Full Publication list

2024


-Espinoza JC., Jimenez J.C., Marengo J.A. Schongart J., Ronchail J., Lavado-Casimiro W. Ribeiro JVM. 2024. The new record of drought and warmth in the Amazon in 2023 related to regional and global climatic features. Sci Rep 14, 8107. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58782-5.


-Beveridge CF, Espinoza JC, Athayde S, Correa SB, Couto TBA, Heilpern SA, Jenkins CN, Piland NC, Utsunomiya R, Wongchuig S, Anderson EP. 2024.  The Andes–Amazon–Atlantic pathway: A foundational hydroclimate system for social–ecological system sustainability. PNAS. Vol. 121, No. 22. e2306229121. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2306229121


-Zanin PR, Pareja-Quispe D, Espinoza JC. 2024. Evapotranspiration in the Amazon Basin: Couplings, hydrological memory and water feedback. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110040


-Clech L, Sierra JP, Mannan MA, Kabir MMS, Barua M, Espinoza J-C, Ridde V. 2024. Local social-ecological context explains seasonal rural-rural migration of the poorest in south-west Bangladesh. PLOS Clim 3(3): e0000239. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000239.


-Michot V., Corpetti T., Ronchail J., Espinoza JC., Arvor D., Funatsu BM., Dubreuil V. 2024. Seasonal types in homogeneous rainfall regions of the Amazon basin. Int. J. of Clim. doi: 10.1002/joc.8380.


-Sulca, J., Takahashi, K., Espinoza, JC. Tacza J., Zubieta R., Mosquera K., Apaéstegui J. 2024. A multiple linear regression model for the prediction of summer rainfall in the northwestern Peruvian Amazon using large-scale indices. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07044-7


-Gutierrez R., Junquas C., Armijos E., Sörensson A., Espinoza JC. 2024. Performance of Regional Climate Model precipitation simulations over the terrain-complex Andes-Amazon transition region. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres. doi: 10.1029/2023JD038618.


2023


-Agudelo, J., Espinoza, J. C., Junquas, C., Arias, P. A., Sierra, J. P., & Olmo, M. E. (2023). Future projections of low-level atmospheric circulation patterns over South Tropical South America: Impacts on precipitation and Amazon dry season length. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128, e2023JD038658. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038658


-Sierra, J.P., Espinoza, JC., Junquas, C. Wongchuig S., Polcher J., Moron V., Fita L., Arias PA., Schrapffer A., Pennel R. 2023. Impacts of land-surface heterogeneities and Amazonian deforestation on the wet season onset in southern Amazon. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06835-2


-Wongchuig S, Espinoza JC, Condom T, Junquas C, Sierra JP, Fita L, Sörensson A, Polcher J. 2023. Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation, Journal of Hydrology, Volume 625, 130082. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130082.


-Valenzuela J., Figueroa M., Armijos E., Espinoza JC., Wongchuig S., Ramirez-Avila J. 2023. Flooding risk of cropland areas by repiquetes in the western Amazon basin: A case study of Peruvian Tamshiyacu City. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 47, 101428. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101428


-Marengo J., Espinoza JC., Bettolli ML. Cunha AP., Molina-Carpio J., Skansi M., Correa K., Ramos AM., Salinas R., Sierra JP. 2023. A cold wave of winter 2021 in central South America: characteristics and impacts. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06701-1


-Fleischmann AS., Papa F., Hamilton Sk., Fassoni-Andrade A., Wongchuig S., Espinoza JC., Paiva R., Melack J., Fluet-Chouinard E., Castello L., Almeida R., Bonnet MP.,  Alves LG., Moreira D., Yamazaki D., Revel M., Collischonn W. 2023. Increased floodplain inundation in the Amazon since 1980. Env. Res. Lett. DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/acb9a7.


-Molina-Carpio, J., Rivera, I. A., Espinoza-Romero, D., Ceron, W. L., Espinoza, J.C., Ronchail, J. 2023. Regionalization of rainfall in the upper Madeira basin based on interannual and decadal variability: A multi-seasonal approach. International Journal of Climatology, 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1002/ joc.8211


-Marengo J., Espinoza JC., Alves L., Ronchail J.,Cunha AP., Ramos AM., Molina-Carpio J., Correa K., Avalos G., Lavado-Casimiro W., Baez J., Salinas R., Quispe WR., Quisbert K. 2023. Central South America [in “State of the Climate in 2022”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104 (9), S393–S396, https://doi.org/10.1175/2023BAMSStateoftheClimate_Chapter7.1.


2022


-Espinoza JC., Marengo JA., Schongart J., Jimenez JC. 2022. The new historical flood of 2021 in the Amazon River compared to major floods of the 21st century: Atmospheric features in the context of the intensification of floods. Weather and Climate Extremes. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100406.


-Marengo JA., Jimenez JC., Espinoza JC., Cunha AP., Aragão LEO. 2022. Increased Climate Pressure on the New Agricultural Frontier in the Eastern Amazonia-Cerrado Transition Zone. Nature Scientific Reports. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-04241-4.


-Olmo, M.E., Espinoza, J.C., Betolli, M.L., Sierra, J.P., Junquas, C., Arias, P.A., Moron V., Balmaceda-Huarte R. 2022. Circulation paterns and associated rainfall over south tropical South America: GCMs evaluation during the dry-to-wet transition season. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127, e2022JD036468. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036468


-Segura H., Espinoza JC., Junquas C., Lebel T., Vuille M., Condom T. 2022. Extreme austral winter precipitation events over the South‑American Altiplano: regional atmospheric features. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06240-1 


-Marengo JA., Espinoza JC., Alves LM., Ronchail J., Cunha AP., Ramos AM., Molina-Carpio J., Correa K., Avalos G., Lavado-Casimiro W,  Baez J., Salinas R. 2022. [Regional Climates] Central South America [in “State of the Climate in 2021“]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 103(8). S341-S454. https://doi.org/10.1175/2022BAMSStateoftheClimate_Chapter7.1


-Junquas C, Heredia MB, Condom T, Ruiz-Hernández JC, Campozano L, Dudhia J, Espinoza JC, Menegoz M, Rabatel A, Sicart JE. 2022. Regional climate modeling of the diurnal cycle of precipitation and associated atmospheric circulation patterns over an Andean glacier region (Antisana, Ecuador). Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-021-06079-y.


-Martinez JA., Arias PA., Junquas C., Espinoza JC., Condom T., Dominguez F., Morales JS. 2022. The Orinoco Low-level Jet and the Cross-Equatorial Moisture Transport over tropical South America: lessons from seasonal WRF simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. doi: 10.1029/2021JD035603 


-Rosales, A.G., Junquas, C., da Rocha, R.P., Condom, T., Espinoza, J.C. 2022. Valley–Mountain Circulation Associated with the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in the Tropical Andes (Santa River Basin, Peru). Atmosphere, 13, 344. https://doi.org/ 10.3390/atmos13020344


-Junqueira, R.; Viola, M.R.; Amorim, J.d.S.; Wongchuig, S.C.; Mello, C.R.d.; Vieira-Filho, M.; Coelho, G. Hydrological Retrospective and Historical Drought Analysis in a Brazilian Savanna Basin. Water 2022, 14, 2178. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14142178


-Sulca, J., Takahashi, K., Tacza, J., Espinoza, J.-C., Dong, B. 2022. Decadal variability in the austral summer precipitation over the Central Andes: Observations and the empirical-statistical downscaling model. International Journal of Climatology, 1–29. https:// doi.org/10.1002/joc.7867



2021


-Espinoza JC., Arias PA., Moron V., Junquas C., Segura H., Sierra-Perez J., Wongchuig S., Condom T. 2021. Recent changes in the atmospheric circulation patterns during the dry-to-wet transition season in south tropical South America (1979-2020): Impacts on precipitation and fire season. Journal of Climate. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0303.1. 


-Wongchuig S., Espinoza JC., Condom T., Segura H., Ronchail, J., Arias PA., Junquas C., Rabatel A., Lebel T. 2021. A regional view of the linkages between hydro-climatic changes and deforestation in the Southern Amazon. Int. Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7443.


-Sierra, J.P., Junquas, C., Espinoza, J.C., Segura, H., Condom, T., Andrade, M., Molina-Carpio, J., Ticona, L., Mardoñez, V., Blacutt, L., Polcher, J., Rabatel, A., Sicart, J. E. 2021. Deforestation Impacts on Amazon-Andes Hydroclimatic Connectivity. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06025-y.


-Gutierrez-Cori O., Espinoza JC., Li LZX., Wongchuig S., Arias PA., Ronchail J., Segura H. On the hydroclimate-vegetation relationship in the southwestern Amazon during the 2000-2019 period. Frontiers in Water.doi: 10.3389/frwa.2021.648499.


-Marengo JA., Espinoza JC., Alves LM., Ronchail J., Cunha AP., Ramos AM., Molina-Carpio J., Correa K., Lavado-Casimiro W,  Baez J., Salinas R. 2021. [Regional Climates] Central South America [in “State of the Climate in 2020“]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102 (8), S441–S445.


-Funatsu B.M, Le Roux R., Arvor D., Espinoza JC., Claud C., Ronchail J., Michot V., Dubreuil V. 2021. Assessing precipitation extremes (1981-2018) and deep convective activity (2002-2018) in the Amazon region with CHIRPS and AMSU data. Clim. Dyn. 10.1007/s00382-021-05742-8.


-Ayes Rivera I., Molina-Carpio J., Espinoza JC., Gutierrez-Cori O., Cerón WL., Frappart F., Armijos E., Espinoza-Villar R., Ayala JM., Filizola N. 2021. The Role of the Rainfall Variability in the Decline of the Surface Suspended Sediment in the Upper Madeira Basin (2003–2017). Front. Water 3:738527. doi: 10.3389/frwa.2021.738527.


-Arias PA., Garreaud R., Poveda G., Espinoza JC., Molina-Carpio J., Masiokas M., Viale M., Scaff L. Review Paper. Hydroclimate of the Andes Part II: Hydroclimate variability and sub-continental patterns. Frontiers in Earth Science. doi : 10.3389/feart.2020.505467


-Fassoni-Andrade, A. C., Fleischmann, A. S., Papa, F., Dias de Paiva, R. C., Wongchuig, S., Melack, J. M., Moreira AA., Paris A, Ruhoff A., Barbosa C., Maciel DA., Novo E., Durand F., Frappart F., Aires F., Abrahão DA, Ferreira-Ferreira J., Espinoza JC., Laipelt L., Costa MH., Espinoza-Villar R., Calmant S., Pellet V.  2021. Amazon hydrology from space: Scientific advances and future challenges. Reviews of Geophysics, 59, e2020RG000728. https://doi. org/10.1029/2020RG000728.


-Ruiz-Hernández, J.C., Condom, T., Ribstein, P., Lemoine, N., Espinoza, J.C., Junquas, C., Villacís, M., Vera, A., Muñoz, T., Maisincho, L., A., Campozano, L., Rabatel, Sicart, J.E.. 2021 Spatial variability of diurnal to seasonal cycles of pre-ipitation from a high-altitude equatorial Andean valley to the Amazon Basin.  Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100924.


2020


-Figueroa M., Armijos E., Espinoza JC., Ronchail J., Fraizy P. 2020. On the relationship between reversal of the river stage (repiquetes), rainfall and low-level wind regimes over the western Amazon basin. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies. doi: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2020.100752. 


-Espinoza JC., Garreaud R., Poveda G., Arias PA., Molina-Carpio J., Masiokas M., Viale M. Scaff L. 2020. Review Article. Hydroclimate of the Andes Part I: Main Climatic Features. Front. Earth Sci. 8:64. doi: 10.3389/feart.2020.00064.


-Segura H., Espinoza JC., Junquas C., Lebel T., Vuille M., Garreau R. 2020. Recent changes in the precipitation-driving processes over the southern tropical Andes/western Amazon. Climate Dynamics. doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05132-6


-Poveda G., Espinoza JC., Zuluaga M., Solman S., Garreaud R. van Oevelen PJ. 2020. Review Paper. High Impact Weather Events in the Andes. Front. Earth Sci. 8:162. doi: 10.3389/feart.2020.00162


-Marengo JA., Espinoza JC., Alves LM., Ronchail J., Lavado-Casimiro W, Ramos AM., Molina-Carpio J., Correa K., Baez J., Salinas R. 2020 [Regional Climates] Central South America [in “State of the Climate in 2019”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 101(8), S321–S420, doi: 10.1175/2020BAMSStateoftheClimate_Chapter7.1


-Armijos E., Crave A., Espinoza JC., Filizola N., Espinoza-Villar R., Ayes I., Fonseca P., Fraizy P., Gutierrez- Cori O., Vauchel P., Camenen B., Martinez JM., dos Santos A., Santini W., Cochonneau G., Guyot JL. 2020. Rainfall control on Amazon sediment flux: synthesis from 20 years of monitoring. Environ. Res. Commun. 2 051008. doi: 10.1088/2515-7620/ab9003


-Arias P.A., Martinez J.A., Mejia J.D., Pazos M.J., Espinoza JC., Wongchuig-Correa S. 2020. Changes in Normalized Difference Vegetation Index in the Orinoco and Amazon River basins: links to tropical Atlantic surface temperatures. Journal of Climate. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0696.1


-Ruiz-Vásquez M. Arias PA., Martinez JA., Espinoza JC. 2020. Effects of Amazon basin deforestation on regional atmospheric circulation and water vapor transport towards tropical South America. Climate Dynamics. doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05223-4


-Mayta VC., Silva NP., Ambrizzi T., Silva-Dias P., Espinoza JC. 2020. Assessing the skill of all‐season diverse Madden–Julian oscillation indices for the intraseasonal Amazon precipitation. Climate Dynamics. doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05202-9.


-Pabón-Caicedo JD, Arias PA, Carril AF, Espinoza JC, Borrel LF, Goubanova K, Lavado-Casimiro W, Masiokas M, Solman S and Villalba R. 2020. Review Article. Observed and Projected Hydroclimate Changes in the Andes. Front. Earth Sci. 8:61. doi: 10.3389/feart.2020.00061


-Ampuero A., Strikis N., Apaéstegui J., Vuille M., Novello VF., Espinoza JC., Cruz FW., Vonhoff H., Mayta VC., Martins VTS., Campello RC., Alves V., Siffedine A. 2020. The forest effects on the isotopic composition of rainfall in the northwestern Amazon Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD031445. https://doi.org/ 10.1029/2019JD031445


-Saavedra M., Junquas C., Espinoza JC., Silva Y. 2020. Impacts of topography and land use change on the air surface temperature and precipitation over the central Peruvian Andes. Atmospheric Research. 234, 104711. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104711. 


-Moquet JS., Morera SB., Turcq B., Poitrasson F., Roddaz M. Moreira-Turcq P., Espinoza JC., Guyot JL., Takahashi K., Orrillo JD., Petrick S., Mounic S, Sondag F. 2020. Control of seasonal and inter-annual rainfall distribution on the Strontium-Neodymium isotopic compositions of suspended particulate matter and implications for tracing ENSO events in the Pacific coast (Tumbes basin, Peru). Global and Planetary Change. doi : 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.103080.


2019


-Espinoza JC., Sörensson A., Ronchail J., Molina-Carpio J., Segura H., Gutierrez-Cori O., Ruscica R., Condom T., Wongchuig-Correa S. Regional hydro-climatic changes in the Southern Amazon Basin (Upper Madeira Basin) during the 1982-2017 period. 2019b. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies. doi: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2019.100637.


-Espinoza JC., Ronchail J., Marengo JA., Segura H. 2019a. Contrasting North–South changes in Amazon wet-day and dry-day frequency and related atmospheric features (1981–2017). Climate Dynamics. doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4462-2


-Ayes Rivera I., Poduje ACC., Molina-Carpio J., Ayala JM., Armijos E., Espinoza-Villar R., Espinoza JC., Gutierrez-Cori O., Filizola N. 2019. On the Relationship between Suspended Sediment Concentration, Rainfall Variability and Groundwater: An Empirical and Probabilistic Analysis for the Andean Beni River, Bolivia (2003–2016). Water, 11, 2497. doi:10.3390/w11122497. 


-Marengo JA., Espinoza JC., Alves LM., Ronchail J., Lavado-Casimiro W, Ramos I., Dávila C., Ramos AM., Dizin FA. 2019 [Regional Climates] Central South America [in “State of the Climate in 2018”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 100(9), Si–S305, doi:10.1175/2019BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.


-Segura H., Junquas C., Espinoza JC., Vuille M., Jauregui YR., Rabatel A., Condom T., Lebel T. 2019. New insights into the rainfall variability in the tropical Andes on seasonal and interannual time scales. Climate Dynamics. doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4590-8.


-Aguilar-Lome J., Espinoza-Villar R., Espinoza JC., Rojas-Acuña J., Willems BL., Leyva-Molina WM. 2019. Elevation-dependent warming of land surface temperatures in the Andes assessed using MODIS LST time series (2000–2017). Int J Appl Earth Obs Geoinformation, 77, 119-128. doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2018.12.013.


-Zubieta R., Saavedra M., Espinoza JC., Ronchail J., Sulca J., Drapeau G., Martin-Vides J. 2019. Assessing precipitation concentration in the Amazon basin from different satellite-based datasets. Int. Journal of Climatology. doi: 10.1002/joc.6009


-Ayes Rivera, I., Armijos Cardenas, E., Espinoza-Villar, R, Espinoza, J.C., Molina-Carpio, J., Ayala, J.M., Gutierrez-Cori, O., Martinez, J.-M., Filizola, N. 2019. Decline of Fine Suspended Sediments in the Madeira River Basin (2003–2017). Water, 11, 514. doi: 10.3390/w11030514