Haishi "Harry" Li

Assistant Professor in Economics, HKU Business School, the University of Hong Kong

I received my PhD from the University of Chicago in 2021. Former postdoctoral fellow at the Center for Commerce and Diplomacy, UCSD GPS.

I focus my research on on international trade and international macroeconomics, with interests spanning multinational production, trade policy, sanctions, emerging technologies, and climate change. I develop complex quantitative international trade and macroeconomic models, and take advantage of different empirical settings with exogeneous variations.

Research interests: International trade, international macroeconomics, regional economics

Email: haishili[at]hku.hk


Working Papers

Robots, Tools, and Jobs: Evidence from Brazilian Labor Markets, with Gustavo de Souza, Chicago Fed WP

To Comply or Not to Comply: Understanding Neutral Country Supply Chain Responses to Russian Sanctions, with Zhi Li, Ziho Park, Yulin Wang, and Jing Wu, SSRN

Multinational Production and Global Shock Propagation during the Great Recession, [NEW] SSRN, CESifo WP, talk at VITM PhD workshop (video). Revise and Resubmit at the Journal of Monetary Economics. Winner of the RoWE Young Economists Prize at the 22nd European Trade Study Group (ETSG) Annual Conference

The Employment Consequences of Anti-Dumping Tariffs: Lessons from Brazil, with Gustavo de Souza, SSRN, CESifo WP. Revise and Resubmit at the Review of Economics and Statistics

Accepted and Published Papers

We Are All in the Same Boat: Cross-Border Spillovers of Climate Shocks Through International Trade and Supply Chain, with Alan Xiaochen Feng, and Yulin Wang, journal link (only analysis on real economy), CESifo WP (longer version with analysis on real economy and financial market), IMF WP. Forthcoming at the Economic Journal

(Trade) War and Peace: How to Impose International Trade Sanctions, with Gustavo de Souza, Naiyuan Hu, and Yuan Mei, Journal of Monetary Economics, journal link, WP, SSRN

The Life-Cycle Dynamics of Exporters and Multinational Firms, with Anna Gumpert, Andreas Moxnes, Natalia Ramondo, and Felix Tintelnot, Journal of International Economics, September 2020, journal link 

Hedging House Price Risk in China, with Jia He and Jing Wu, Real Estate Economics, January 2016, journal link