experts Missed the Recession".
June 2014. Forbes. "Economists With Awful Track Records Say Don't Worry About Inflation".
May 2014. Financial Times. "An astonishing record – of complete failure".
May 2014. El Economista. "Las previsiones siempre fracasan: los economistas deberían ser como los dentistas".