Vision: Eco, Smart, Climate resilient & Sustainable cities
Academic research area: Integrated water resource management, Water cyber-physical-social system, Socio-environmental hydrology, Urban infrastructure system resilience, Real time system modeling and control, Water dynamics in climatic emergencies
Professional research and consultancy area: Hydraulic modeling, Preparation of masterplan, density zoning plan, action area plan, infrastructure development plan and contingency plan; Climate change risk/impact assessment on resiliency, ecosystem services and biodiversity; Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA); Environmental Management; Hazard, exposure and vulnerability mapping; Multi hazard contingency planning; Urban Resilience; Social Equity; Racial Justice.
Methodology: Discrete choice analysis, statistical and econometric analysis, policy development, surveys, quantitative and qualitative methods, spatial analysis and machine learning.
Integrated water resource management
Water cyber-physical-social system
Socio-environmental hydrology
Urban infrastructure system resilience
Real time system modeling and control
Water dynamics in climatic emergencies
Systems thinking and analysis
Data driven numerical modelling with advance statistics and data science
Civil Engineering
Water Resources Engineering
Social Science
Urban Planning
Public Policy
Envisioning Eco, Smart, Climate-Resilient, and Sustainable cities, my research encompasses several key interconnected areas. I am deeply involved in next-generation water systems, including Integrated Water Resource Management and Water Cyber-Physical-Social Systems, to enhance the resilience of urban infrastructure. I am also eager to integrate Socio-Environmental Hydrology with Real-Time System Modeling and Control, and am particularly interested in understanding the dynamics of water in climatic emergencies. By employing Systems Thinking, coupled with Data-Driven Numerical Modeling using advanced statistics and data science, I strive to develop models that capture the complex interdependencies among the critical urban services—energy, water, transportation, and communication—especially under extreme conditions.
I tackle these researches through theoretical, conceptual, and numerical modelling. Through these works, I develop more practical recommendations for governmental and non-governmental agencies on how to improve operational efficiency, increase disaster-related safety, and promote more just and equity to society.
I use both quantitative and qualitative methods in my research works. I use different theoretical frameworks, numerical models and data analysis frameworks in my research works. Some of the previously experienced methods of mine are as follows-
Discrete Choice Model and Analysis
Statistical and Econometric Analysis
Machine learning algorithms
- Linear regression
- Logistic regression
- Decision tree
- Support Vector Regression
- Naïve bayes
- K-nearest neighbor
- Artificial Neural Network
Data analysis and simulation
- Data cleaning, coding, statistical analysis, triangulation
Quantitative Survey Design
Qualitative Interview Design
- KII, IDI, FGD, PRA
Evaluation frameworks
- OECD-DAC
- SWOT
- PESTEL
Spatial Analysis
Laboratory Testing of Resilience Effects of Water Microgrids for Sustainable Water Supply
Sustainability (Impact Factor: 3.9)
Highlights:
Examining the limitations of traditional centralized water systems under climate, infrastructure, and socioeconomic stresses.
Demonstrating the operational resilience of water microgrids through lab-scale simulations under various disruption scenarios.
Comparing centralized, decentralized, and hybrid configurations to evaluate system redundancy, flexibility, and recovery.
Highlighting hybrid water microgrids as a promising solution for enhancing adaptive capacity, resilience, and sustainability in water supply systems.
Sustainable futures in agricultural heritage: Geospatial Exploration and predicting groundwater-level variations in Barind Tract of Bangladesh.
Science of The Total Environment (Impact Factor: 10.75)
Highlights:
Understanding the current status of groundwater levels and associated geological conditions.
Determining critical zones, recharging paths, and changing the nature of the Barind topology.
Forecasting future groundwater levels and critical zones for sustainable Agri-heritage practice.
Assuming sustainable futures in Agri-heritage helps local communities to become resilient.
Evaluation and Comparison of Curve Numbers Based on Dynamic Land Use and Land Cover Changes
Current Trends in Civil and Structural Engineering
Highlights:
Analyzing hydrological behavior in Lewis County, NY using NRCS Curve Number (CN) modeling for the years 2001, 2011, and 2021.
Integrating ArcGIS and Arc Hydro tools for LULC classification and CN value generation to assess infiltration and runoff potential.
Identifying the influence of land use changes on CN classes, highlighting increased runoff risk due to urbanization.
Emphasizing the need for improved data accuracy and future research to strengthen flood risk assessment and land management strategies.
Route Optimization Issues and Initiatives in Bangladesh: The Context of Regional Significance
Transportation Engineering, Elsevier
Highlights:
A brief analysis of route optimization methods, models along with application procedure in real world problems.
An overview of transportation system of Bangladesh in the light of requirements needed for adapting Intelligent Transportation System.
Compatibility of transportation system of Bangladesh to Intelligent Transportation System.
Adaptability of transportation system of Bangladesh to Route Optimization Methods.
Private Vehicle Ownership Prediction using Regression and Time Series Analysis
Book Chapter, Advances in Civil Engineering, Springer
Highlights:
Developing an intelligent model which can predict the number of private vehicles of the upcoming years considering multiple factors.
Relationship with GDP, Population, Private vehicles, and other Prediction factors
Inter-connection with Intelligent Transportation System
Traffic flow prediction by incorporating weather information in Naïve Bayes Classifier
Journal of Advanced Civil Engineering Practice and Research, 2019
Highlights:
Weather Responsive Traffic Management (WRTM)
Factors like weather conditions, human behavior, time period and others
Time series data, Data behavior, Abnormal changes, Stationarity, Seasonality, Difference, Forecast, limitations, Optimization.
Bayesian setting, No complex iterative factor estimation, Big dataset, Grouping strategies, High-dimensional information, Countless focuses, K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm
Python language environment
High probability, MAPE, RMSE.
Short Term Traffic Flow Forecasting by Time Series Analysis
International Conference on Planning, Architecture and Civil Engineering, 2019
Highlights:
Time series analysis (AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, SARIMA etc.)
Stationary, Non-stationary, Data Differencing, Dickey Fuller test
Trend analysis, Seasonality, Mean, Variance, Skewness, Kurtosis etc.
ACF, PACF, ARIMA order, t-distribution
Model Identification, Estimation, Diagnostic checking, Forecast
AIC, BIC, Q-statistics, High R-square
Residuals, Ljung-Box statistic, Normality, One-Sample Kolmogorov – Smirnov Test
MSE, MAPE, MAPPE, RMSE
Artificial Neural Network, Fuzzy Neural Network, Kalman-Filtering algorithm
Residuals, Ljung-Box statistic, Normality, One-Sample Kolmogorov – Smirnov Test
MSE, MAPE, MAPPE, RMSE
Traffic Flow Distribution and Predicting Short Time Traffic Flow Composition Using Monte Carlo Simulation
International Conference on Advances in Civil Engineering, 2018
Highlights:
Travel time, Normal distribution, Beta distribution, hypothesis testing
Distribution characteristics, log-logistic, log-normal, Gompertz, Gamma, Weibull etc.
Significance test, t-value, p-value
Chi squared test
Monte Carlo simulation, 14400 times simulation, Probability, Drift
Capability of simulation technique in short term forecasting and deviation in others.
Assessing Paratransit Service Quality and Users Perception Using Binary Logistic Regression Model
International Conference on Advances in Civil Engineering, 2021
Highlights:
Quantifying the suburbanites' observation
Five-point scale, Likert scale analysis
Real field data, quantitative, qualitative tools
Compatibility of BLR model
Result validation
New route choice, Service quality, Safety etc.
A Circumstantial Review on Ride-sharing Profile in Dhaka City
Journal of Computational Engineering and Physical Modeling
Highlights:
A brief review on existing ride sharing profile
A comprehensive analysis on ride sharing mechanism, driver behavior, peoples acceptance, effectiveness and compatibility with region
Comparison with each medium with specific indicators, Best case-worst case comparison
Traffic Flow Prediction Performance Comparison between ARIMA and Monte Carlo Simulation
Transport and Logistics: The International Journal
Highlights:
Analysis using uncertain factors, Prediction science
Short, Very short, Intermediate, Long term forecast
Multiple Linear Regression, Nonlinear Multivariable Regression
Time Series Models, Volatility forecast models
Monte Carlo Simulation
Comparison, Abrupt change and their prediction capability etc.
Prediction of Compaction Parameters of Soil using Support Vector Regression
Current Trend in Civil Engineering, 2019
Highlights:
Standard and Modified Proctor test.
Soil collection, Basic soil tests, Specific gravity, Liquid limit, Plastic limit, Plasticity index, Grain size analysis, Optimum moisture content, Maximum dry density etc.
Classification, ACF, PACF, Linear and Non-linear Regression, Histogram, Boxplot, Cross correlogram etc.
Support vector regression, Python coding environment.
Optimum equation development, Validation
Geospatial Analysis of Groundwater Level Variations Using Kriging Method
Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences
Highlights:
Groundwater station data collection, Site visiting, hydrogeological study, Geostatistics
Present condition mapping, ArcGIS, Kriging method
Variogram, Q-Q plot, Normality check, Cross validation, Outliers
Exponential, Gaussian, Spherical models, ME, RMSE, ASE, RMSS
Time series analysis, ARIMA
Forecast, Surface mapping, Reasonable suggestion
Peer-reviewed research papers related to Environmental & Water Resources Engineering
Effect of Intermittent Water Supply System in Water Distribution Network in Rajshahi City, Bangladesh
International Conference on Advances in Civil Engineering, 2018
This was an interesting topic for work. The quality of water was changing ridiculously from source to consumer in Rajshahi city through pipeline transportation. This work was needed to find out the actual cause and effect of transportation through pipeline on water quality changing.
Pump starting hour, Running hour, Sample collection
Samples from different distance from source
Physical, Chemical & Biological tests
Proper environment creation in lab, and maintaining
Quality changing rates
Assessment of Groundwater Quality of Rajshahi City in Bangladesh
International Conference on Advances in Civil Engineering 2018
Highlights:
Different location, Different scenario of groundwater level
Field work, Sample collection
Physical, Chemical & Biological lab tests
Comparison between supply water & ground water
Numerical modelling
Human-water intra environment relationship
GIS- Based Groundwater Assessment for Selected Wards: A Case Study of Rajshahi City Corporation (RCC)
Water and Energy International, Scopus
Highlights:
Groundwater sample collection
Laboratory tests (Physical, Chemical, Biological tests)
ArcGIS mapping
Numerical modelling
Investigation and assessment of supplied water quality in Rajshahi City Corporation of Bangladesh
Drinking Water Engineering and Science, Scopus
Highlights:
Groundwater sample collection
Laboratory tests
Impact Assessment
Numerical analysis and model generating
All Research Papers at a Glance
Major: Water Resources Engineering
Ale Magar, B., Hasnat, A., Ghanaatikashani, A., Acharya, K., & Shin, S. (2025). Laboratory Testing of Resilience Effects of Water Microgrids for Sustainable Water Supply. Sustainability, 17(8), 3339. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083339
Rasel, H.M. et al. 2022. Sustainable futures in agricultural heritage: Geospatial Exploration and predicting groundwater-level variations in Barind Tract of Bangladesh. Science of The Total Environment, p. 161297. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161297
Menuka Gautam*, Nishan Bhattarai, Binod Ale Magar, Dewasis Dahal, Sujan Shrestha, Bishal Poudel and Arif Hasnat. Evaluation and Comparison of Curve Numbers Based on Dynamic Land Use and Land Cover Changes. Cur Trends Civil & Struct Eng. 11(3): 2024. CTCSE.MS.ID.000764.
Poly, S. A., Hasnat, A., Tusher, H. I., and Rasel, H. M.: Investigation and assessment of supplied water quality in Rajshahi City Corporation of Bangladesh, Drink. Water Eng. Sci. Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/dwes-2020-31, 2021.
Poly, S.A., Hasnat, A., Hasan, M.M., 2018. Effect of Intermittent Water Supply System in Water Distribution Network in Rajshahi City, Bangladesh. 4th International Conference on Advances in Civil Engineering, 19 - 21, December 2018, CUET, Chittagong, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-984-34-5617-5
Rasel, H., Alam, S., Hasnat, A., Hossain, I., Hasan, M. and Ahsan, A., 2019. Geospatial Analysis of Groundwater Level Variations Using Kriging Method. Journal of Engineering and Applied Science, 3(2), pp.21-34.
Poly, S. and Hasnat, A., 2018. ASSESSMENT OF GROUNDWATER QUALITY OF RAJSHAHI CITY IN BANGLADESH. In: 4th International Conference on Advances in Civil Engineering 2018 (ICACE 2018). Department of Civil Engineering.
Ashikuzzaman, M., Poly, S., Salan, M. and Hasnat, A., 2019. GIS- Based Groundwater Assessment for Selected Wards: A Case Study of Rajshahi City Corporation (RCC). Water and Energy International, 61(11), pp.57-60.
Minor: Transportation Engineering
Shahrier, M., & Hasnat, A. (2021). Route optimization issues and initiatives in Bangladesh: The context of regional significance. Transportation Engineering, 4, 100054. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.treng.2021.100054
Galib, M. M. H., Rahman, F. I., & Hasnat, A. (2021). Private Vehicle Ownership Prediction Using Regression and Time Series Analysis. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, 327–338. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-5547-0_31
Hasnat, A., Rahman, F.I. (2019). Short Term Traffic Flow Forecasting by Time Series Analysis. 2nd International Conference on Planning, Architecture & Civil Engg., 07 - 09, February 2019, RUET, Rajshahi, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-984-34-5881-0
Hasnat, A., Rahman, F.I. (2018). Traffic Flow Distribution and Predicting Short Time Traffic Flow Composition Using MONTE CARLO Simulation. 4th International Conference on Advances in Civil Engineering, 19 - 21, December 2018, CUET, Chittagong, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-984-34-5617-5
Hasnat, A., Rahman, F.I, Lisa, A.A. (2019), Traffic flow prediction by incorporating weather information in Naïve Bayes Classifier. Journal of Advanced Civil Engineering Practice and Research, 8(June 2019):10-16
Tusher, H.I, Hasnat, A., Rahman, F.I (2020). A Circumstantial Review on Ride-sharing Profile in Dhaka City. Computational Engineering and Physical Modeling, 3(4), 58-76. doi: 10.22115/cepm.2020.236247.1112
Hasnat, A., Rahman, F.I. (2019). Traffic Flow Prediction Performance Comparison between ARIMA and Monte Carlo Simulation. Transport & Logistics: The International Journal, 2019; Volume 19, Issue 46, June 2019, ISSN 2406-1069
Rahman, F.I. Hasnat, A., (2018). Case Study on Transportation System in Rajshahi City, Bangladesh. Journal of Transportation Systems, Volume 3 Issue 2
Hasnat, A. (2019). Prediction of Compaction Parameters of Soil using Support Vector Regression. Current Trends in Civil & Structural Engineering, 4(1). https://doi.org/10.33552/ctcse.2019.04.000580
Hasnat, A., Tusher, H.I. (2018). Assessing Paratransit Service Quality and Users Perception in Mymensingh City Using Binary Logistic Regression Model. 4th International Conference on Advances in Civil Engineering, 19 - 21, December 2018, CUET, Chittagong, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-984-34-5617-5
Research Portfolio