Research Interests
International trade; the political economy of trade policy; the gravity model estimation; the relationship between trade liberalization and poverty; trade in agricultural goods; determinants of product specialization; relationship between terrorism and world trade in merchandise and services; effects of terrorism on air passenger flows; relationship between terrorism, armed conflicts and global arms trade and company arms sales; protection against risks in bilateral trade in freight insurance; determinants of military spending; role of network in international trades; China and its impact on international trade in high-tech products; China's displacement effects in trade in electronics, apparel and textiles (A & T), and agricultural products; the ongoing US-China Trade War; the ongoing US-China chips war; China's retaliatory tariffs and the US agricultural exports; a comprehensive empirical evaluation of performance of Vietnam's major agricultural exports; the COVID-19 Pandemic and its causes; the COVID-19 vaccination and its effects, trade in freight insurance services and its determinants; the US farm subsidies and their impact on the US state agricultural exports; Asian economies such as China, Japan, South Korea, India, ASEAN and Vietnam.
Publications
1. Pham Cong S. 2008. “Production specialization in International Trade: A Further Investigation. Journal of International Economics, 75(1): 214-218. (PDF). ABDC Journal Quality List: A*.
2. Djankov Simeon, Freund Caroline, and Pham Cong S. 2010. “Trading on Time”. Review of Economics and Statistics, 92 (1): 166- 173. ABDC Journal Quality List: A*.
As of July 2021, this paper has had more than 1100 citations including top journals in economics such as American Economic Review, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Review of
Economic Studies, Journal of Economic Literature, Review of Economics and Statistics, Journal of International Economics, European Economic Review, Journal of Development
Economics...etc.
3. Pham Cong S., Mary E. Lovely, and Devashish Mitra. 2014. “The Home-Market Effect and Bilateral Trade Patterns: A Reexamination of the Evidence”.
International Review of Economics and Finance, 30: 120-137. ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
4. Hoang Xuan-Trung, Pham Cong S. and Ulubasoglu Mehmet. 2014 “Non-Farm Activity, Household Expenditure, and Poverty Reduction in Rural Vietnam: 2002–2008”.
The World Development, 64: 554-568. ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
5. Hoang Xuan-Trung, Pham Cong S., and Ulubasoglu Mehmet. 2016. “Second-Stage Trade Reforms and The Dynamics of Poverty in Rural Vietnam: 2002-2008”.
The Journal of Asia Pacific Economy, 21 (1): 132-150. ABDC Journal Quality List: B.
6. Pham Cong S., and Ulubasoglu Mehmet . 2016. “Endowment, Technology and Size in International Trade: New Evidence from Product Trade Data”.
Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 25 (7): 913-937. ABDC Journal Quality List: B.
7. Pham, Cong S., Xuan Nguyen, Pasquale Srgo and Xueli Tang. 2017. "Has China Displaced Its Competitors in High-Tech Trade?". The World Economy, 40(8): 1569-1596. Lead article.
ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
8. Mitra Devashish, Pham Cong S., Bandyopadhyau, Shubayu. 2018. "Terrorism and International Air Travel". The world Economy, 41(11): 2852-2882. ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
9. Hoang Xuan-Trung, Pham Cong S., and Ulubasoglu, Mehmet. 2019. "Institutions for Private Sector Development and Pro-Poor Growth: Evidence from Vietnam".
Economics of Transitions and Institutional Change, 27(3): 699-728. ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
10. Tong Lan-Anh, Pham Cong S., and Ulubasoglu Mehmet. 2019. "Export Effects of US farm Subsidies". American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 101(4); 1277-1304.
ABDC Journal Quality List: A*.
11. Martin Will, and Pham Cong S. 2020. "Estimating the Gravity Equation when Zero Trade Flows are Frequent and Economically Determined". Applied Economics, 52(26): 2766-2779.
ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
As of July 2021, this paper has has more than 350 citations including top journals in economics such as Journal of International Economics, Review of Economics and Statistics,
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, World Bank Economic Review, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Southern Economic Journal, Applied Economics, World Development,
World Economy...etc. It is also cited in the Handbook of International Economics edited by Head and Mayer (2014).
12. Nguyen Tam, Nguyen Xuan, Pasquale Sgro, and Pham Cong S. 2020. "Culture, Financial Crisis and the Demand for Property and Accident and Health Insurance in the OECD Countries".
Economic Modelling, 93, 480-498. ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
13. Bandyopadhyay Subhayu, Doucouliagos Chris, and Pham Cong S. 2021. "Effects of Neighboring Nation Terrorism on Imports". Southern Economic Journal, 88: 144-167.
A version of this paper was presented at the Asia Pacific Trade Seminars in 2017 at Foreign Trade University, Hanoi, Vietnam. ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
14. Pham Cong S., Lovely, Mary E., Nguyen Xuan, and Chao Chi-Chur Chao. "Impact of China on Trade in Electronic Products". 2022. Economics of Transition and
Institutional Change, 30(2): 357-372. A version of this paper was presented at the University of Auckland, New Zealand in 2012. ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
A version of this paper was presented at the University of Auckland, New Zealand in 2012. ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
15. Pham Cong S. and Nguyen Hoa. 2023. “Impact of Terrorism on International Trade in Financial Services: Does the Development of Financial Institutions Matter?”.
The World Economy. This paper was presented at the Australian Trade Workshop at the RMIT in December 2018, the Asia-Pacific Trade
Seminars at the University of Tokyo in June 2019, October 27-29, 2022, Vietnam Symposium in Banking and Finance in October 2022, and the Vietnam
Economist Annual Meeting in November 2022. ABDC Journal Quality List: A.
16. Pham Cong S. and Mitra Devashish. 2024. Southern Economic Journal. "The Color of Coronavirus". Appendix.
Book Chapter Publications
1. Pham Cong S. 1997 (In French). “Les Relations entre le Vietnam and la Chine : une Analyse Vietnamienne”. Le dialogue Chine-Vietnam dans un context
de security multilateral an Asie Orientale, edited by Gerard Hervouet. Institute for Advanced International Studies, Laval University, Quebec, Canada.
2. Martin Will, Anderson Kym and Pham Cong S. 2008. “Effects of GATT/WTO on Asia’s Trade”, pages: 50-73. International Institutions and Asian
Development, edited by Shiro Amstrong, and Thanh Vo Tri.
Papers under Review
1. Pham Cong S., and Ulubasoglu M. "What Determines the Sales of the largest Arms Producing Companies?".
2. Pham Cong S. "How Does the COVID-19 Vaccination Matter? A Spatial Analysis". Online Appendices. Replication files available upon request. This paper was presented on October 16, 2021, in the ISVE virtual seminar series. I also presented this paper at WEAI's 17th International Conference at the University of Melbourne on April 12 to 15, 2023.
Finished Papers (These papers will be made available online soon or/and upon request to cong.pham@deakin.edu.au)
1. Pham Cong S. 2025. Making America Powerful Again: Realist Protectionism in Action. An earlier version circulated under the title “Making America Powerful Again”.
This paper was presented in WEAI virtual conference in June 2020, at Monash University in August 2020, and at the Workshop on Natural Experiments in History: Development,
Health, Labour, on November 24, 2020. Deakin University. This paper was also presented in the 2021 Virtual Asia Pacific Trade Seminar (APTS) on June 27, 2021, organized by the
University of Tokyo, at the Vietnam Symposium in International Business as a keynote speaker presentation in October 29-November 01, 2022 at the Ho Chi Minh University of Banking.
Presentation Slides. On December 01, 2023, I also presented this paper at the Melbourne Trade Workshop at the University of Melbourne. April 2025, I presented this paper at a trade
mini-workshop at Monash University.
2. Pham Cong S. 2019. “What Drives Global Arms Trade and Military Spending”. This paper was presented at the 5th Trade and Development Workshop at Deakin University in 2018, the
Australian Public Choice Conference at the RMIT in December 2018, at the 14th Vietnam Economist Annual Meeting (VEAM) at the University of Economics, University of Danang in
July 2023.
3. Pham Cong S. "Chip Trade and a Chip War". A draft of this paper will be available soon. I plan to present this paper in an OASIS seminar in early 2025.
Ongoing Intensive Work
4. Pham Cong S. “Protecting Against Risks in International Trade”. First draft of the paper is expected in early 2022. This paper was presented at the Brownbag Seminar Series, Deakin
University on April 12, 2021 and at the Melbourne Trade Workshop on December 08, 2021 at the University of Melbourne. This paper will be presented at the 15th Australian Trade
Workshop virtually organized on April 10, 2022 by the University of Canterbury, New Zealand.
Abstract: From the shipment departure to the delivery point at destination, both exporters and importers are incentivised to insure against numerous risks that can emerge at every step along this process. Using a sample of
bilateral trade in freight insurance services among more than 50 countries for the 2000-2014 period, this paper studies how countries protect against risks in international trade. We focus on a comprehensive set of
risks associated with the shipment transport, armed conflicts and terror in them, and the development of their port and legal systems. We have made several important findings. First, countries located further
away from each other have significantly higher trade in freight insurance services. Second, armed conflicts in the trading pairs have no significant impact on their bilateral trade in freight insurance services while
terror in them significantly increases it. This finding is in line with the argument that armed conflicts in the trading pairs reduce more merchandise trade and the odds of successful freight insurance claim than
terrorism. Third, trading pairs with better port systems have significantly less bilateral freight insurance service trade. Finally, we find that trading pair with better enforcing contract indicator in terms of the time
for resolving a commercial dispute through a local first-instance court trade more in freight insurance services.
Ongoing Work
6. Pham Cong S. “Is the Kyoto Protocol Binding? Evidence from Trade in Coal and Crude Oil”.
7. Pham Cong S. “An Empirical Evaluation of the Performance of Vietnam’s Top Agricultural Exports”. A draft of this paper was presented in September 2019
to members of a Delegation of Vietnam’s Farmers Union as part of Deakin Business School Executive Education.
Less Active Research Projects
8. Pham Cong S. 2005. "Mobility and Intra-Distribution Dynamics of Trade Patterns in Manufacturing: An Empirical Investigation. Mimeo.
9. Pham Cong S. 2007. "Relationship-Specific Sunk Costs and Exporter Decisions". Mimeo.
Referring
Journal of Economic Geography, American Journal of Agricultural Economics (4), European Economic Review, Journal of International Economics (2), International Review of Economics and Finance, Journal of International Trade and Economic Development (11), China Economic Review (5), Journal of Development Economics, Australian Economic Papers, Canadian Journal of Economics, Economic Record, Journal of Asia Pacific Economy, World Economy (4), Review of International Economics, Review of World Economics (3), Asian Economic Journal, Journal of Asian Economics, International Trade Journal, Economics and Politics (7), Economic Inquiry (2), International Review of Financial Analysis, Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics (2), Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, Economics of Transitions and Institutional Change, Review of World Economics, Oxford Open Economics, Review of Development Economics.