Research

Published and Forthcoming Papers

“Later-life Mortality and the Repeal of Federal Prohibition” (with David Jacks, Krishna Pendakur, and Hitoshi Shigeoka), 2024. Accepted at Journal of Public Economics.

[PDF] NBER Working Paper No. 31451 (July 2023) [OSF (ungated)] [IZA DP] [medRxiv] [CEPR DP]

Media coverage: [Time] [VoxEU Talks]

“The Gift of a Lifetime: The Hospital, Modern Medicine, and Mortality” (with Alex Hollingsworth, Krzysztof Karbownik, and Melissa A. Thomasson), American Economic Review, 2024, 114(7), 2201-2238. 

[Published version] [Replication Package] [Online Appendix] [Code]  [Slides]

NBER Working Paper No. 30663 (November 2022; Revised January 2024)

[OSF (ungated)] [IZA DP] [CESifo WP] [IZA World of Labor (Policy-oriented summary)]

"Lifetime and Intergenerational Consequences of Poor Childhood Health" (with Krzysztof Karbownik), Forthcoming at Journal of Human Resources.

[Published version] [Replication package] [Code]

NBER Working Paper No. 26368 (2019; updated 2021): [PDF]. Older 2015 version: [PDF] 

(Subsumes "Educational, Labor-market and Intergenerational Consequences of Poor Childhood Health" and  "Childhood Health and Long-Run Economic Opportunity in Victorian England")

“Long-run Consequences of Exposure to Natural Disasters” (with Krzysztof Karbownik), Journal of Labor Economics, 2019, 37(3), 949-1007. 

Working Paper, 2017: [PDF]. Older Working Paper, 2016: [PDF].  

Working Papers

“The Black-White Lifetime Earnings Gap” (with Ezra Karger), 2023. Revise and resubmit at Explorations in Economic History. [PDF]

"Birth Order in the Very Long-Run: Estimating Firstborn Premiums between 1850 and 1940" (with Angela Cools, Jared Grooms, Krzysztof Karbownik, Siobhan O’Keefe, and Joseph Price). 2024. Under Review.

[NBER Working Paper No. 32407 (May 2024)] [IZA DP] [CESifo WP]

Selected Works in Progress

“Can Charitable Spending Affect Local Innovation? Evidence from the Duke Endowment” (with Enrico Berkes, Alex Hollingsworth, Krzysztof Karbownik, and Melissa A. Thomasson) 

“Chlorination, Water Quality, and the Decline of Typhoid”

“Wartime Medical Education and Disruptions to Physician Labor Supply: Impacts on Physician Quality, the Health Transition, and Innovation” (with Christian Møller Dahl and Melissa A. Thomasson)

Databases

Wray, Anthony, United States Federal Security Agency. Social Security Board, and United States Social Security Administration. Numerical Identification Files (NUMIDENT), 1936–2007. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2024-07-01. https://doi.org/10.3886/E207202V1