The following figures show the influence of disease transimissibility reduction on the arrival time of epidemic peak.

  • State-wise data is represented by the box-and-whisker, and national data is shown by the blue circle.

  • Days (till epidemic peak) are counted from the date on which the forecast is made.

  • A 25% reduction in transmissibility could delay the national epidemic peak by 40-50 days. A 50% reduction in transmissibility could delay the peak to earlier 2021.

  • The effectiveness of transmissibility reduction also decays overtime.