This figure shows modeled habitat suitability for Bombus occidentalis (the Western bumblebee) in Oregon, comparing two time periods: before and after the species' sharp population decline around 1998 (Xerces, 2015).
The color gradient represents relative habitat suitability, with dark purple indicating areas of high suitability and light yellow indicating low suitability. County boundaries are shown for spatial reference.
The historic model (top) predicts widespread suitable habitat, particularly in the eastern Cascades, Blue Mountains, and parts of southwestern Oregon.
The current model (bottom) indicates a significant contraction in suitable habitat, with much of the formerly suitable range showing reduced suitability or becoming unsuitable altogether.
This map, adapted from Tronstad et al. (2025), illustrates the changes in habitat suitability for Bombus occidentalis across Oregon. Areas that experienced an increase, decrease, or no significant change to habitat suitability over time are highlighted using a color gradient with blue being an increase, white being no siginificant change, and tan being a decrease in suitable habitat. The extensive white regions stretching through the central part of the state indicate areas where habitat suitability remained largely stable between the pre-1998 and post-1998 models. In contrast, certain regions, particularly in southwestern Oregon, show notable decreases in habitat suitability. Interestingly, only a small area exhibited an increase in suitability.
Habitat change was calculated by subtracting the pre-1998 model’s suitability score from the post-1998 model’s score for each location, producing a change value between –1 and +1. Areas were considered unchanged if this difference is between ±0.1, meaning small shifts in model score were treated as essentially stable rather than true increases or decreases. Areas with changes greater than +0.1 were classified as increases in suitable habitat, while those with changes less than –0.1 were classified as decreases. A ±0.1 threshold was chosen to capture meaningful changes in habitat suitability while still being sensitive enough to detect relatively small but potentially important shifts across the landscape.
This map illustrates modeled habitat suitability for Bombus occidentalis across western North America during two time periods: before (top) and after (bottom) the species' widespread decline around 1998 (Xerces, 2015).
Dark blue areas indicate regions classified as suitable habitat, while light gray represents unsuitable habitat. The historic model (pre-1998) shows a broader range of suitable habitat, which contracts significantly in the post-1998 model highlighting the species' range reduction over time.
The United States Fish and Wildlife Service (Service) shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of the data described and/or contained herein. While the Service makes every reasonable effort to ensure the accuracy and completeness of data provided for distribution, it may not have the necessary accuracy or completeness required for every possible intended use. The Service recommends that data users consult the associated metadata record to understand the quality and possible limitations of the data. The Service creates metadata records in accordance with the standards endorsed by the Federal Geographic Data Committee.
As a result of the above considerations, the Service gives no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the data. It is the responsibility of the data user to use the data in a manner consistent with the limitations of geospatial data in general and these data in particular. Although these data have been processed successfully on a computer system at the Service, no warranty, expressed or implied, is made regarding the utility of the data on another system or for general or scientific purposes, nor shall the act of distribution constitute any such warranty. This applies to the use of the data both alone and in aggregate with other data and information.