Near- and long-term trends in the global energy system are inconsistent with limiting global warming to below 1.5 or 2 °C relative to pre-industrial levels.
[200] Current pledges made as part of the
Paris Agreement would lead to about 3.0 °C of warming at the end of the 21st century, relative to pre-industrial levels.
[201] To keep warming below 2 °C, more stringent emission reductions in the near-term would allow for less rapid reductions after 2030,
[202] and be cheaper overall.
[203][failed verification] To keep warming under 1.5 °C, a far-reaching system change on an unprecedented scale is necessary in energy, land, cities, transport, buildings, and industry.
[204]