Narrative　Engineering

Clarifying the relationship between "cognitive warfare" and "narratives."

"For the time being, let's define the targets of attack and defense in 'cognitive warfare' as 'narratives.' While it may be necessary to consider whether there are perspectives that do not fall within this definition, we will proceed with the dialogue using this definition for now.

When assessing risks in the context of security regarding cognitive warfare, it is extremely difficult to quantitatively answer questions such as 'what values should be protected,' 'what threats exist,' and 'what items are evaluated as vulnerabilities.'

The starting point for quantification would be to consider methods for handling narratives on a computer based on some data structure. For example, there is an accumulation of certain knowledge as seen in the literature [ “Computational Understanding of Narratives: A Survey,” IEEE Access], and it is expected that previously examined methods can be utilized."

The relationship between "data science" methods and "narratives."

"The space where citizens belonging to a certain cultural sphere routinely exchange information is called an 'information space,' and this becomes the battlefield in cognitive warfare.

The field that handles this information space from a data science perspective is called 'NLP: Natural Language Processing.'

Looking back at the recent developments in this technical field, an important item is the establishment of a method to handle distributed representations of vocabulary that constitute discourse using deep learning (DNN: Deep Neural Network), which provides the foundation for building LLMs (Large Language Models).

With the scaling up of LLMs that constitute generative AI, their 'black box' nature has been pointed out as a research problem. When attempting to analyze 'narratives' from multiple perspectives, it is expected that it will be necessary to apply 'classical' data science methods, including Bayesian estimation methods."

The role of current AI in cognitive warfare.

"It is important to consider the role that AI plays in cognitive warfare, including the generation of sophisticated disinformation and the potential for high-speed, large-scale engagement practices."

Why "engineering?"

"Narratives involve subjective evaluations for each individual citizen who is the target of security. Even if narratives could be quantified in some way, it is impossible to avoid subjective evaluations when discussing their value.

The attempt to define the analysis of narratives with the word 'engineering' is intended to minimize the intrusion of fluctuations due to such subjective evaluations."

"Considering that cognitive warfare often targets political issues and aims to create conflict and division among citizens, it is considered significant from a research perspective to grasp narratives as objectively as possible."