Andrej Smirnov

Hi!

I am development economist currently studying the (gendered) consequences of climate change in developing countries and more broadly interested in topics related to labor-, environmental economics, political economy and economics of conflict. I use microeconometric and spatial methods.

I am currently a 4th year PhD candidate at Nova School of Business and Economics and at the NOVAFRICA knowledge center in Lisbon. Previously I was an intern the EBRD and as an RA at International Security and Development Center (ISDC) and the German Center for Migration and Integration Research (DeZIM).

News:

I will be visiting University of Oxford (ODID) and Nicolas Cerkez 04/26 -06/26
Happy to present my work on "Climate Shocks, Gender Norms and Labor Supply" at WCERE and the Novafrica Development conferences in June

Research

Selected Work in Progress

Climate Shocks, Gender Norms and Labor Supply

solo authored

Enforcing Vote Buying: Experimental Evidence from Angola

with Pedro Vicente and Wolfgang Stojetz

Vote-buying is widespread and undermines democracy and development. Yet under ballot secrecy, voters could take the money and vote freely - this vote-buying puzzle driven by asymmetric information remains unresolved. Enforcement strategies are central to understanding how this credibility gap is bridged and to designing effective countermeasures, yet remain empirically untested. We fill this gap using a vignette experiment in Angola, comparing common enforcement mechanisms: turnout buying, machine politics, reciprocity, questioning ballot secrecy, and a novel signaling mechanism. We find that only tangible strategies, such as threats to surveil turnout or questioning ballot secrecy, significantly increase voting intentions. Promises of future clientelistic benefits have no effect. A complementary list experiment validates our direct estimate of vote-buying prevalence at around 40%.

Publications

Motivating Community Health Workers

with Mattia Fracchia, Teresa Molina-Millán and Pedro Vicente

Handbook on Behavioural Field Experiments in the Social Sciences, forthcoming

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