Book chapters
Gayawan E., Adekunle A., Adegboye A. & Pak, A. (2022). Statistical Approaches to Infectious Diseases Modelling in Developing Countries: A Case of COVID-19. In O. Awe, K. Love & E. Vance (Eds.), Promoting Statistical Practice and Collaboration in Developing Countries (pp. 557-576). CRC Press. https://www.routledge.com/Promoting-Statistical-Practice-and-Collaboration-in-Developing-Countries/Awe-Love-Vance/p/book/9781032195551
Research publications
Adegboye, O., Alele, F., Pak, A., Castellanos, M., Abdullahi, M., Okeke, M., Emeto, T., & McBryde, E. (2023). A resurgence and re-emergence of diphtheria in Nigeria, 2023. Therapeutic Advances in Infectious Disease, 10. https://doi.org/doi:10.1177/20499361231161936
Gwaka, J., Demafo, M., N’konzi, J.-P., Pak, A., Olumoh, J., Elfaki, F., & Adegboye, O. (2023). Machine-learning approach for risk estimation and risk prediction of the effect of climate on bovine respiratory disease. Mathematics, 11(6), 1354. https://doi.org/10.3390/math11061354
Pak, A. & Gannon, B. (2023). The effect of neighbourhood and spatial crime rates on mental wellbeing. Empirical Economics, 64, 99-134. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-022-02256-y
Adegboye, O., Castellanos, M., Alele, F., Pak, A., Ezechukwu, H., Hou, K., & Emeto, T. (2022). Travel-related monkeypox outbreaks in the era of covid-19 pandemic: Are we prepared? Viruses, 14(6), 1–7. https://doi.org/10.3390/v14061283
Pak, A. & Adegboye, O. (2021). The Importance of Structural Factors in COVID-19 Response in Western Pacific. Asia Pacific Journal of Public Health. July 2021. https://doi.org/10.1177/10105395211035932
Pak, A., Eisen, D., McBryde, E. & Adegboye, O. (2021). Hospitalisation for lower respiratory tract infection is associated with an increased incidence of acute myocardial infarction and stroke in tropical Northern Australia. Scientific Reports, 11 (6826). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-86301-3
Pak, A., Adegboye, O., Eisen, D. & McBryde, E. (2021) Hospitalisations related to the lower respiratory tract infections in Northern Queensland. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Public Health. doi.org/10.1111/1753-6405.13104
Adegboye, O., Adekunle, A., Pak, A., Gayawan, E., Leung, D., Rojas, D., Elfaki, F., McBryde, E. & Eisen, D. (2021). Change in outbreak epicenter and its impact on the importation risks of COVID-19 progression: a modelling study. Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease, 40 (101988). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmaid.2021.101988
Pak, A. & Gannon, B. (2021). Do access, quality and cost of GP services influence a patient’s decision to visit ED? Health Policy, 125 (4), 504-511. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2021.01.003
Pak, A., McBryde, E. & Adegboye, O. (2021). Does high public trust amplify compliance with stringent COVID-19 government health guidelines? A multi-country analysis using data from 102,627 individuals. Risk Management and Healthcare Policy, 14, 293-302. https://doi.org/10.2147/RMHP.S278774
Pak, A., Gannon, B. & Staib, A. (2021). Forecasting Waiting Time to Treatment for Emergency Department Patients. International Journal of Medical Informatics, 145 (104303). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2020.104303
McBryde E., Meehan, M., Adegboye, O., Adekunle, A., Caldwell, J., Pak, A., Rojas, D., Williams, B. & Trauer, J. (2020). Role of modelling in COVID-19 policy development. Paediatric Respiratory Reviews, 35, 57-60. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prrv.2020.06.013
Pak, A., Adegboye, A., Adekunle, A., Rahman, K., McBryde, E., & Eisen, E. (2020). Economic Consequences of the COVID-19 Outbreak: the Need for Epidemic Preparedness. Frontiers in Public Health, 8 (241), 1-4. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2020.00241
Araral, E., Pak, A., Pelizzo, R. & Wu, X. (2019). Neo-patrimonialism and Corruption: Evidence from 8,436 Firms in 17 Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Public Administration Review, 79(4), 580-590. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/puar.13023
Pak, A. (2018). Predicting crude oil prices: Replication of the empirical results in “What do we learn from the price of crude oil?” Journal of Applied Econometrics, 33(1), 160–163. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/jae.2584
Pelizzo, R., Araral, E., Pak, A. & Xun, W. (2016). Determinants of Bribery: Theory and Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa. African Development Review, 28(2), 229–240. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1467-8268.12192
Howie, P. & Pak, A. (2015). Reducing fossil-fuel subsidies and the implication on inequality and poverty in Kazakhstan: A first estimate. In Energy security, technology and sustainability challenges across the globe, 38th IAEE International Conference, May 25-27, 2015. International Association for Energy Economics. https://www.iaee.org/en/Publications/proceedingsdetail.aspx?id=12750
Research grants
2021-2023: Extended Extracorporeal Shockwave and Electromagnetic Stimulation Therapies for Effective Treatment and Prevention of Diabetic Foot Ulcers (with Professor Usman Malabu, Dr Ramesh Velu, Dr Victoria White, Dr Ravindra Urkude, Dr Kunwarjit Sangla, Mr Trent Johnston, Ms Stephanie Isaac, Ms Maegan Morrison, Prof Cate Nagle, Dr Toni Weller, A/Prof Haleagrahara Nagaraja, Dr Venkat Vangaveti, Dr Oyelola Adegboye). Townsville Hospital and Health Service - Study Education Research Trust Account (SERTA). $140,000.
2021-2022: Emergency department waiting time predictions in real-time (with A/Prof Andrew Staib, Dr Kelly Trinh, Prof Navonil Mustafee, Dr Rob Eley, Prof Brenda Gannon). Emergency Medicine Foundation. $36,733.
Work in progress
Trinh, K., Staib, A. & Pak, A. Forecasting emergency department waiting time using a state space representation. Statistics in Medicine (Revise and Resubmit).