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NOTICE: Upon the completion of the 2025 election, this page is no longer being updated. Projections will resume at a yet to be determined time.
Current Legislative Assembly
Current Legislative Assembly
Legislative Assembly composition: Yukon Liberal Party (YLP), Minority Government
Yukon Party (YP) seats: 8
Yukon Liberal Party (YLP) seats: 8
Yukon New Democratic Party (YNDP) seats: 3
Independent (IND) seats: 0
Left-wing/Right-wing balance: 11 to 8 (left majority)
Last Election
Last Election
Popular vote: YP 39%, YLP 32%, YNDP 28%, IND 0%
Left-wing/Right-wing balance: 60% to 40% (right plurality)
Seat Averages:
YP 15
YNDP 6
Scroll to bottom for MOE and methodology.
Current Projection
Current Projection
Provincial popular vote: YP 49% [43-55], YNDP 34% [28-40], YLP 16% [10-22], IND 1% [0-2]
Left-wing/Right-wing balance: 50% to 50% (right majority)
Legislative Assembly composition: Yukon Party (YP), Majority Government
Yukon Party (YP) seats: 14 [12-18]
Yukon New Democratic Party (YNDP) seats: 7 [3-9]
Yukon Liberal Party (YLP) seats: 0 [0-0]
Independent (IND) seats: 0 [0-0]
Left-wing/Right-wing balance: 7 to 14 (right minority)
Methodology: This electoral model uses a territory-wide proportional swing model, similar to our methodology for Federal. The swings are determined by an aggregate of the latest 3 polls, adjusted for bias. Additionally, due to the miniscule amount of seats, if a party did not run a candidate in 2021, the swing will be applied on the result of a separate prior election.
*MOE at +/-6%, +/-20% for each riding. Seats +/-5. 95% confidence.
Over 65% of projected winners would win.
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