Meeting the Challenges of Sustainable and Inclusive Growth in Luxembourg
Michel Bierlaire – Professor, EPFL
Vincent Dautel – Research Associate, LISER
Frédéric Docquier – Vice-CEO & Project PI, LISER
Ariane Gordan – PhD Student, University of Luxembourg
Gulnoza Kuldosheva – PhD Student, LISER
Julien Licheron – Research Associate, LISER
Antoine Paccoud – Research Scientist, LISER
Eugenio Peluso – Department Head, LISER
Silvia Peracchi – Postdoctoral Researcher, UCLouvain
Giovanni Peri – Professor, UC Davis
Negar Rezvany – PhD Student, EPFL
Michel Tenikue – Research Scientist, LISER
Aleksa Uljarevic – PhD Student, University of Luxembourg
Alexander Yarkin – Assistant Professor, University College Dublin
A Unique Lab. Luxembourg has one of the world’s most open labor markets: half of residents are foreign-born, and nearly half of workers commute from abroad. The commuter pool is now almost saturated, so attracting talent increasingly means relocation from more distant countries.
Foreign Talent, Local Tensions: Immigration boosts skills, wages and welfare, but rising housing prices and concentrated real-estate wealth raise questions about fairness — newcomers face severe scarcity and high costs in the housing market.
Public Sector as Shock Absorber: Native workers shield themselves from competition with foreign workers by moving into well-paid, secure public jobs. The key challenge is whether this buffering mechanism can continue as budget constraints and pension liabilities grow.
The Landed Divide: A tiny percentage of owners controls a large share of real-estate wealth. Land and housing have become increasingly unaffordable for new firms, young households, and recent immigrants.
Foreign Labor Inflows Increased Native Welfare: On average, welfare rises by 30–40%, but the difference between being an owner or a tenant is huge. Homeowners capture housing wealth gains, while renters may struggle with rising costs.
Policy Tools for Tomorrow: New models were developed to test housing, transportation, and mobility policies before large-scale implementation, enabling smarter planning for sustainable and inclusive growth.
Research Outputs — Academic Papers
High housing costs deter low- and medium-skilled workers from moving, but not highly skilled workers, who mainly respond to wage gaps. This skill-selective mobility has doubled the brain drain from French regions to Luxembourg, widening regional skill disparities. This shows that core-periphery dynamics must be analyzed in terms of skills, not just people.
In Luxembourg's tight labor market, foreign workers absorb demand shocks, while natives increasingly transition to better-paid, sheltered public-sector jobs. Using matched employer-employee data, the paper demonstrates that, when combined with native reallocation and productivity gains, immigration leaves natives better off in terms of wages and job quality.
Using full-population registry data, the paper reveals an extreme concentration of property wealth. The top 1% owns more than a third of it, most of which is land. This inequality is driven by non-ownership and growing disparities among owners, raising concerns about fairness, housing access, and attracting talent.
A general equilibrium model shows that foreign labor inflows between 2001 and 2023 generated significant welfare gains for natives—over 40% for low- and middle-skilled homeowners, and 30% for tenants. However, high-skilled natives gained less, and some scenarios revealed modest losses for high-skilled tenants due to competition and rising rents.
In Luxembourg, where 74% of residents have a foreign background, most people view immigration positively, both economically and culturally. Pro-immigration views are strongest among first- and second-generation immigrants. Local exposure primarily influences perceived optimal immigration levels, particularly following recent inflows from non-European countries.
The paper presents a dynamic LUTI model with sub-annual time steps that can simulate housing, land use, and transportation across borders simultaneously. When applied to the Greater Region, the model replicates commuting and land use patterns. It demonstrates that transportation investments alone provide only temporary relief and that coordinated housing policies are necessary.
Policy Briefs & Dissemination
Research Outputs — Policy Briefs
Understanding Attitudes towards Immigrants in Luxembourg’s Multicultural Society
F. Docquier, A. Gordan, M. Tenikue, A. Uljarevic (Available here)
Foreign Talent, Local Tensions: Luxembourg’s Challenges for Fair and Sustainable Growth
V. Dautel, F. Docquier (in progress)
Future Event (June 2026, TBD)
Workshop on "Housing, Mobility, and Identity: Securing the Future of Luxembourg’s Social Fabric"
Co-organized by the CRHOUSINQ team and the LISER Policy Lab
Featuring a policy roundtable