The Emergence of the Socioeconomic Gradient in Women's Marriage Outcomes (with Claudia Olivetti, Daniele Paserman, and Laura Salisbury) Accepted at The Review of Economics and Statistics
(previously circulated as "Who Married, (to) Whom, and Where? Trends in Marriage in the United States, 1850-1940" link)
We present new findings about the relationship between marriage and socioeconomic background in the United States in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. Imputing socioeconomic status of family of origin from first names, we document a socioeconomic gradient for women in the probability of marriage and the socioeconomic status of husbands, which widens over this period. Regional divergence in occupational structure explains half of the divergence in the probability of marriage, and most of the increase in marital sorting. Urbanization and the associated improvement in women's labor market opportunities drive most of these differences.
The Effects of Gender Integration on Men: Evidence from the U.S. Military (with Kyle Greenberg and Melanie Wasserman) accepted at the Quarterly Journal of Economics (NBER working paper here)
Do men negatively respond when women first enter an occupation? We answer this question by studying the end of one of the final explicit occupational barriers to women in the U.S.: in 2016, the U.S. military opened all positions to women, including historically male-only combat occupations. We exploit the staggered integration of women into combat units to estimate the causal effects of the introduction of female colleagues on men’s job performance, behavior, and perceptions of workplace quality, using monthly administrative personnel records and rich survey responses. We find that integrating women into previously all-male units does not negatively affect men’s performance or behavioral outcomes, including retention, promotions, demotions, separations for misconduct, criminal investigations, and medical conditions. Most of our results are precise enough to rule out small detrimental effects. However, there is a wedge between men's perceptions and performance. The integration of women causes a negative shift in male soldiers' perceptions of workplace quality. The decline is driven by units integrated with female officers, likely arising from female officers increasing men's awareness of workplace problems or from men's dissatisfaction from working with women in positions of authority---even though men in such units show some performance gains. If male-dominated workplaces are reluctant to incorporate women due to expectations that men will become less productive, our paper provides evidence to weigh against that notion.
Gender and Group Decision-Making: Evidence from US City Councils (with Emilia Brito, Jesse Bruhn, and Thea How Choon) (NBER working paper here)
Using a close-election regression discontinuity design, we find that replacing a male city councilor with a female city councilor results in a 25p.p. increase in the share of motions proposed by women. This is despite causing only a 17p.p. increase in the council female share. We find that the discrepancy is driven, in part, by behavioral changes by isolated female councilors. When a lone woman is joined by a new female colleague, she participates more actively in council discussion by proposing more motions.
The Big House far from Home: Spatial Distance and Criminal Recidivism (link)
In this project, I address the question of whether offenders' distance from home during incarceration affects later recidivism. I instrument for an inmate’s distance from home with the average or minimum distance to state facilities from their home county, which varies across county and within county over time due to prison openings and closures. Doubling an inmate’s distance from home decreases the rate of 1-year recidivism by 3.3 percentage points.
Voluntary Minimum Wages in the Public Childcare Sector (with Silvia Vannutelli and Sara Downing)