Publications

Legend: me, student under my supervision, staff under my supervision

• S Salimi, DJ Warne, C Drovandi. (2026) Bayesian inference for ordinary differential equation models with heteroscedastic measurement error. arXiv.org

• DA Salpadoru, MP Adams, KJ Helmstedt, DJ Warne. (2026) Parameter estimation and identifiability analysis of stability and tipping points in potentially bistable ecosystems. bioRxiv.org

• RP Kelly, DT Frazier, DJ Warne, CC Drovandi. (2026) Preconditioned robust neural posterior estimation for misspecified simulators. arXiv.org

• DJ Warne, X Zhu, TP Steele, ST Johnston, SA Sisson, M Faria, RJ Murphy, AP Browning. (2025) A multilevel hierarchical framework for quantification of experimental heterogeneity. bioRxiv.org

• TP Steele, DJ Warne. (2025) Simulation and inference methods for non-Markovian stochastic biochemical reaction networks. arXiv.org 

• RP Kelly, DJ Warne, DT Frazier, DJ Nott, MU Gutmann, C Drovandi. (2025) Simulation-based Bayesian inference under model misspecification. arXiv.org

• DT Frazier, RP Kelly, C Drovandi, DJ Warne. (2024) The statistical accuracy of neural posterior and likelihood estimation. arXiv.org

• X Wang, RP Kelly, AL Jenner, DJ Warne, C Drovandi. (2024)  A comprehensive guide to simulation-based inference in computational biology. arXiv.org

• N Najimuddin, DJ Warne, H Thompson, JM McGree. (2024) Bayesian design for mathematical models of fruit growth based on misspecified prior information. arXiv.org

• DJ Warne, A Varghese, AP Browning, MM Krell, C Drovandi, W Hu, A Mira, K Mengersen, AL Jenner. (2022) Bayesian uncertainty quantification to identify population level vaccine hesitancy behaviours. medRxiv.org 

1. A Bretherton, JJ Bon, DJ Warne, K Mengersen, C Drovandi. (2026)  A principled approach to Bayesian transfer learning. Bayesian Analysis (to appear) arXiv.org

2. Y Liu, DJ Warne, MJ Simpson. (2026) Parameter-wise predictions for random walk models in the life sciences. Journal of Theoretical Biology 621:112347 DOI bioRxiv.org

3. JJ Bon, DJ Warne, DJ Nott, C Drovandi. (2025) Bayesian score calibration for approximate models. Journal of Machine Learning Research (JMLR) 24(301):1-40 URL arXiv.org

4. DJ Warne, K Crossman, GEM Heron, JA Sharp, W Jin, P P-Y Wu, MJ Simpson, K Mengersen, J-C Ortiz. (2025) Mathematical modelling and uncertainty quantification for analysis of biphasic coral reef recovery patterns. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 87:129 DOI arXiv.org

5. Y Liu, DJ Warne, MJ Simpson. (2024) Likelihood-based inference, identifiability and prediction using count data from lattice-based random walk models. Physical Review E 110:044405 DOI arXiv.org

6. X Wang, RP Kelly, DJ Warne, C Drovandi. (2024) Preconditioned neural posterior estimation for likelihood-free inference. Transactions on Machine Learning Research (TMLR) 09:2758 URL arXiv.org 

7. V Cattoni, LF South, DJ Warne, C Beottiger, B Thakran, MH Holden. (2024) Revisiting fishery sustainability targets. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 86:127 DOI

8. RP Kelly, DJ Nott, DT Frazier, DJ Warne, C Drovandi. (2024) Misspecification-robust sequential neural likelihood. Transactions on Machine Learning Research (TMLR) 06:2347 URL arXiv.org 

9. MD Akinlotan, DJ Warne, KJ Helmstedt, SA Vollert, I Chadès, RF Heneghan, H Xiao, MP Adams. (2024) Beyond expected values: Making environmental decisions using value of information analysis when measurement outcome matters.  Ecological Indicators, 160:111828 DOI arXiv.org

10. K Cure, DR Barneche, M Depczynski, R Fisher, DJ Warne, JM McGree, J Underwood, F Weisenberger, E Evans-Illidge, B Ford, D Oades, A Howard, P McCarthy, D Pyke, Z Edgar, R Maher, T Sampi, K Dougal, Bardi Jawi Traditional Owners . (2024) Incorporating uncertainty in Indigenous sea Country monitoring with Bayesian statistics: towards more informed decision-making. Ambio 53:746–763 DOI arXiv.org

11. X Wang, AL Jenner, R Salomone,  DJ Warne,  C Drovandi. (2024) Calibration of agent based models for monophasic and biphasic tumour growth using approximate Bayesian computation. Journal of Mathematical Biology 88:28 DOI bioRxiv.org

12. DJ Warne, OJ Maclaren, EJ Carr, MJ Simpson, C Drovandi. (2024) Generalised likelihood profiles for models with intractable likelihoods. Statistics and Computing  34:50 DOI arXiv.org

13. TP Prescott, DJ Warne, RE Baker. (2024) Efficient multifidelity likelihood-free Bayesian inference with adaptive computational resource allocation. Journal of Computational Physics  112577 DOI arXiv.org 

14. J Yang, H McClymont, DJ Warne, L Wang, W Hu. (2023)  Comparative Analysis of Vaccine Inequity and COVID-19 Transmission Amid the Omicron Variant Among Countries — Six Countries, Asia-Pacific Region, 2022. China CDC Weekly, 5(33):731-736 DOI

15. T Balasubramaniam, DJ Warne, R Nayak, K Mengersen. (2023)  Explainability of the COVID-19 epidemiological model with nonnegative tensor factorization. International Journal of Data Science and Analytics, 15:267-280 DOI

16. A Gill, DJ Warne, AM Overstall, C McGrory, JM McGree. (2023) Robust simulation design for generalized linear models in conditions of heteroscedasticity or correlation. Proceedings of the 2022 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC). DOI arXiv.org

17. RJ Murphy, OJ Maclaren, AR Calabrese, PB Thomas, DJ Warne, ED Williams, MJ Simpson. (2022) Computationally efficient framework for diagnosing, understanding, and predicting biphasic population growth. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 19:20220560 DOI  bioRxiv.org

18. DJ Warne, TP Prescott, RE Baker, MJ Simpson. (2022) Multifidelity multilevel Monte Carlo to accelerate approximate Bayesian parameter inference for partially observed stochastic processes. Journal of Computational Physics, 469:111543 DOI arXiv.org

19. MJ Simpson, AP Browning, DJ Warne, OJ Maclaren, RE Baker. (2022) Parameter identifiability and model selection for sigmoid population growth models. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 535:110998 DOI bioRxiv.org

20. DJ Warne, RE Baker, MJ Simpson. (2022) Rapid Bayesian inference for expensive stochastic models.  Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 31:512-528 DOI arXiv.org

21. DJ Warne, KA Crossman, W Jin, K Mengersen, K Osborne, MJ Simpson, AA Thompson, P Wu, J‐C Ortiz. (2022) Identification of two‐phase recovery for interpretation of coral reef monitoring data. Journal of Applied Ecology, 59:153-164  DOI

22. DJ Warne, SA Sisson, C Drovandi. (2022) Vector operations for accelerating Bayesian computation -- A tutorial guide. Bayesian Analysis, 17(2):593-622 DOI arXiv.org  

23. SA Vollert, R Salomone, G Monsalve-Bravo, MP Adams, DJ Warne (2021) Model selection and sloppiness in ecology. In The International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM21), Sydney, Australia. URL

24. D.J Warne, A Ebert, C Drovandi, W Hu, A Mira, K Mengersen. (2020) Hindsight is 2020 vision: a characterisation of the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic. BMC Public Health 20:1868 DOI medRxiv.org

25. AP Browning, DJ Warne, K Burrage, RE Baker, MJ Simpson. (2020) Identifiability analysis for stochastic differential equation models in systems biology. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 17:20200652 DOI bioRxiv.org 

26. DJ Warne, RE Baker , MJ Simpson. (2020) A practical guide to pseudo-marginal methods for computational inference in systems biology. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 496:110255 DOI arXiv.org

27. DJ Warne, RE Baker, MJ Simpson. (2019) Simulation and inference algorithms for stochastic biochemical reaction networks: from basic concepts to state-of-the-art. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 16:20180943 DOI arXiv.org

28. DJ Warne, RE Baker, MJ Simpson. (2019) Using experimental data and information criteria to guide model selection for reaction–diffusion problems in mathematical biology. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 81:1760–1804 DOI bioRxiv.org

29. DJ Warne, RE Baker, MJ Simpson. (2018) Multilevel rejection sampling for approximate Bayesian computation. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis,  124:71–86 DOI arXiv.org

30. D Agdas, DJ Warne, J Osio-Norgaard, FJ Masters. (2018) Utility of genetic algorithms for solving large-scale construction time-cost trade-off problems. Journal of Computing in Civil Engineering,  32:04017072 DOI

31. DJ Warne, RE Baker, MJ Simpson. (2017) Optimal quantification of contact inhibition in cell populations. Biophysical Journal, 113: 1920–1924 DOI arXiv.org

32. AS Hurn, KA Lindsay, DJ Warne. (2016) A heterogeneous computing approach to maximum likelihood parameter estimation for the Heston model of stochastic volatility. The ANZIAM Journal, 57:C364-381 DOI

33. DJ Warne, RF Hayward. (2015) The dynamics of cellular automata on 2-manifolds is affected by topology. Journal of Cellular Automata, 10:319-339.

34. HJ Macintosh, DJ Warne, NA Kelson, JE Banks, TW Farrell. (2015) Implementation of parallel tridiagonal solvers for a heterogeneous computing environment. The ANZIAM Journal 56, C446-C462 DOI

35. DJ Warne, NA Kelson, RF Hayward. (2014) Comparison of high level FPGA hardware design for solving tri-diagonal linear systems. Procedia Computer Science, 29:95–101 DOI

36. DJ Warne, RF Hayward, NA Kelson, JE Banks, L. Mejias. (2014) Pulse-coupled neural network performance for real-time identification of vegetation during forced landing.  The ANZIAM Journal, 55:C1–C16 DOI

37. DJ Warne, G Larsen, J Young, ME Cox. (2013) Image-based flow visualisation (IBFV) to enhance interpretation of complex flow patterns within a shallow tidal barrier estuary.  Environmental Modelling & Software, 47:64-73 DOI

38. DJ Warne, RF Hayward, NA Kelson, DG Mallet. (2013) An efficient algorithm for the detection of Eden. Complex Systems, 22:377-404 DOI

39. DJ Warne, J Young, NA Kelson. (2013) Visualisation of complex flows using texture-based techniques. The ANZIAM Journal, 54:C1-C13 DOI

40. M Al-Roumi, K Biggerstaff, DJ Warne, AL Fielding. (2013) Calibration of treatment time intensity modulated EPID images for anatomical imaging. In Engineering and Physical Sciences in Medicine Conference (EPSM2013). URL

41. DJ Warne, NA Kelson, RF Hayward. (2012) Solving tri-diagonal linear systems using field programmable gate arrays. In Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Computational Methods (ICCM2012). URL

42. T Kairn, D Warne, J Kenny, AL Fielding, JV Trapp, M Dwyer. (2012) Corrigendum to “Accurately simulating the production of radiotherapy portal images using non-zero beam angles” [Radiat. Meas. 46 (2011) 1967-1970]. Radiation Measurements, 47:565 DOI

43. F Melchels, PS Wiggenhauser, D Warne, M Barry, FR Ong, WS Chong, DW Hutmacher, J-T Schantz. (2011) CAD/CAM-assisted breast reconstruction. Biofabrication 3:034114 DOI

44. T Kairn, D Warne, J Kenny, M Dwyer. (2011) Accurately simulating the production of radiotherapy portal images using non-zero beam angles. Radiation Measurements, 46:1967-1970 DOI