Working papers
Inflation since the Pandemic: Lessons and Challenges
with Adam Shapiro, A. Lee Smith, and Daniel Villar
Supply Chain Networks and the Macroeconomic Expectations of Firms [Cleveland Fed WP], [IADB WP]
with Saten Kumar, Samreen Malik, Jordan J. Norris, and Mathieu Pedemonte
The Expectations of Others [Cleveland Fed WP] [Research [in] Brief]
with Ezequiel Garcia-Lembergman, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, and Raphael Schoenle
Revised and resubmitted, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Predictable Forecast Errors in Full-Information Rational Expectations Models with Regime Shifts
with André Kurmann
Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation [Cleveland Fed WP], [Media coverage: Bloomberg, CNN, Brookings]
with Edward Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle
Publications
April 2026, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 18(2), 188-226
Online Appendix, Replication package
Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence [Cleveland Fed WP]
with Edward Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle
July 2024, Journal of Monetary Economics, 145, 103568.
Wealth Effects, Price Markups, and the Neo-Fisherian Hypothesis [Cleveland Fed WP], [Online Appendix]
with Marco Airaudo, August 2023, European Economic Review, 157, 104482.
Consistent Expectations Equilibria in Markov Regime Switching Models and Inflation Dynamics
with Marco Airaudo, November 2021, International Economic Review, 62(4), 1401-1430.
Work in progress
Consumers' Attention to Monetary Policy: The Importance of Having "Skin in the Game"
with Edward Knotek, James Mitchell, Mathieu Pedemonte, and Taylor Shiroff
Inflation Inattention on the Production Network: Firm-Level Evidence and Macro Implications
with Rafael Gonçalves
Other publications
The Fundamental Group of SO(n) Via Quotients of Braid Groups
with Orlin Stoytchev
accepted for publication, Rendiconti dell'Istituto di Matematica dell'Università di Trieste