Economic Commentaries

Consumer Inflation Expectations Across Surveys and over Time

w/ Edward Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Damjan Pfajfar, Raphael Schoenle, Taylor Shiroff, August 2025, 2025-07.

Wage Growth, Labor Market Tightness, and Inflation: A Service Sector Analysis

August 2024, 2024-15

Implications of Bank Equity Price Declines for Inflation

November 2023, 2023-18.

Trend Inflation and Implications for the Phillips Curve

April 2023, 2023-07

Media coverage: Reuters

Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations

w/ Edward Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle, March 2022, 2022-03.

Media coverage: WSJ, The Economist