Probability Days

The Days in Probability and Statistical Physics (or Probability Days for short) are one-day meetings held in Florence.

The seminar series started in 2017 with a scheme similar to the Mark Kac seminar in Utrecht.

It is mainly intended for researchers in the areas of Probability and Statistical Physics and especially targeted at young researchers, such as PhD students and postdocs.

Speakers should take into account that the audience will have a general background in mathematics and physics, but should assume no expertise in technical aspects of specific topics. Guidelines for speakers can be found here.

Each event features two speakers, each of whom gives two 45-minute-long lectures. The first lecture should be introductory and the second one more advanced. The schedule is the following:

Upcoming and past Probability Days

A Spring Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (Save the date: 11 April 2025) 

An Autumn Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (25 October 2024) 

You can find here the poster of the event.

Marielle Simon (Université Lyon 1)

Title: On exclusion processes with phase separation

Abstract:

"Stochastic lattice gases" are models of interacting particles subject to stochastic dynamics. They have been widely studied for about thirty years by both mathematicians and physicists. Their structure makes it possible to analyse them rigorously, while illustrating numerous physical phenomena: in particular, one of the main objectives is to prove rigorously the convergence of the microscopic system towards a macroscopic PDE, after rescaling in time and space (also known as the ‘hydrodynamic limit’).

In the first lecture I will give several illustrations of this convergence result thanks to the most well-known example, namely the symmetric simple exclusion process. In the second lecture, I will show how to enrich these models in order to derive some phase separation at the macroscopic level, with a free boundary that moves within the system.

Michel Mandjes (Leiden University)

Title: Dynamic random graphs: analysis and inference

Abstract:

The bulk of the random graph literature concerns models that are of an inherently static nature, in that features of the random graph at a single point in time are considered. There are strong practical motivations, however, to consider random graphs that are stochastically evolving, so as to model networks’ inherent dynamics. 

In this talk I’ll discuss a set of dynamic random graph mechanisms and their probabilistic properties. Key results cover functional diffusion limits for subgraph counts (describing the behaviour around the mean) and a sample-path large-deviation principle (describing the rare-event behaviour, thus extending the seminal result for the static case developed by Chatterjee and Varadhan).

The last part of my talk will be about estimation of the model parameters from partial information. We for instance demonstrate how the model’s underlying parameters can be estimated from just snapshots of the number of edges. We also consider settings in which particles move around on a dynamically evolving random graph, and in which the graph dynamics are inferred from the movements of the particles (i.e., not observing the graph process). 

A Spring Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (19 April 2024) 

You can find here the poster of the event.

Dalia Terhesiu (Leiden University)

Title: Generalized law of iterated logarithm for dependent processes with superdiffusive behaviour

Abstract:

I will first review the generalized strong invariance principle and law of iterated logarithm for i.i.d. random variables with infinite variance, but still in the domain of a normal law (superdiffusive).

In the second part I will present recent results which naturally generalize the almost sure invariance principle and the law of iterated logarithm to superdiffusive processes with heavy dependencies, focusing on the set-up of the Lorentz gas with infinite horizon. This is joint work with Peter Balint.

Eric Cator (Radboud University)

Title: Contact process on finite graphs

Abstract:

In this talk we will discuss the contact process on graphs. We will introduce the model, which can be used to describe for example the spread of a disease, and discuss the classical results on critical infection rates on infinite graphs such as the square lattice. Then we shift to the contact process on finite graphs, and discuss the concept of exponential extinction time. We discuss some recent results on this, and also our own contribution. Finally, we discuss the matter of metastability and the corresponding metastable distribution. This is a largely unexplored part in the literature and as a teaser, we will discuss some conjectures based on relevant local considerations.

An Autumn Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (20 November 2023) 

You can find here the poster of the event.

Christina Goldschmidt (University of Oxford)

Title: Trees and snakes

Abstract:

Over the last 30 years, a beautiful theory of scaling limits for random trees has been established. In my first lecture, I will discuss one of the foundational examples: the Brownian continuum random tree (BCRT). Consider a uniform random labelled tree on n vertices (Cayley's formula tells us that there are n^{n-2} such labelled trees; pick one uniformly at random).  It turns out that the typical distance between two vertices in such a tree scales as \sqrt{n}, and that on rescaling we get convergence in distribution to the BCRT, which is a random fractal with fascinating properties. This result is not specific only to a uniform random labelled tree, but holds (for example) for conditioned critical branching process trees with finite offspring variance.  I aim to particularly emphasise the "line-breaking" approach to these results, which goes right back to Aldous' original work on the BCRT, but has recently been given new impetus.

In my second lecture, I will focus on a branching random walk whose genealogy is given by a conditioned branching process tree (in the domain of attraction of the BCRT). The associated discrete snake gives the collection of random walk paths from the root to each of the vertices in turn. I will discuss work in progress with Louigi Addario-Berry, Serte Donderwinkel and Rivka Mitchell in which we show the convergence of globally centred discrete snakes to the so-called "Brownian snake driven by a Brownian excursion".  In this work, we make essential use of the line-breaking approach outlined in the first lecture.

Rajat Subhra Hazra (University of Leiden)

Title: The membrane model (slides)

Abstract:

The discrete membrane model (MM) is a random interface model for separating surfaces that tend to preserve curvature. It is a very close relative of the discrete Gaussian free field (DGFF), for which instead the most likely interfaces are those preserving the mean height. However, working with the two modelspresents some key differences, in that in the MM the shape is driven by the biharmonic operator, while the DGFF is essentially a Gaussian perturbation of harmonic functions. In particular, a lot of tools (electrical networks, random walk representation of the covariance) are available for the DGFF and lack in the MM. In this talk we will review some basic properties of the MM, and we will investigate a random walk representation for the covariances of the MM and what it can bring forth in terms of its scaling limits. 

This talk is based on joint works with Alessandra Cipriani (University College, London), Biltu Dan (Indian Institute of Science) and Rounak Ray (TU, Eindhoven).

A Spring Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (21 April 2023) 

You can find here the poster of the event.

Fabio Toninelli (Technical University of Vienna)

Title: Driven diffusive systems and stochastic PDEs (slides)

Abstract:

In the introductory lecture, I will discuss a bit of statistical physics background/motivations about "driven diffusive systems", and explain how they can be mathematically modeled, either via discrete Markov chains (interacting particle systems, like the "Asymmetric Simple Exclusion Process") or via stochastic PDEs (like the Stochastic Burgers equation). I will also give a panorama of expected and proven results about "large-scale Gaussian fluctuations in dimension d\ge2". This part will include no proofs or technical details.

In the more technical lecture, I will focus on the stochastic Burgers equation (and similar stochastic PDEs) in the critical dimension d=2. I will discuss what is the "weak coupling limit" and I will formulate a  theorem (based on 2 joint recent works ( arXiv:2304.05730, arXiv:2108.09046) with G. Cannizzaro, D. Erhard, M. Gubinelli in different combinations) that says that these equations, in the weak coupling regime, have a Gaussian scaling limit at large scales. I plan to explain a bit the ideas behind the proof. 

Julia Komjathy (Delft University of Technology)

Title: Cluster-size decay in spatial random graphs (slides)

Abstract:

We consider a large class of spatially-embedded random graphs that includes among others long-range percolation, continuum scale-free percolation/geometric inhomogeneous random graphs and the age-dependent random connection model. Assume that the parameters are such that there is an infinite component. We identify the stretch-exponent zeta in (0,1) of the subexponential decay of the cluster-size distribution. That is, with C(0) denoting the number of vertices in the component of the vertex at the origin,

  P ( C is larger than k but finite ) = exp ( -k^zeta) as k tends to infinity

The value of zeta undergoes several phase transitions with respect to three main model parameters: the Euclidean dimension d, the power-law tail exponent tau of the degree distribution and a long-range parameter alpha governing the presence of long edges in Euclidean space.

In this seminar I will describe the connection to the second largest component, and present the key ideas of the proof. Based on joint work with Joost Jorritsma (Tu/e) and Dieter Mitsche (Lyon).

A Spring Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (06 May 2022)

You can find here the poster of the event.

Nina Gantert (Technical University of Munich)

Title: Mixing times for exclusion processes

Senya Shlosman (Aix Marseille Université, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology)

Title: Random surfaces in statistical mechanics

An Autumn Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (22 November 2019)

Sabine Jansen (LMU Munich)

Title: Large deviations and metastability for the Widom-Rowlinson model

Abstract:

The Widom-Rowlinson model is one of the few models in statistial mechanics for which a phase transition is rigorously proven. It is also popular in stochastic geometry and spatial statistics where it is called area interaction model and belongs to the broader class of quermass interaction models. After reviewing some relevant background about Gibbs measures for continuum interacting particle systems, I will discuss large deviations for the Widom-Rowlinson model in a joint high-density / low-temperature limit. I will also discuss metastability for a spatial birth and death process, a.k.a. continuum Glauber or grand-canonical Monte-Carlo, for which the Gibbs measure is reversible. Based on joint work with Frank den Hollander, Roman Kotecký and Elena Pulvirenti.

Luca Avena (University of Leiden)

Title: Explorations of networks through random spanning forests: theory and applications

Abstract:

David Wilson in the 1990s described a simple and efficient algorithm based on loop-erased random walks to sample uniform spanning trees and, more generally, weighted rooted trees or forests spanning a given graph. The goal of this lecture is to describe the resulting probability measure when Wilson’s algorithm is used to sample rooted spanning forests. This forest-measure has a rich, flexible and explicit mathematical structure which makes it a powerful tool to design different algorithms to explore a given network.

In the first part of the lecture, I will focus on fundamental aspects of this measure and how it relates to other objects of interest in statistical physics such as the well known Random-cluster model. I will in particular describe the main properties of related observables (e.g. set of roots, induced partition) which turn out to be determinantal processes with simple kernels and then discuss some progress in understanding related scaling limits.

The second part of the lecture will be devoted to applications. In particular, depending on time, I plan to discuss four different algorithms aiming at: (1) sampling well-distributed points in a graph, (2) coarse-graning a given network, (3) processing signals on graphs (a novel gaph wavelet transform), (4) estimating the spectrum of the graph Laplacian. The core of this lecture is based on different joint collaborations with the following colleagues and students: Castell, Gaudillere, Melot, Milanesi (Marselle), Quattropani (Rome), Driessen, Koperberg, Magrini (Leiden) , Amblard, Barthelme, Tremblay (Grenoble).

A Late Summer Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (27 September 2019)

Pierre Picco (Marseille)

Title: One-dimentional Ising model with long range interactions. A review of results

Abstract:

In the first talk I will make an quick historical survey of the rigorous results on the one-dimensional Ising model with long-range interactions. A first part will be dedicated to uniqueness of the Gibbs states (Ruelle (1968); Dobrushin (1968); Bricmont, Lebowitz & Pfister (1986)) and the regularity of the free energy when the decay of the potential is fast +enough (Dobrushin (1973) Cassandro & Olivieri (1981) and its extensions in particular Capocaccia, Campanino & Olivieri (1983).

A second part will be dedicated to the existence of phase transition starting from the Kac-Thompson conjecture (1968) the Dyson results (1969), the Frohlich \& Spencer result (1982), the Imbrie result (1982) the Aizenmann, Chayes, Chayes & Newman result on the Thouless effect (1988), Imbrie & Newman result on the Berezinsky, Kosterlitz & Thouless transition (1988).

A third part will be dedicated to present results in the phase transition regime that started with Frohlich & Spencer (1981), Cassandro, Ferrari, Merola & Presutti (2001) and its extensions in particular by Cassandro, Merola, Picco & Rosikov (2014) on the definition of an interface and its fluctuations, and on a Minlos & Sinai theorem on the phase separation problem by Cassandro, Merola & Picco (2017).

In the second talk I will review heuristic arguments that were invoked to conjecture the existence of a phase transition at low temperature in particular the Landau argument. I will present toy models where the fluctuation of interfaces and localisation of the droplet in the Minlos & Sinai theory will be explained. I will give an algorithmic definition of one-dimensional contours of Cassandro, Ferrari, Merola & Presutti.

Rui Pires da Silva Castro (Eindhoven University of Technology)

Title: Testing for the presence of communities in inhomogeneous random graphs

Abstract:

Many complex systems can be viewed as a network/graph consisting of vertices (e.g., individuals) connected by edges (e.g., a friendship relation). Often one believes there is some sort of community structure, where some vertices are naturally grouped together (e.g., more densely connected between themselves than to the rest of the network). Much of the community detection literature is concentrated around methods that extract communities from a given network. Our goal in this work is different, and we attempt to understand how difficult is it to determine if a network has real communities. Furthermore, we are primarily interested in the case of small or very small communities, for which many existing results and methods are not applicable.

We cast this problem as a binary hypothesis test, where the null model corresponds to a graph without community structure, and the alternative model almost the same, but it also includes a planted community – that is, a small subset of the vertices has higher connection probability than under the null. The main question is to determine the minimal size and strength of the planted community that will allow detection. The seminal work of Arias-Castro and Verzelen tackled this problem when the null model is a homogeneous random graph. In our work, however, we consider the case where the null model is inhomogeneous, as this is somewhat closer to realistic scenarios. In particular, we present a scan test and provide conditions under which it is able to detect the presence of a small community. These results are valid for a wide variety of parameter choices. Furthermore, we show that for some parameters choices the scan test is optimal, and no other test can perform better (e.g, detect smaller or weaker planted communities). Finally, we extend this scan test to adapt to many parameters of the model when the null is a rank-1 generalized random graph.

In the first part of the talk I will describe the above formulation and ensuing results, with illustrative examples and briefly touching upon the analytical methodology. In addition, I will discuss the related problem of characterizing cliques in rank-1 random graphs, which provides some insights on the role of inhomogeneity. The second part of the talk will go deeper into more technical aspects and ensuing insights. This presentation is based on joint work with Kay Bogerd and Remco van der Hofstad (https://arxiv.org/abs/1805.01688 and ongoing work).

A "Winter" Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (22 March 2019)

Giovanni Gallavotti (Sapienza University of Rome)

Title: Statistical ensembles, entropy and probability in statistical mechanics, and extension to chaotic motions (slides part 1, slides part 2)

Abstract:

A historical view on the theoretical developments generated by Boltzmann’s attempt to find a mechanical interpretation of the second principle, from the action principle to the Boltzmann’s equation to phase transitions and their universality to the modern developments in the non-equilibrium thermodynamics. In the second part the case of fluid mechanics and an interpretation of viscosity and irreversibility will be analyzed and related to an extension of the statistical ensembles to non-equilibrium phenomena.

Silke Rolles (Technical University of Munich)

Title: Processes with reinforcement (slides)

Abstract:

In 1986, Persi Diaconis introduced edge-reinforced random walk as a simple model for a tourist exploring an unknown city. Already then, he raised the question of recurrence and transience of this process on the d-dimensional integer lattice. Since edge-reinforced random walk is more likely to traverse edges that have been traversed often before and simple random walk is recurrent in dimension 2, recurrence of edge-reinforced random walk on the two-dimensional integer lattice may seem intuitively clear. However, a proof of this result was only found in 2015 by Sabot and Zeng. For dimensions larger or equal to 3 a phase transition between recurrence and transience was shown by Disertori, Sabot and Tarres in 2011 and 2014. In the talk I will give an overview of the subject and present some basic techniques. In particular, the edge-reinforced random walk is a mixture of reversible Markov chains with an explicitly known mixing measure. In a special case, this can be illustrated with an analogous result for the Polya urn.

An Autumn Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (23 November 2018)

You can find here the poster of the event.

Giovanni Jona-Lasinio (Sapienza University of Rome)

Title: Singular stochastic partial differential equations (slides)

Abstract:

Singular stochastic partial differential equations (SSPDE) first appeared in rather special contexts like the stochastic quantization of field theories or in the problem of crystal growth, the well known KPZ equation. In the last decade these equations have been intensely studied giving rise to an important branch of mathematics possibly relevant for physics. This talk will review some aspects and open problems in the subject.

Giambattista Giacomin (Université Paris Cité)

Title: Infinite disorder renormalization fixed point: the big picture and one specific result (slides)

Abstract:

In the first talk I will make an quick historical survey of the rigorous results on the one-dimensional Ising model with long-range interactions. A first part will be dedicated to uniqueness of the Gibbs states (Ruelle (1968); Dobrushin (1968); Bricmont, Lebowitz & Pfister (1986)) and the regularity of the free energy when the decay of the potential is fast +enough (Dobrushin (1973) Cassandro & Olivieri (1981) and its extensions in particular Capocaccia, Campanino & Olivieri (1983).
A second part will be dedicated to the existence of phase transition starting from the Kac-Thompson conjecture (1968) the Dyson results (1969), the Frohlich \& Spencer result (1982), the Imbrie result (1982) the Aizenmann, Chayes, Chayes & Newman result on the Thouless effect (1988), Imbrie & Newman result on the Berezinsky, Kosterlitz & Thouless transition (1988).
A third part will be dedicated to present results in the phase transition regime that started with Frohlich & Spencer (1981), Cassandro, Ferrari, Merola & Presutti (2001) and its extensions in particular by Cassandro, Merola, Picco & Rosikov (2014) on the definition of an interface and its fluctuations, and on a Minlos & Sinai theorem on the phase separation problem by Cassandro, Merola & Picco (2017).

In the second talk I will review heuristic arguments that were invoked to conjecture the existence of a phase transition at low temperature in particular the Landau argument. I will present toy models where the fluctuation of interfaces and localisation of the droplet in the Minlos & Sinai theory will be explained. I will give an algorithmic definition of one-dimensional contours of Cassandro, Ferrari, Merola & Presutti.

A Summer Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (14 September 2018)

You can find here the poster of the event.

Stefano Olla (Paris Dauphine)

Title: Hyperbolic Hydrodynamic Limits (slides)

Abstract:

I will present a review of old and new results (and open problems) concerning scaling limits for conservation laws in the hyperbolic space-time scale, for a system of anharmonic oscillators with external boundary tension. The macroscopic equation is given by the compressible Euler system, with corresponding boundary conditions. The problem is particularly challenging when shockwaves are present. Some results exists when the microscopic dynamics is perturbed by a conservative stochastic viscosity. Works in Collaboration with Stefano Marchesani (GSSI) and Lu Xu (CEREMADE).

Raú Rechtman (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

Title: Chaos and damage spreading in a probabilistic cellular automaton

Abstract:

Deterministic Boolean cellular automata (CA) are discrete maps F:B^N -> B^N, B={0,1}, x(t+1)=F(x(t)) with x in B^N, N large and t= 0,1,… . The vector x is the state of the cellular automaton with components x[i], i=0,…,N-1 the state of cell I. Each cell is connected to others, generally in a uniform and local way, and one can define an adjacency matrix a[ij]=1 is cell j is connected to cell i and zero otherwise. The global map F is determined by the parallel application of a local function f, such that x[i](t+1) = f(v[i](t)), where v[i] denotes the state of cells connected to cell i. Deterministic CA are thus the discrete equivalent of dynamical systems, and many concepts like trajectory (the sequence of configurations x (t)), fixed points and limit cycles can be used. There are cellular automata for which a small modification in an initial configuration propagates to the whole system, a situation similar to chaos in continuous systems, and indeed one can extend the concept of the largest Lyapunov exponent to deterministic CA using Boolean derivatives. One of the main inconvenient is that these systems do not have continuous parameters to be tuned, in order to study bifurcations.

In probabilistic cellular automata, the function f (and thus F) is defined in terms of transition probabilities so that deterministic CA can be seen as the extreme cases of probabilistic ones, when the transition probabilities are either zero or one. Probabilistic CA can be seen also as Markov chains, and one can observe interesting phase transitions after changing the transition probabilities that are therefore continuous control parameters.

A realization of a specific trajectory is determined by the extraction of one or more of random numbers for each cell. By extracting these numbers at the beginning of the simulation, for all cells and all times, one converts a probabilistic CA into a deterministic one, running over a quenched random field. One can therefore use the concepts of deterministic CA, like damage spreading and maximum Lyapunov exponent also for probabilistic CA, with the advantage of having the possibility of fine-tuning the control parameters.

In particular, we investigate a probabilistic cellular automaton which can be considered an extension of a model in the universality class of directed percolation models, but with two absorbing states. In the first part of the talk all the concepts mentioned above are defined and in the second part, the probabilistic cellular automaton is studied numerically. We show that the phase transitions when the order parameter is the average damage do not coincide with those found for the Lyapunov exponent and the reason of this is the presence of absorbing states.

A Spring Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (25 May 2018)

You can find here the poster of the event.

Francis Comets (Université Paris-Diderot Paris 7)

Title: Cover time, cover process, random interlacements for random walk on the torus

Remco van der Hofstad (Eindhoven University of Technology)

Title: Ising models on random graphs

Abstract:

The Ising model is one of the simplest statistical mechanics models that displays a phase transition. While invented by Ising and Lenz to model magnetism, for which the Ising model lives on regular lattices, it is now widely used for other real-world applications as a model for cooperative behavior and consensus between people. As such, it is natural to consider the Ising model on complex networks. Since complex networks are modelled using random graphs, this leads us to study the Ising model on random graphs. In this talk, we discuss some recent results on the stationary distribution of the Ising model on locally tree-like random graphs. We start by giving an extensive introduction to random graph models for complex networks, to set the stage of the graphs on which our Ising models live. Real-world networks tend to be highly inhomogeneous, a fact that is most prominently reflected in their degree distributions having heavy tails as described by power laws. Due to the randomness of the graphs on which the Ising model lives, there are different settings for the Ising model on it. The quenched setting describes the Ising model on the random graph as it is, while the averaged quenched setting takes the expectation w.r.t. the randomness of the graph. As such, it takes the expectation of the Boltzman distribution, which is a ratio of an exponential involving the Hamiltonian, and the partition function. In the annealed setting, the expectation is taken on both sides of the ratio. These different settings each describe different physical realities. We discuss the thermodynamic limit of the Ising model, which can be used to define the phase transition in the Ising model on locally tree-like random graphs, by describing when spontaneous magnetization exists and when not, extending work by Dembo and Montanari. We give an explicit expression for the critical value and the critical exponents for the magnetization close to it. These critical exponents depend on the power-law exponent of the degree distribution in the random graph. We also discuss central limit theorems for the total spin in the uniqueness regime, as well as a non-classical limit theorem for the total spin at the critical point in the special setting of the annealed generalized random graph. This talk is based on several joint works with Sander Dommers, Cristian Giardina, Claudio Giberti and Maria Luisa Prioriello.

A Winter Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (16 March 2018)

You can find here the poster of the event.

Frank den Hollander (Leiden University)

Title: Large deviations for the Wiener sausage (slides)

Abstract:

The Wiener sausage is the 1-environment of Brownian motion. It is an important mathematical object because it is one of the simplest non-Markovian functionals of Brownian motion. The Wiener sausage has been studied intensively since the 1970’s. It plays a key role in the study of various stochastic phenomena, including heat conduction, trapping in random media, spectral properties of random Schrödinger operators, and Bose-Einstein condensation. In these lectures we look at two specific quantities: the volume and the capacity. After an introduction to the Wiener sausage, we show that both the volume and the capacity satisfy a downward large deviation principle. We identify the rate and the rate function, and analyse the properties of the rate function. We also explain how the large deviation principles are proved with the help of the skeleton approach. Joint work with Michiel van den Berg (Bristol) and Erwin Bolthausen (Zurich).

Giovanni Peccati (University of Luxembourg)

Title: Stein’s method and stochastic geometry (slides)

Abstract:

The so-called ‘Stein’s method’ for probabilistic approximations is a collection of powerful analytical techniques, allowing one to explicitly assess the distance between the distributions of two random objects, by using caracterizing differential operators. Originally developed by Ch. Stein at the end of the sixties for dealing with one-dimensional normal approximations under weak dependence assumptions, Stein’s method has rapidly become a crucial tool in many areas of modern stochastic analysis, ranging from random matrix theory and random graphs, to mathematical physics, geometry, combinatorics and statistics. In the first part of my talk, I will provide a self-contained introduction to Stein’s method for normal approximations, by focussing on some connection with generalised integration by parts formulae, both in a continuous and discrete setting. In the second part of my talk, I will present some recent applications of Stein’s method in stochastic geometry, with specific emphasis on the geometry of random fields, and on random geometric graphs.

An Autumn Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (15 December 2017)

You can find here the poster of the event.

Milton Jara (IMPA, Rio de Janeiro)

Title: Weak universality of the stationary KPZ equation

Abstract:

A basic question about Markov chains is the asymptotic behavior of integrals of some function of the chain along its trajectory. In the literature, those integrals are sometimes called ‘Birkhoff averages’ or ‘additive functionals’. In the first talk, I will introduce a general strategy to estimate moment generating functions of these additive functionals in terms of the relative entropy of the chain with respect to carefully constructed reference measures. In the second talk, I will explain how to use this strategy to prove that for a large class of weakly asymmetric stochastic systems, the density of particles is well approximated by the stationary KPZ equation. This proof does not require explicit knowledge of the stationary measures of the stochastic systems, which was a major drawback of previous results.

Nikos Zygouras (University of Warwick)

Title: Combinatorial structures in KPZ stochastic models (slides)

Abstract:

It was proposed by Kardar, Parisi and Zhang in the 1980s that a large class of randomly growing interfaces exhibit universal fluctuations described mathematically by a nonlinear stochastic partial differential equation, which is now known as the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang or KPZ equation. Examples of physical systems which fall in this class are percolation of liquid in porous media, growth of bacteria colonies, currents in one dimensional traffic or liquid systems, liquid crystals etc. Surprisingly the fluctuations of such random interfaces are governed by exponents and distributions that differ from the predictions given by the classical central limit theorem and in dimension one are linked to laws emerging from random matrix theory. The link between random growth and random matrices (which still demands deeper investigation) is certain combinatorial structures. In these talks I review the current status of the field and describe some of the combinatorial structures and the advances (both older and more recent) that these have led to.

A Spring Day in Probability and Statistical Physics (26 May 2017)

You find here the poster of the event.

Roberto Fernandez  (University of Utrecht)

Title: Signal description: process or Gibbs? (slides)

Abstract:

The distribution of signals such as spike trains is naturally modeled through stochastic processes where the probability of future states depend on the pattern of past spikes. Mathematically, this corresponds to distributions *conditioned on the past*. From a signal-theoretic point of view, however, one could wonder whether a more efficient description could be obtained through the simultaneous conditioning of past *and* future. Furthermore, such a formalism could be appropriate when discussing string without a particular “time” order, such as the distribution of DNA nucleotides, or even issues related to anticipation and prediction in neuroscience. On the mathematical level this double conditioning would correspond to a Gibbsian description analogous to the one adopted in statistical mechanics. In this talk I will introduce and contrast both approaches -process and Gibbsian based- reviewing existing results on scope and limitations of them.

Robert Morris (IMPA, Rio de Janeiro)

Title: Monotone cellular automata (slides)

Abstract:

Cellular automata are interacting particle systems whose update rules are local and homogeneous. Since their introduction by von Neumann almost 50 years ago, many particular such systems have been investigated, but no general theory has been developed for their study, and for many simple examples surprisingly little is known. Understanding their (typical) global behaviour is an important and challenging problem in statistical physics, probability theory and combinatorics. In this talk I will outline some recent progress in understanding the behaviour of a particular (large) family of monotone cellular automata – those which can naturally be embedded in d-dimensional space – with random initial conditions. For example, in the case where a site updates (from inactive to active) if at least r of its neighbours are already active, these models are known as bootstrap percolation, and have been extensively studied for various specific underlying graphs. Apart from their inherent mathematical interest, the study of these processes is motivated by their close connection to models in statistical physics, and I will discuss some applications to a family of models of the liquid-glass transition known as kinetically constrained spin models.