Early 2028 Polling Aggregate

Early 2028 Presidential Polling: A Rare Glimpse into the Political Landscape

Presidential polling in the Philippines is rare before the midterm elections, as public attention and political momentum often focus on Senatorial and local contests. However, the emergence of early data provides an intriguing look at potential contenders for the 2028 presidential race. Since 2023, seven polls have been conducted and are publicly available, giving a glimpse into voter preferences and the personalities shaping the political discourse.

Filipino voters have historically leaned toward popular national figures, and the early polling for 2028 reflects this trend. Three prominent names have consistently appeared as frontrunners:

Vice President Sara Duterte
Building on the enduring influence of the Duterte political brand, Vice President Sara Duterte remains a dominant figure in Philippine politics. Her tenure as Vice President is on a rough patch last year. Three impeachment complaints were filed against her in the House of Representatives. Her approval has also slid to a narrow majority, her lowest recorded since taking office. Duterte is a heavy favorite in Mindanao, her home-region, with over 80% approval and 70% preference.

Senator Raffy Tulfo
Known for his advocacy for the marginalized and his extensive media presence, Senator Raffy Tulfo has translated his popularity into political capital. His straightforward approach make him a strong contender among voters seeking relatable and action-oriented leadership. Two Tulfo brothers are poised to join him in the Senate this year.

Former Vice President Leni Robredo
Despite being out of office since 2022, Leni Robredo continues to command significant support, particularly among progressive and reform-minded Filipinos. Her continued involvement in advocacy work and community initiatives has kept her in the public eye and a viable candidate for a political comeback. Robredo is expected to win in the Naga City Mayoral race by a landslide.

Early Stage, Uncertain Outcomes

While these names dominate early discussions, it’s essential to note that the race is still in its infancy. With years to go before the official campaign period, much can change as new challengers emerge and political dynamics evolve. Early polling serves as a snapshot rather than a predictor, capturing public sentiment at a particular moment.

The Road Ahead

The rarity of early presidential polling underscores the fluidity of Philippine elections. As the midterm elections approach, these frontrunners may solidify their standing or face challenges from rising figures. The ultimate outcome will hinge on their ability to maintain public trust, mobilize support, and navigate the complexities of electoral environment.

Content ideas from Race to the White House, Split Ticket, CNAnalysis, Real Clear Politics