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Carlo Caporali
  • Welcome!
  • Research
  • Teaching
Carlo Caporali
  • Welcome!
  • Research
  • Teaching
  • More
    • Welcome!
    • Research
    • Teaching

Co-Authors

Giovanni Baiocchetti

Luca Buzzanca

Fabiano Compagnucci

Federico Crudu

Claudio Detotto

Alessandra Faggian

Davide Luca

Davide Lunardon

Federico Maggio

Gabriel Rodriguez

Francesco Scotti

Federico Zampollo

Journal Articles

Maggio F & Caporali C (2024) The Impact of Police Violence on Migration: Evidence from Venezuela., Journal of Population Economics, 37 (1).

Under Review

Caporali C, Scotti F, Baiocchetti G, Faggian A. Better Together? The Impact of Municipal Mergers on Economic Efficiency in Italy. R&R at Regional Studies.

Book Chapters

Lunardon D and Caporali C (2024), Polycentric Urban Regions in Italy. A Novel Assessment in Conflict Scenarios and Transitions: Opportunities and Risks for Regions and Territories (pp. 99-119), edited by Modica M and Piacentino D, Franco Angeli Editore. ISBN: 9788835166535. 

Compagnucci F, Faggian A, Caporali C (2024), Traiettorie Evolutive nelle Aree Interne a Dieci Anni dalla SNAI in Le Disparita e le Politiche Territoriali in Italia, edited by Viesti G, Carrocci Editore.

Faggian A & Caporali C (2024), Resilience Analysis in The World of Regional Science - A Thematic Encyclopedia of Regional Science, edited by Nijkamp P, Kourtit K, Haynes K & Elburz Z, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham. 

Faggian A, Caporali C, Zampollo C, Graduate Mobility and Job-Mismatch: State-of-the-Art and Future Challenges. In Handbook of Labour Mobility: Regional, national and global perspectives, edited by Eriksson R and Kalsø H, Edward Elgar Publisher. Forthcoming.

Caporali C & Faggian A, Towards a Regional Glocalization. In Essays on Global Regionalism, edited by Acharya, De Lombaerde, Futak-Campbell, Iroulo, Peixoto Batista, UNU-CRIS (Institute on Comparative Regional Integration Studies). Forthcoming.

Working Papers

Caporali C, Crudu F, Detotto C (2024) Terror and Turnout: Impact of Terrorism During the Years of Lead. CRENoS Working Papers, ISBN: 9788868515621. Available at: https://crenos.unica.it/crenos/publications/terror-and-turnout-impact-terrorism-during-years-lead. 

Caporali C, Scotti F, Baiocchetti G, Faggian A (2025) Assessing the impact of municipal mergers on local public expenditure dynamics in Italy,  ISSN 2724-3680. Available at: https://www.gssi.it/images/discussion%20papers%20rseg/2025/DPRSEG_2025-02.pdf.

Work-in-Progress

Are NextGenerationEU funds effectively targeted? Assessing the territorial distribution of Italy’s Recovery and Resilience Plan. With D. Luca and F. Scotti. 

To address the socio-economic challenges of COVID-19, the European Union launched NextGenerationEU, its largest-ever stimulus package, worth over €650bn. At its core are National Recovery and Resilience Plans (RRPs), which provide member states with financial support for structural reforms and investments. Despite the scale and potential of this initiative, empirical evidence on how these funds are allocated remains limited. Focusing on Italy, one of the largest beneficiaries, we investigate two key questions: (1) we explore the territorial distribution of funds from Italy’s national government, in charge of overall coordination, to local administrations, by identifying the key local characteristics associated with participation in Italy’s RRP/amounts received. (2) We explore whether recipient areas specialise in policy areas where they have existing strengths or invest in weaker domains. Using a two-stage Heckman model and a dataset covering nearly 8,000 municipalities, we analyse how local administrative, financial, and macroeconomic factors shape fund allocation. Findings reveal that the allocation process is overall relatively effective in channelling resources where they are needed. However, some of Italy’s weakest territories may struggle to fully exploit the opportunities provided by NextGenerationEU, potentially reinforcing spatial inequalities rather than reducing them. 

Drought, mafia, and slavery. Evidence from Italy. With L. Buzzanca 

We investigate the effects of climate-induced migration on criminal dynamics in destination countries. Leveraging restricted-access monthly and provincial-level data on human trafficking-related crimes, our difference-in-differences estimates show that the severe drought shock occurring in Southern Nigeria in 2016 increased human trafficking-related crimes committed by Nigerian nationals in Italy. Specifically, we estimate an increase of 18 additional crimes attributable to this climate shock, representing a 150\% rise relative to pre-shock levels. We then explore the role of existing organized crime structures and community networks in facilitating the exploitation of migrants using provincial-level data. This analysis reveals that a stronger presence of criminal organizations and larger Nigerian communities in certain provinces explains a higher incidence of crimes related to human trafficking.

PhD Thesis

Caporali, C. (2023). Essay on local violence. Available at: https://iris.gssi.it/handle/20.500.12571/29924. 

Involvment in Research Projects

APPLICATE - Assessing Public Policy effectiveness in minimizing Local Impacts with Climate-related Adaptation Expenditures

The project proposes a research design based on ex-post quantitative analyses dedicated to addressing the multiple channels through which changes in climatic conditions and the related increase in frequency and magnitude of extreme events might impact the socio-economic systems at the local scale. 


Space It Up – Strengthening the Italian Space Ecosystem through Research and Innovation

The project, led by the Italian Space Agency (ASI) is structured into nine research areas, ranging from the development of enabling technologies for new Earth observation and planetary exploration missions, to the design of digital twins for space systems, and research on extraterrestrial habitats and the sustainability of human activities in space. Among the main objectives are the promotion of a sustainable future through innovative space technologies, the strengthening of Italy’s ability to compete internationally in the space sector, and the creation of a stronger and more competitive national space ecosystem.


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