PUBLICATIONS
PUBLICATIONS
Heterogeneity in Health Insurance Choice: An Experimental Investigation of Consumer Choice and Feature Preferences with Nadja Kairies-Schwarz, Johanna Kokot, and Markus Vomhof (2025). Journal of Risk and Insurance, 92(4), pp. 1096-1121. Doi: 10.1111/jori.70026
Abstract We investigate heterogeneity in health insurance choice using data from a controlled laboratory experiment. Participants make consecutive choices from sets of insurance plans that vary in premium, deductible, and complementary coverage of illnesses. We find that there is considerable heterogeneity in how much individuals are willing to pay for certain plan attributes. To better understand these differences, we account for individual risk preferences using a rank-dependent expected utility (RDEU) model and assess the welfare effects of plan choices. At the aggregate level, we find welfare losses under both the normative RDEU model and the descriptive EV model. At the individual level, however, the results are more differentiated: for some individuals, choices are consistent with their RDEU preferences, whereas for others, choices do not fit either model, suggesting either decision errors or reliance on heuristics.
Vaccination Decisions Under Risk: Experimental Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic with Johanna Kokot (2025). Theory and Decision (accepted).
Abstract We examine how risk preferences influence vaccination decisions and subsequent behavior in a pandemic context. Using data from 2,701 individuals from seven European countries, we employed an incentivized'virus risk elicitation task', adapted from a bomb risk elicitation task, to elicit individual risk preferences in a health-related context. In the first part of the experiment, all participants faced a risk of infection without the option of vaccination. In the second part, some participants were offered a vaccination option that reduced potential losses from infection. We found that most participants were risk-averse and that there was an inverse U-shaped relationship between risk preferences and vaccination uptake: individuals with risk preferences closer to neutrality were more likely to opt for vaccination. Among participants who chose vaccination, we observed an increase in social interaction, which is consistent with risk compensation behavior. These results provide evidence on the relationship between risk preferences, vaccination decisions, and post-vaccination behavior, offering insights into the drivers of vaccine hesitancy and informing the design of future public health strategies.
Contextual Framing Effects on Risk Aversion Assessed Using the Bomb Risk Elicitation Task with Johanna Kokot (2023). Economic Letters, 229, 111227. Doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111227
Abstract We examine the impact of framing on individuals’ risk-taking behavior in the context of health risks during the coronavirus outbreak. We elicit risk attitudes from a sample of 3385 individuals across seven European countries using an incentivized decision-making task. Participants are randomly assigned to one of three versions of the task: one involving the risk of a bomb explosion, one involving the risk of contracting an infectious disease, and one involving opening an empty box. We find that the framing of the task significantly affects risk-taking behavior, with participants exhibiting greater risk aversion in the health task than in the bomb or neutral task. This framing effect is observed in the majority of the countries studied.
RESEARCH PAPER
Abstract We examine the impact of framing on individuals’ risk-taking behavior in the context of health risks during the coronavirus outbreak. We elicit risk attitudes from a sample of 3385 individuals across seven European countries using an incentivized decision-making task. Participants are randomly assigned to one of three versions of the task: one involving the risk of a bomb explosion, one involving the risk of contracting an infectious disease, and one involving opening an empty box. We find that the framing of the task significantly affects risk-taking behavior, with participants exhibiting greater risk aversion in the health task than in the bomb or neutral task. This framing effect is observed in the majority of the countries studied.
The European COvid Survey (ECOS): Technical Report with Iryna Sabat, Sebastian Neumann-Böhme, Pedro Pita Barros, Carolin Brinkmann, Werner Brouwer, Job van Exel, Lasse Falk, Johanna Kokot, Aleksandra Torbica, Nirosha Elsem Varghese, Jonas Schreyögg, and Tom Stargard (2024) HCHE Research Papers, 30
Abstract European COvid Survey (ECOS), a longitudinal study spanning eight European countries, was initiated early in the COVID-19 pandemic. Its purpose was to comprehend public perceptions, trust, knowledge, and behaviors related to COVID-19, including vaccination. The study aimed to enable timely monitoring and assess relationships between these variables, producing evidence for policy and research in Europe. ECOS pursued a dual objective: first, conducting quick descriptive analyses at the end of fieldwork to produce policy-relevant evidence and share timely findings on sentiments toward containment policies, vaccinations, and vaccine types through press releases and events. These findings were valuable as they were both prompt and representative of national populations. Second, ECOS aimed to address health-economic research questions for an academic audience, utilizing advanced analytic methodologies. The resulting data-based research from ECOS provided an empirical foundation to understand longitudinal phenomena and relationships, contributing to a deeper comprehension of socioeconomic processes and behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic. Importantly, it offered informed findings for policymakers to shape effective responses and policies.
This technical report provides an account of the design, development, and methodology of 11 data collections henceforth referred to as waves of the survey, which were fielded between April 2020 and December 2022.
WORKING PAPER
Risk and Prosociality: Can Experimental Decisions Predict Health Behavior?
Reciprocity in Treatment Decisions by Physicians: A Theoretical Model and a Laboratory Experiment with Malte Griebenow, Philip Huynh, Mathias Kifmann, and Johanna Kokot
Health Shocks and Risk-Taking Behavior: Evidence from Longitudinal Experimental Data with Johanna Kokot and Pauline Mente
Determinants of WHO COVID-19 preventive behaviors over time in Europe with Kathleen Gali, Sebastian Neumann-Böhme, Iryna Sabat, and Jonas Schreyögg
WORK IN PROGRESS
Risk Aversion and Prudence over Outcomes and Time with Timo Heinrich, Miriam Krieger, Thomas Mayrhofer, and Christina Strobel
Willingness to Pay for Non-Vaccinated to Get a Vaccine – A Laboratory Experiment with Lea Bullenkamp, Alexander Helmut Fauser, Simon Hennig, Johanna Kokot, Joyce Mejedo, Tommaso Roccabianca, and Giorgia Zito