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Artigos incluídos no Journal of Citation Reports (da Web of Science) ou na Scopus:
45. "Electoral Incentives to Obtain EU Grants", The Economic Journal, ueaf08, setembro de 2025. Com Linda Veiga (NIPE-UMinho) e Otto Swank (U. Erasmus, Roterdão).
44. "Online Local Budget Transparency and Local Elections in Croatia." Economics & Politics, 0: 1–17, setembro de 2025. Com Marija O. Eror (Institute of Public Finance, Zagreb) e Simona Prijaković (Institute of Public Finance, Zagreb).
43. "Partisan politics in Portugal" CESifo Economic Studies, 70(2), 193–215, 2024. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho) e Beatriz Azevedo (NIPE-U.Minho).
42. "The effects of fiscal policy management, candidacy of previous mayors, and illiteracy on mayoral reelection in Brazil." Economics & Politics, 36(3), 1345-1381, 2024. Com Jonatan Lautenschlage (U. Federal de Santa Catarina, Brasil) e Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho).
Dados e ficheiros de replicação.
41. "When do more selfish politicians manipulate less, not more?" European Journal of Political Economy, 77, 102320, março de 2023. Com Xue Wang (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China) e Frank Bohn(Radboud University, Holanda).
40. "The political economy of productivity growth." European Journal of Political Economy, 75, 102185, dezembro de 2022. Com Fernando Alexandre (NIPE-U.Minho) e Pedro Bação (U.Coimbra).
Dados e ficheiros de replicação (zip).
39. "Fiscal forecast manipulations and electoral results: Evidence from Portuguese municipalities." Journal of Public Finance and Public Choice 36(2), 2021, 115-138. Com Mamadou Boukari (U. Kara, Togo).
38. "Political forecast cycles", European Journal of Political Economy 66, 101934, janeiro de 2021. Com Frank Bohn (Radboud U., Holanda).
37. "Key determinants of elite rivalry: theoretical insights and empirical evidence", Applied Economics 53(2), 2021, 277-291. Com Elena Sochirca Neves (U. Beira Interior e NIPE-U.Minho).
36. "Political opportunism and countercyclical fiscal policy in election-year recessions." Economic Inquiry 57(4), outubro de 2019, 2058-2081. Com Frank Bohn (Radboud University, Holanda).
35. "Elections, Recession Expectations and Excessive Debt: An Unholy Trinity." Public Choice 180(3-4), setembro de 2019, 429–449. Com Frank Bohn (Radboud University, Holanda).
Online Appendix (pdf). Dados (dta).
34. "Transparency, Policy Outcomes, and Incumbent Support." Kyklos 72(3), agosto de 2019, 357-380. Com Luís Aguiar-Conraria (NIPE-UMinho) e Pedro C. Magalhães (ICS-U.Lisboa).
33. “The effects of electoral incentives on fiscal policy: Evidence from a legislative change at the local government level.” Journal of Law, Economics & Organization 35(2), julho de 2019, 394–421 . Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho).
Online Appendix (pdf). Dados e ficheiros de replicação (zip).
32. “Disentangling Political and Institutional Determinants of Budget Forecast Errors: A Comparative Approach.” Journal of Comparative Economics 46(4), 1030-1045. Com Mamadou Boukari (U. Lille, França).
Online Appendix (pdf). Dados e ficheiros de replicação (zip).
31. "Term limits and voter turnout" Electoral Studies 53, junho de 2018, 20-28. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho).
Online Appendix (pdf). Dados e ficheiros de replicação (zip).
30. “Public numbers on monetary valuation of fish landings.” Data in Brief 17, abril de 2018, 184-188. Com Pedro Goulart (ISCSP-U. Lisboa) e Catarina Grilo (FCGulbenkian). Artigo sobre os dados usados em Goulart, Veiga e Grilo (2018, Fisheries Research).
29. “The evolution of fisheries in Portugal: a methodological reappraisal with insights from economics.” Fisheries Research 199, março de 2018, 76-80. Com Pedro Goulart (ISCSP-U. Lisboa) e Catarina Grilo (FCGulbenkian).
28. "Political budget cycles and media freedom" Electoral Studies 45, fevereiro de 2017, 88-99. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho) e Atsuyoshi Morozumi (U. Nottingham).
Online Appendix (pdf). Dados e ficheiros de replicação (zip)
27. "Public spending and growth: the role of government accountability." European Economic Review 89, outubro de 2016, 148-171. Com Atsuyoshi Morozumi (U. Nottingham).
Online Appendix (pdf). Dados e ficheiros de replicação (zip).
26. "Portuguese 2015 legislative elections: How economic voting, the median voter and unemployment led to 'the times they are a'changin'? " Electoral Studies 43, setembro de 2016, 197-200. Com Pedro Goulart (ISCSP-U.Lisbon).
25. "Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?" European Journal of Political Economy 36, dezembro de 2014, 274-286. Com Rodrigo Martins (U.Coimbra).
24. “Government size, composition of public expenditure, and economic development." Internationational Tax and Public Finance 21(4), agosto de 2014, 578-597. Com Susana Martins (U.Minho).
23. “Economic performance and turnout at national and local elections" Public Choice 157(3-4), dezembro de 2013, 429-448. Com Rodrigo Martins (U. Coimbra and GEMF).
22. “Financial globalization, convergence and growth: The role of foreign direct investment.” Journal of International Money and Finance 37, outubro de 2013, 161-186. Com Delfim Gomes Neto (NIPE - U. Minho).
21. “Intergovernmental fiscal transfers as pork barrel." Public Choice 155(3-4), junho de 2013, 335-353. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
20. “Economic voting in Portuguese municipal elections." Public Choice 155(3-4), junho de 2013, 317-334. Com Rodrigo Martins (U. Coimbra and GEMF).
19. "How does political instability affect economic growth?" European Journal of Political Economy 29, março de 2013, 151-167. Com Ari Aisen (International Monetary Fund).
18. “Election results and opportunistic policies: A new test of the rational political business cycle model." Public Choice 148(1-2), julho de 2011, 21-44. Com Toke Aidt (U. Cambridge) e Linda Gonçalves Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
17. “The Impact of Local and National Economic Conditions on legislative Elections results.” Applied Economics 42(13), maio-junho de 2010, 1727-1734. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
16. “The political economy of seigniorage.” Journal of Development Economics 87(1), agosto de 2008, 29-50. Com Ari Aisen (IMF).
15. “Political instability and inflation volatility.” Public Choice 135(3-4), junho de 2008, 207-223. Com Ari Aisen (IMF).
14. "Why do stabilizations fail." Journal of Economic Policy Reform 11(2), junho de 2008, 135-149.
13. “Does opportunism pay off?” Economics Letters 96(2), agosto de 2007, 177-182. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
12. "Political business cycles at the municipal level.” Public Choice 131(1-2), abril 2007, 45-64. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
11. “Da li politička nestabilnost vodi ka višoj i promenljivijoj inflaciji? Analiza panel podataka”, Panoeconomicus 1/2007, 5-27. Tradução em Sérvio de Aisen and Veiga (2006, JMCB).
10. "Currency substitution, portfolio diversification and money demand." Canadian Journal of Economics 39(3), agosto de 2006, 719-743. Com Miguel Lebre de Freitas (NIPE e U. Aveiro).
9. "Does political instability lead to higher inflation? A panel data analysis." Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 38(5), agosto de 2006, 1379-1389. Com Ari Aisen (IMF).
Base de dados (Stata e Excel), descrição das variáveis, do-files e log-files (Stata), e apêndice.
8. “Political business cycles in local employment: Evidence from Portugal.” Economics Letters 93(1), outubro de 2006, 82-87. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho) e César Coelho (NIPE).
7. “Eleitoralismo nos municípios portugueses”. Análise Social, XL(177), dezembro de 2005, 865-889. Com Linda Gonçalves Veiga.
6. “Does IMF support accelerate inflation stabilization?” Open Economies Review, 16(4), outubro de 2005, 321-340.
5. "Political business cycles and inflation stabilization," Economics Letters 83(1), abril de 2004, 1-6. Com Vítor Castro (NIPE e U. Coimbra).
4. "Popularity functions, partisan effects and support in Parliament," Economics & Politics, 16(1), março de 2004, 101-115. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
3. "The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal," Public Choice 118(3-4), março de 2004, 341-364. Com Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
2. "Delays of inflation stabilizations", Economics and Politics, 12(3), novembro de 2000, 275-295.
1. "What causes the failure of inflation stabilization plans?", Journal of International Money and Finance, 18(2), abril de 1999, 169-194.
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