Embedded Files
Articles Published in Scientific Journals (Indexed in the Journal of Citation Reports or in Scopus):
45. "Electoral Incentives to Obtain EU Grants", The Economic Journal, 2025, ueaf08. With Linda Veiga (NIPE-UMinho) and Otto Swank (U. Erasmus, Rotterdam).
44. "Online Local Budget Transparency and Local Elections in Croatia." Economics & Politics, 0: 1–17, 2025. With Marija O. Eror (Institute of Public Finance, Zagreb) and Simona Prijaković (Institute of Public Finance, Zagreb).
43. "Partisan politics in Portugal" CESifo Economic Studies, 70(2), 2024, 193–215. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho) and Beatriz Azevedo (NIPE-U.Minho).
42. "The effects of fiscal policy management, candidacy of previous mayors, and illiteracy on mayoral reelection in Brazil." Economics & Politics, 36(3), 2024, 1345-1381. With Jonatan Lautenschlage (U. Federal de Santa Catarina, Brasil) and Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho).
41. "When do more selfish politicians manipulate less, not more?" European Journal of Political Economy, 77, 102320, 2023. With Xue Wang (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China) and Frank Bohn (Radboud University, The Netherlands).
40. "The political economy of productivity growth." European Journal of Political Economy, 75, 102185, 2022. With Fernando Alexandre (NIPE-U.Minho) and Pedro Bação (U.Coimbra).
Data and replication files (zip).
39. "Fiscal forecast manipulations and electoral results: Evidence from Portuguese municipalities." Journal of Public Finance and Public Choice 36(2), 2021, 115-138. With Mamadou Boukari (U. Kara, Togo).
38. "Political forecast cycles", European Journal of Political Economy 66, 101934, 2021. With Frank Bohn (Radboud U., The Netherlands).
37. "Key determinants of elite rivalry: theoretical insights and empirical evidence", Applied Economics 53(2), 2021, 277-291. With Elena Sochirca Neves (U. Beira Interior and NIPE-U.Minho).
36. "Political opportunism and countercyclical fiscal policy in election-year recessions." Economic Inquiry 57(4), 2019, 2058-2081. With Frank Bohn (Radboud University, The Netherlands).
35. "Elections, Recession Expectations and Excessive Debt: An Unholy Trinity." Public Choice 180(3-4), 2019, 429–449. With Frank Bohn (Radboud University, the Netherlands).
Online Appendix (pdf). Data (dta).
34. "Transparency, Policy Outcomes, and Incumbent Support." Kyklos 72(3), 2019, 357-380. With Luís Aguiar-Conraria (NIPE-UMinho) and Pedro C. Magalhães (ICS-U.Lisboa).
33. “The effects of electoral incentives on fiscal policy: Evidence from a legislative change at the local government level.” Journal of Law, Economics & Organization 35(2), 2019, 394–421 . With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho).
Online Appendix (pdf). Data and replication files (zip).
32. “Disentangling Political and Institutional Determinants of Budget Forecast Errors: A Comparative Approach.” Journal of Comparative Economics 46(4), 1030-1045, 2018. With Mamadou Boukari (U. Lille, France).
Online Appendix (pdf). Data and replication files (zip).
31. "Term limits and voter turnout" Electoral Studies 53, 2018, 20-28. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho).
Online Appendix (pdf). Data and replication files (zip).
30. “Public numbers on monetary valuation of fish landings.” Data in Brief 17, 2018, 184-188. With Pedro Goulart (ISCSP-U. Lisboa) and Catarina Grilo (FCGulbenkian). Article about the data used in Goulart, Veiga, and Grilo (2018, Fisheries Research).
29. “The evolution of fisheries in Portugal: a methodological reappraisal with insights from economics.” Fisheries Research 199, 2018, 76-80. With Pedro Goulart (ISCSP-U. Lisboa) and Catarina Grilo (FCGulbenkian).
28. "Political budget cycles and media freedom" Electoral Studies 45, 2017, 88-99. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho) and Atsuyoshi Morozumi (U. Nottingham).
Online Appendix (pdf). Data and replication files (zip)
27. "Public spending and growth: the role of government accountability." European Economic Review 89, 2016, 148-171. With Atsuyoshi Morozumi (U. Nottingham).
Online Appendix (pdf). Data and replication files (zip).
26. "Portuguese 2015 legislative elections: How economic voting, the median voter and unemployment led to 'the times they are a'changin'? " Electoral Studies 43, 2016, 197-200. With Pedro Goulart (ISCSP-U.Lisbon).
25. "Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?" European Journal of Political Economy 36, 2014, 274-286. With Rodrigo Martins (U.Coimbra).
24. “Government size, composition of public expenditure, and economic development." International Tax and Public Finance 21(4), 2014, 578-597. With Susana Martins (U.Minho).
23. “Economic performance and turnout at national and local elections" Public Choice 157(3-4), 2013, 429-448. With Rodrigo Martins (U. Coimbra and GEMF).
22. “Financial globalization, convergence and growth: The role of foreign direct investment.” Journal of International Money and Finance 37, 2013, 161-186. With Delfim Gomes Neto (NIPE - U. Minho).
21. “Intergovernmental fiscal transfers as pork barrel." Public Choice 155(3-4), 2013, 335-353. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
20. “Economic voting in Portuguese municipal elections." Public Choice 155(3-4), 2013, 317-334. With Rodrigo Martins (U. Coimbra and GEMF).
19. "How does political instability affect economic growth?" European Journal of Political Economy 29, 2013, 151-167. With Ari Aisen (International Monetary Fund).
Data (dados anuais e em períodos de 5 anos), do-file, log-file and Descriptive Statistics (Stata)
18. “Election results and opportunistic policies: A new test of the rational political business cycle model." Public Choice 148(1-2), 2011, 21-44. With Toke Aidt (U. Cambridge) and Linda Gonçalves Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
17. “The Impact of Local and National Economic Conditions on legislative Elections results.” Applied Economics 42(13), 2010, 1727-1734. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
16. “The political economy of seigniorage.” Journal of Development Economics 87(1), 2008, 29-50. With Ari Aisen (IMF).
15. “Political instability and inflation volatility.” Public Choice 135(3-4), 2008, 207-223. With Ari Aisen (IMF).
14. "Why do stabilizations fail." Journal of Economic Policy Reform 11(2), 2008, 135-149.
13. “Does opportunism pay off?” Economics Letters 96(2), 2007, 177-182. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
12. "Political business cycles at the municipal level.” Public Choice 131(1-2), 2007, 45-64. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
11. “Da li politička nestabilnost vodi ka višoj i promenljivijoj inflaciji? Analiza panel podataka”, Panoeconomicus 1/2007, 5-27. Serbian translation of Aisen and Veiga (2006, JMCB).
10. "Currency substitution, portfolio diversification and money demand." Canadian Journal of Economics 39(3), 2006, 719-743. With Miguel Lebre de Freitas (NIPE and U. Aveiro).
9. "Does political instability lead to higher inflation? A panel data analysis." Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 38(5), 2006, 1379-1389. With Ari Aisen (IMF).
Data (Stata and Excel), description of the variables, do-files and log-files (Stata), and appendix.
8. “Political business cycles in local employment: Evidence from Portugal.” Economics Letters 93(1), 2006, 82-87. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho) and César Coelho (NIPE).
7. “Eleitoralismo nos municípios portugueses”. Análise Social, XL(177), 2005, 865-889. With Linda Gonçalves Veiga.
6. “Does IMF support accelerate inflation stabilization?” Open Economies Review, 16(4), 2005, 321-340.
5. "Political business cycles and inflation stabilization," Economics Letters 83(1), 2004, 1-6. With Vítor Castro (NIPE and U. Coimbra).
4. "Popularity functions, partisan effects and support in Parliament," Economics & Politics, 16(1), 2004, 101-115. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
3. "The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal," Public Choice 118(3-4), 2004, 341-364. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).
2. "Delays of inflation stabilizations", Economics and Politics, 12(3), 2000, 275-295.
1. "What causes the failure of inflation stabilization plans?", Journal of International Money and Finance, 18(2), 1999, 169-194.
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