Peer-Reviewed Papers

(* indicates supervised or co-supervised Ph.D. or M.Sc. students)

1. Hinegk, L., L. Adami, S. Piccolroaz, M. Amadori, M. Moretti, M. Tubino and M. Toffolon (2023), Multidecadal analysis of Lake Garda water balance, Journal of Limnology, accepted.

2. Alic*, A., L.E. Schäffer, M. Toffolon, V. Trovato (2023), Optimal price-based scheduling of a pumped-storage hydropower plant considering environmental constraints, Energy Systems, 614, doi:10.1007/s12667-023-00614-y.

3. Toffolon, M., A. Yousefi*, S. Piccolroaz (2022), Estimation of the thermally reactive layer in lakes based on surface water temperature, Water Resources Research, 58, e2021WR031755, doi:10.1029/2021WR031755.

4. Yousefi*, A., M. Toffolon (2022), Critical factors for the use of machine learning to predict lake surface water temperature, Journal of Hydrology, 606, 127418, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127418.

5. Toffolon, M., L. Cortese*, D. Bouffard (2021), SELF v1.0: A minimal physical model for predicting time of freeze-up in lakes, Geosci. Model Dev., doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-234.

6. López Moreira M.*, G.A., M. Toffolon, F. Holker (2021), Hitting the sweet spot of complexity: Reasons why the development of new custom-tailored models is still warranted and should be encouraged in aquatic sciences, J. Limnol., 80:2035, doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2021.2035.

7. Piccolroaz, S., B. Fernández-Castro, M. Toffolon, and H.A. Dijkstra (2021), A multi-site, year-round turbulence microstructure atlas for the deep perialpine Lake Garda, Sci. Data, 8, 188, doi:10.1038/s41597-021-00965-0.

8. Amadori, M., V. Zamparelli, G. De Carolis, G. Fornaro, M. Toffolon, M. Bresciani, C. Giardino, F. De Santi (2021), Monitoring lakes surface water velocity with SAR: A feasibility study on Lake Garda, Italy, Remote Sensing, 13(12), 2293, doi:10.3390/rs13122293.

9. Biemond, B., M. Amadori*, M. Toffolon, S. Piccolroaz, H. van Haren, and H.A. Dijkstra (2021), Deep-mixing and deep-cooling events in Lake Garda: Simulation and Mechanisms, J. Limnol., 80(2):2010, https://doi.org/10.4081/jlimnol.2021.2010.

10. Amadori*, A., L. Giovannini, M. Toffolon, S. Piccolroaz, D. Zardi, M. Bresciani, C. Giardino, G. Luciani, M. Kliphuis, H. van Haren, H.A. Dijkstra (2021), Multi-scale evaluation of a 3D lake model forced by an atmospheric model against standard monitoring data, Environmental Modeling and Software, 139, 105017, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105017.

11. Calamita*, E., S. Piccolroaz, B. Majone, M. Toffolon (2021), On the role of local depth and latitude on surface warming heterogeneity in the Laurentian Great Lakes, Inland Waters, 11(2), 208-222, doi:10.1080/20442041.2021.1873698.

12. van Haren, H., S. Piccolroaz, M. Amadori*, M. Toffolon, H.A. Dijkstra (2021), Moored observations of turbulent mixing events in deep Lake Garda, Italy, J. Limnol., 80(1):1983, doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2020.1983.

13. Ghirardi, N., M. Amadori*, G. Free, L. Giovannini, M. Toffolon, C. Giardino, M. Bresciani (2021), Using remote sensing and numerical modelling to quantify a turbidity discharge event in Lake Garda, J. Limnol., 80(1):1981, doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2020.1981.

14. Stradiotti*, G., M. Righetti, T. H. Tarekegn, G. Wharton, M. Toffolon (2020), New conceptual framework for the erosion of fine sediment from a gravel matrix based on experimental analysis, Journal of Hydraulic Engineering – ASCE, 146(9), doi:10.1061/(ASCE)HY.1943-7900.0001795.

15. Amadori*, M., G. Morini*, S. Piccolroaz, M. Toffolon (2020), Involving citizens in hydrodynamic research: A combined local knowledge - numerical experiment on Lake Garda, Italy, Science of the Total Environment, 722, 137720, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137720.

16. Toffolon, M., S. Piccolroaz, E. Calamita* (2020), On the use of averaged indicators to assess lakes' thermal response to changes in climatic conditions, Environ. Res. Lett., 15, 034060, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab763e.

17. Carraro, L., M. Toffolon, A. Rinaldo, and E. Bertuzzo (2020), SESTET: A spatially explicit stream temperature model based on equilibrium temperature, Hydrological Processes, 34, 355-369, doi:10.1002/hyp.13591.

18. Amadori*, M., S. Piccolroaz, H.A. Dijkstra, and M. Toffolon (2020), What makes an elongated lake ‘large’? Scales from wind-driven steady circulation on a rotating Earth, Journal of Great Lakes Research, 46(4), 703-717, doi:10.1016/j.jglr.2019.10.013.

19. Piccolroaz, S., M. Amadori*, M. Toffolon, and H. A. Dijkstra (2019), Importance of planetary rotation for ventilation processes in deep elongated lakes: Evidence from Lake Garda (Italy), Scientific Reports, 9, 8290, doi:10.1038/s41598-019-44730-1.

20. Premier*, V., A. A. de Souza Machado*, S. Mitchell, C. Zarfl, K. Spencer, and M. Toffolon (2019), A model-based analysis of metal fate in the Thames Estuary, Estuaries and Coasts, 42(4), 1185–1201, doi:10.1007/s12237-019-00544-y.

21. Amadori*, M., S. Piccolroaz, L. Giovannini, D. Zardi, and M. Toffolon (2018), Wind variability and Earth’s rotation as drivers of transport in a deep, elongated subalpine lake: The case of Lake Garda, Journal of Limnology, 77(3), 505-521, doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2018.1814.

22. Piccolroaz, S., and M. Toffolon (2018), The fate of Lake Baikal: How climate change may alter deep ventilation in the largest lake on Earth, Climatic Change, 150(3-4), 181-194, doi:10.1007/s10584-018-2275-2.

23. Piccolroaz, S., M. Toffolon, C. T. Robinson, and A. Siviglia (2018), Exploring and quantifying river thermal response to heatwaves, Water, 10(8), 1098, doi:10.3390/w10081098.

24. López Moreira*, G., L. Hinegk*, A. Salvadore*, G. Zolezzi, F. Hölker, R.A. Monte Domecq, M. Bocci, S. Carrer, L. De Nat, J. Escribá, C. Escribá, G.A. Benítez, C.R. Ávalos, I. Peralta, M. Insaurralde, F. Mereles, J.M. Sekatcheff, A. Wehrle, J.F. Facetti-Masulli, J.F. Facetti, and M. Toffolon (2018), Eutrophication, research and management history of the shallow Ypacaraí Lake (Paraguay), Sustainability, 10(7), 2462, doi:10.3390/su10072426.

25. Cai, H., M. Toffolon, H.G. Savenije, Q. Yang, and E. Garel (2018), Frictional interactions between tidal constituents in tide-dominated estuaries, Ocean Science, 14, 769-782, doi:10.5194/os-14-769-2018.

26. Arora*, R., M. Toffolon, K. Tockner, and M. Venohr (2018), Thermal discontinuities along a lowland river: the importance of urban areas and lakes, Journal of Hydrology, 564, 811-823, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.05.066.

27. Cai, H., S. Piccolroaz, J. Huang, Z. Liu, F. Liu, and M. Toffolon (2018), Quantifying the impact of the Three Gorges Dam on the thermal dynamics of the Yangtze River, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 054016, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab9e0.

28. Piccolroaz, S., N. C. Healey, J. D. Lenters, S. G. Schladow, S. J. Hook, G. B. Sahoo, and M. Toffolon (2018), On the predictability of lake surface temperature using air temperature in a changing climate: A case study for Lake Tahoe (U.S.A.), Limnol. Oceanogr., 63(1), 243-261, doi:10.1002/lno.10626.

29. Santo, M.A., M. Toffolon, G. Zanier, L. Giovannini, and V. Armenio (2017), Large eddy simulation (LES) of wind-driven circulation in a peri-alpine lake: Detection of turbulent structures and implications of a complex surrounding orography, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 122, 4704–4722, doi:10.1002/2016JC012284.

30. Belliard*, J.-P., Temmerman, S., and M. Toffolon (2017), Ecogeomorphic relations between marsh surface elevation and vegetation properties in a temperate multi-species salt marsh, Earth Surf. Process. Landforms, 42, 855-865, doi:10.1002/esp.4041.

31. Cai, H., M. Toffolon, and H. H. G. Savenije (2016), An analytical approach to determining resonance in semi–closed convergent estuaries, Coastal Engineering Journal, 58(3), 1650009, doi:10.1142/S0578563416500091.

32. Piccolroaz, S., E. Calamita*, B. Majone, A. Gallice, A. Siviglia, and M. Toffolon (2016), Prediction of river water temperature: a comparison between a new family of hybrid models and statistical approaches, Hydrol. Process., 30(21), 3901-3917, doi:10.1002/hyp.10913.

33. Belliard*, J.-P., N. Di Marco*, L. Carniello, and M. Toffolon (2016), Sediment and vegetation spatial dynamics facing sea-level rise in microtidal salt marshes: Insights from an ecogeomorphic model, Adv. Water Resour., 93, 249-264, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2015.11.020.

34. Zen, S., G. Zolezzi, M. Toffolon, and A.M. Gurnell (2016), Biomorphodynamic modelling of inner bank advance in migrating meander bends, Adv. Water Resour., 93, 166-181, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2015.11.017.

35. la Cecilia*, D., M. Toffolon, C. E. Woodcock, and S. Fagherazzi (2016), Interactions between river stage and wetland vegetation detected with a Seasonality Index derived from LANDSAT images in the Apalachicola delta, Florida, Adv. Water Resour., 89, 10-23, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2015.12.019.

36. Machado*, A.A.S., K. Spencer, W. Kloas, M. Toffolon, C. Zarfl (2016), Metal fate and effects in estuaries: A review and conceptual model for better understanding of toxicity, Science of the Total Environment., 541, 268-281, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.09.045.

37. Toffolon, M., and S. Piccolroaz (2015), A hybrid model for river water temperature as a function of air temperature and discharge, Environ. Res. Lett., 10(11), 114011, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114011.

38. Piccolroaz, S., M. Toffolon, and B. Majone (2015), The role of stratification on lakes’ thermal response: The case of Lake Superior, Water Resour. Res, 51, 7878–7894, doi:10.1002/2014WR016555.

39. Toffolon, M., A. Wüest, and T. Sommer (2015), Minimal model for double diffusion and its application to Kivu, Nyos and Powell Lake, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 120, 6202–6224, doi:10.1002/2015JC010970.

40. Belliard*, J.-P., M. Toffolon, L. Carniello, and A. D'Alpaos (2015), An ecogeomorphic model of tidal channel initiation and elaboration in progressive marsh accretional context, J. Geophys. Res., 120, 1-24, doi:10.1002/2015JF003445.

41. Siviglia, A., M. Toffolon (2014), Multiple states for flow through a collapsible tube with discontinuities, J. Fluid Mech., 761, 105-122, doi:10.1017/jfm.2014.635.

42. Toffolon, M., S. Piccolroaz, B. Majone, A.-M. Soja, F. Peeters, M. Schmid, and A. Wüest (2014), Prediction of surface temperature in lakes with different morphology using air temperature, Limnol. Oceanogr., 59(6), 2182-2202, doi:10.4319/lo.2014.59.6.2185.

43. Bertoldi, W., A. Siviglia, S. Tettamanti, M. Toffolon, D. Vetsch, and S. Francalanci (2014), Modeling vegetation controls on fluvial morphological trajectories, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 7167–7175, doi:10.1002/2014GL061666.

44. Cai*, H., H. H. G. Savenije, and M. Toffolon (2014), Linking the river to the estuary: influence of river discharge on tidal damping, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 287-304, doi:10.5194/hess-18-287-2014. 

45. Piccolroaz*, S., and M. Toffolon (2013), Deep water renewal in Lake Baikal: A model for long-term analyses, J. Geophys. Res., 118, 6717–6733, doi:10.1002/2013JC009029.

46. Siviglia, A., and M. Toffolon (2013), Steady analysis of transcritical flows in collapsible tubes with discontinuous mechanical properties: implications for arteries and veins, J. Fluid Mech., 736, 195-215, doi:10.1017/jfm.2013.542.

47. Piccolroaz*, S., M. Toffolon, and B. Majone (2013), A simple lumped model to convert air temperature into surface water temperature in lakes, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 3323-3338, doi:10.5194/hess-17-3323-2013. 

48. Toffolon, M. (2013), Ekman circulation and downwelling in narrow lakes, Adv. Water Resour., 53, 76-86, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2012.10.003.

49. Toffolon, M., M. Ragazzi, M. Righetti, C. R. Teodoru, M. Tubino, C. Defrancesco, and S. Pozzi (2013), Effects of artificial hypolimnetic oxygenation in a shallow lake. Part 1: Phenomenological description and management, Journal of Environmental Management, 114, 520–529, doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2012.10.062.

50. Toffolon, M., and M. Serafini (2013), Effects of artificial hypolimnetic oxygenation in a shallow lake. Part 2: Numerical modelling, Journal of Environmental Management, 114, 530–539, doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2012.10.063.

51. Cai*, H., H. H. G. Savenije, and M. Toffolon (2012), A new analytical framework for assessing the effect of sea-level rise and dredging on tidal damping in estuaries, J. Geophys. Res., 117, C09023, doi:10.1029/2012JC008000.

52. Francalanci, S., L. Solari, M. Toffolon, and G. Parker (2012), Do alternate bars affect sediment transport and flow resistance in gravel-bed rivers?, Earth Surf. Process. Landforms, 37, 866–875, doi:10.1002/esp.3217.

53. Righetti, M., M. Toffolon, C. Lucarelli, and M. Serafini (2011), Sediments as tracers for transport and deposition processes in peri-alpine lakes: a case study, Journal of Hydrology, 411, 1-11, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.08.018.

54. Toffolon, M., and Savenije, H. H. G. (2011), Revisiting linearized one‐dimensional tidal propagation, J. Geophys.Res., 116, C07007, doi:10.1029/2010JC006616. 

55. Zolezzi, G., A. Siviglia, M. Toffolon, and B. Maiolini (2011), Thermopeaking in Alpine streams: event characterization and time scales, Ecohydrol., 4, 564–576, doi: 10.1002/eco.132. 

56. Toffolon, M., and S. Lanzoni (2010), Morphological equilibrium of short channels dissecting the tidal flats of coastal lagoons, J. Geophys. Res., 115, F04036, doi:10.1029/2010JF001673. 

57. Toffolon, M., A. Siviglia, and G. Zolezzi (2010), Thermal wave dynamics in rivers affected by hydropeaking, Water Resour. Res., 46, W08536, doi:10.1029/2009WR008234. 

58. Seminara, G., S. Lanzoni, N. Tambroni, and M. Toffolon (2010), How long are tidal channels?, Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 643, 479-494, doi:10.1017/S0022112009992308. 

59. Toffolon, M., and G. Rizzi (2009), Effects of spatial wind inhomogeneity and turbulence anisotropy on circulation in an elongated basin: a simplified analytical solution, Adv. Water Resour., 32, 1554-1566, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2009.08.001. 

60. Francalanci, S., L. Solari, and M. Toffolon (2009), Local high-slope effects on sediment transport and fluvial bed-form dynamics, Water Resour. Res., 45, W05426, doi:10.1029/2008WR007290. 

61. Savenije, H. H. G., M. Toffolon, J. Haas, and E. J. M. Veling (2008), Analytical description of tidal dynamics in convergent estuaries, J. Geophys. Res., 113, C10025, doi:10.1029/2007JC004408. 

62. Todeschini, I., M. Toffolon, and M. Tubino (2008), Long-term morphological evolution of funnel-shape tide-dominated estuaries, J. Geophys. Res., 113, C05005, doi:10.1029/2007JC004094. 

63. Toffolon, M., and G. Vignoli (2007), Suspended sediment concentration profiles in nonuniform flows: Is the classical perturbative approach suitable for depth-averaged closures?, Water Resour. Res., 43, W04432, doi:10.1029/2006WR005183. 

64. Toffolon, M., and A. Crosato (2007), Developing Macroscale Indicators for Estuarine Morphology: The Case of the Scheldt Estuary, Journal of Coastal Research, 23(1), 195-212, doi:10.2112/03-0133.1. 

65. Toffolon, M., G. Vignoli, and M. Tubino (2006), Relevant parameters and finite amplitude effects in estuarine hydrodynamics, J. Geophys. Res., 111, C10014, doi:10.1029/2005JC003104.

Non-Disciplinary Work

1. Ortiz-Marcos, I., V. Breuker, R. Rodríguez-Rivero, B. Kjellgren, F. Dorel, M. Toffolon, D. Uribe, V. Eccli (2020), A Framework of Global Competence for Engineers: The Need for a Sustainable World, Sustainability, 12(22), 9568, doi:10.3390/su12229568.

2. Serlet, A.J., G.A. López Moreira M., G. Zolezzi, G. Wharton, F. Hölker, A.M. Gurnell, K. Tockner, W. Bertoldi, M.C. Bruno, S. Jähnig, J. Lewandowski, M.T. Monaghan, M.C. Rillig, M. Rogato, M. Toffolon, S.D. Veresoglou, C. Zarfl (2020), SMART Research: Towards interdisciplinary river science in Europe, Front. Environ. Sci. 8, 63, doi:10.3389/fenvs.2020.00063.

Other Publications

1. Toffolon, M. (2022), Currents in Well-Mixed Layers. In: Mehner, Thomas and Tockner, Klement, Encyclopedia of Inland Waters 2nd edition. vol. 1, pp. 490-509. Oxford: Elsevier. doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-819166-8.00012-8.

2. Toffolon, M., S. Piccolroaz, and H. Dijkstra (2017), A plunge into the depths of Italy’s Lake Garda, Eos, 98, doi:10.1029/2017EO074499. Published on 30 May 2017.

3. Toffolon, M. (2016), Editorial, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Water management, 169 (5), 199-200, doi:10.1680/jwama.2016.169.5.199.

4. D’Alpaos, A., M. Toffolon, C. Camporeale (2016), Ecogeomorphological feedbacks of water fluxes, sediment transport and vegetation dynamics in rivers and estuaries, Editorial for the Special Issue of Adv. Water Resour.,  93, 151-155, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2016.05.019.

5. Toffolon, M., S. Piccolroaz, and D. Bouffard (2014), Crossing the Boundaries of Physical Limnology, Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 95(44), 403, doi:10.1002/2014EO440009.

6. Toffolon, M., and S. Piccolroaz (Eds.), Proceedings of the 17th International Workshop on Physical Processes in Natural Waters: PPNW2014, Trento, Italy, 1-4 July 2014, Trento: Università degli Studi di Trento, 2014, pp. 112, ISBN: 978-88-8443-550-7. Available also in Open Access at http://eprints.biblio.unitn.it/4293/ (ISBN: 978-88-8443-551-4).

7. Toffolon, M. (2014), Editorial, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Water management, 167 (2), 63-64, doi:10.1680/wama.2014.167.2.63.

8. Toffolon, M. (2002), Hydrodynamics and morphodynamics of tidal channels, PhD thesis, University of Padova (Italy), 31 December 2002.

9. Toffolon, M. (2002), Macro-scale morphological characterisation of the Western Scheldt, Delft Cluster report, July 2002.