Past Forecasts (April 2024)

COVID-19 Trends Forecast

Variant Proportions Forecast

*Dots represent raw sequencing data from GISAID.

Variant definitions:

Group 1: XBB* and non-JN.1 BA.2.86*

Group 2: JN.1* w/out significant extra S mutations

Group 3: JN.1* w/ S:F456L, S:T572I, S:R346T, or S:Q493E

Group 4: Non-KP.3* JN.1* w/ S:F456L & S:R346T or S:F456L & S:Q493E

Group 5: KP.3* and JN.1* w/ S:F456L, S:R346T, & S:31-

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