As part of the Theme Year initiative, Introduction to Information Analysis students partnered with OHM Advisors, H20 Metrics, and the City of Ann Arbor Water Treatment Department and Public Works. Students worked on various data-driven problems shared by these organizations, with the goal of enhancing their educational experience through engagement with real-world data sets and problem statements.
Fall 2023 faculty: Ben Green, Hanna Hoover
The students in this class worked individually on one or more of the following data topics:
Municipal drinking water infrastructure:
What is the relationship between water demand and wet and/or dry spells?
Are there any identifiable trends in the water demand across the years?
What is the relationship between water and sewage usage for University of Michigan buildings across years?
How does the water and sewage usage for University of Michigan buildings relate to wet and/or dry spells?
Stormwater, pathogens, waterways
What is the relationship between recent rainfall and water quality?
What is the relationship between air quality and water quality?
What is the relationship between permeable surface area and water quality?
Historical Trends
Is Ann Arbor likely to experience increased flooding in the future?
Which areas/properties are the most at risk in the City of Ann Arbor for flooding?
What type of infrastructure within Ann Arbor is susceptible to failures due to increased rain or flooding?
Given recent rainfall data, how accurate if NOAAs rainfall estimates (Atlas 14)?
Project Outcomes
Impacts of Outdated Water Infrastructure in Ann Arbor
Student(s): Aayana Anand
Project Overview:
I analyzed Ann Arbor water main breakage data to see if there was a significant relationship between the frequency of water main breaks and pipe materials as pipes increased in age. I also examined these relationships with respect to vulnerable seasons (ie. during months when the most water main breaks occurred).
My analysis showed that water mains broke predominantly during winter months (December, January, February), leading to higher total repair costs during these months as well. Water main breaks across mostly involved cast iron pipes. Older water mains (~60 years or older) used mostly cast iron, while younger water mains (~60 years or younger) used mostly ductile iron. Based on these findings and my knowledge about the topic from the semester, I provided 2 actionable recommendations: Switch to Ductile Iron-based Water Mains & Establish Yearly Maintenance Plans.
Even though my analysis and recommendations were specific to Ann Arbor, the background knowledge I obtained from developing my project is fundamental to tackling issues outside of our city -- This includes current legislation gaps, corrosive materials, and the fragmented nature of national infrastructure. Despite this theme not being my central interest, I was grateful for the opportunity to step outside my comfort zone and become more informed about such a prevalent issue, all while advancing my technical skills. As students, our impact begins with these projects that allow us to start small and grow into national and/or global initiatives.
Investigating the Relationship between Stormwater, Contaminants, and Drinking Water Quality in Ann Arbor
Student(s): Riley Sullivan
Project Overview:
With increasing rainfall in Ann Arbor every year, there is subsequently more stormwater, which collects the city’s contaminants as it flows through Ann Arbor and eventually infiltrates the local waterways. I investigated if this increase in rainfall and stormwater had an impact on E. coli and Nitrate levels in Ann Arbor and whether that impact was potentially dangerous.
This project was my first experience working on a long-form, data-driven project, so I truly learned so much. Not only was I exposed to the water issues around Ann Arbor that I was blind to before, but working on this project strengthened my grasp on coding and taught me how to use analytical insights to help mitigate real issues. My project focused on stormwater in Ann Arbor and whether it increased Nitrate or E. Coli levels in local waterways or drinking water to a dangerous degree.
Through my research, I found statistically significant weak but positive correlations between the amount of stormwater and the levels of Nitrate/E.Coli in Barton Pond. Adding onto this initial insight, it appeared that as the average monthly amount of E. coli found in Barton Pond increased, the monthly average amount of E. coli found in the drinking water intake increased as well. These outcomes could support further investment into the Ann Arbor Water treatment systems, ensuring clean and healthy drinking water for all residents. Hopefully, these results will also encourage Ann Arbor residents to reflect on whether their living and buying practices could harm nearby water if caught in stormwater. Whether it's cleaning up pet waste or swapping out household items like fertilizer, there are ways for citizens to live more eco-friendly lives.
Optimizing Watermain Attributes to Address Watermain Issues in the City of Ann Arbor
Student(s): Aren Shah
Project Overview:
The goal of the project was to analyze watermain attributes in the contexts of optimizing the number of watermain breaks, their severity, and the cost of repair. This analysis was intended to help the City of Ann Arbor effectively decide what types of attributes future water infrastructure should have.
The outcome of the project led to two conclusions for the City of Ann Arbor. The first one was that when building future water infrastructure, the city should build shorter watermains around 250 meters in length. The second recommendation was to build future watermains with diameters close to 7 inches. Based on an extensive analysis based on each attribute and in the context of optimizing different variables, I was able to see which attributes had strongest correlations.
These findings can be helpful to city staff as they incorporate the number of breakages and severity levels with the cost of repair. To optimize the repair costs of individual watermain breaks, the City of Ann Arbor should consider longer watermains around 700 meters over shorter watermains around 100-200 meters even though longer watermain breaks around 700 meters are more frequent. This finding aligns with expectations because shorter watermains are often found in proximity to infrastructure limiting access to the site. From a cost perspective, having longer watermains may be more ideal. However, this may change based on labor costs as sending crews more frequently to fix watermains may be more expensive. Additionally, the city should further investigate the materials they use in watermains. Pipes made out of ductile iron cost more on average to repair than cast iron (Figure 5). This plot conflicts with expectations of the city staff, so this should be further investigated. Considering the severity and cost, lower severity repairs are associated with lower costs and vice-versa (Figure 6). This aligns with expectations as less severe breakages may be less urgent and require fewer materials and labor. When optimizing the cost of a watermain break, changing the length will likely be most effective as there is some conflicting data with diameter size.
Ann Arbor Water Infrastructure Analysis
Student(s): Aaron Benyamini
Project Overview:
Watermain breaks are a common issue in Ann Arbor, Michigan because of its increase in breaks and its aging infrastructure. This highlighted the need to investigate whether this issue can be resolved for the improvement of Ann Arbor’s future water infrastructure. The project concluded that there has not been an increase in watermain breaks in Ann Arbor, but found the survival probability among broken pipes to drastically decline once it hit the 55 year marker. The project also found that subtype one cast iron watermains were much more likely to break than other material types. This study has provided valuable insights for future infrastructure improvements, allowing for targeted intervention towards watermains that are at a certain age and of subtype one made of cast iron.
The quantitative measures obtained from the research showed the material and subtype that had the highest ratio of breaks. The findings aligned with my initial expectations to some extent. The identification of cast iron and ductile iron as materials with the highets number of broken pipes was expected, given their prevalence in the dataset. However, after adjustments made by calculating the ratio of broken pipes to total pipes for each material, the data revealed that steel had the highest ratio. Unfortunately, the limited number of installed steel pipes did not provide sufficient data reliability and variability, which caused me to shift my focus towards the second highest ratio, cast iron. The next analysis showed that Subtype 1 had the highest ratio of broken pipes for cast iron. These findings can help stakeholders and the city in reevaluating the material selection policies. Despite having the most amount of installed pipes, ductile iron had the second to last highest ratio. Policymakers might consider focusing on ductile iron as the main material for these watermains going forward, as well as allocate resources to focus on materials and subtypes with higher vulnerability. This could include prioritizing inspections, repairs, and replacement for watermains of these attributes.
Analysis of correlations between watermain breakages and various watermain features in Ann Arbor
Student(s): Sydney Finkelstein
Project Overview:
The City of Ann Arbor is grappling with the persistent problem of watermain breaks, influenced by uncertainty about the correlations between breakages and various watermain features. This issue highlights the need to analyze and understand the factors contributing to these watermain breaks to promote successful future enhancements to the city's water infrastructure.
I learned a great deal about the interactions between watermain materials and watermain features such as age, dimensions, and pressure zones and their correlations to watermain breaks in the Ann Arbor water infrastructure system. My findings revealed that cast iron mains are particularly susceptible to breaks, while steel main breaks are more influenced by age, dimensions, and pressure zones than other materials. Additionally, PVC mains have the lowest break rate across all materials, especially compared to steel and cast iron mains, which have the highest break rates. Lastly, the variables age, dimension, and pressure zone do not seem to affect PVC and contribute to breakages in the same way they do for other materials. These insights offer valuable guidance for prioritizing repairs and optimizing conditions for different watermain materials in future infrastructure enhancements.
Aside from my findings, this project offered me valuable experience in applying data science to a real-world scenario. I specifically learned that cleaning data requires a creative approach and a lot of patience. Overall, this course and project taught me that data science is so much more than coding graphs and charts. It is a role that encompasses client communication, thorough planning, collaborative teamwork, constructive critique, and so much more.
Cracks in the System: Understanding the Factors Behind Water Main Breaks in Ann Arbor
Student(s): Karlyle Yarema
Project Overview:
I worked to understand which water main attributes (age, material, length, and diameter) could be related to a water main having a higher potential to break.
Through this project, I found that older water mains, longer water mains, and water mains made out of cast iron were more likely to break, which could help the City of Ann Arbor in making decisions about replacing or installing water mains. These findings would benefit the residents of Ann Arbor by keeping water service running and ensuring good water quality, while also helping the city in managing its budget. Personally, this project provided an excellent opportunity to develop my data analysis skills while using these skills to attack an issue that has real-world implications.
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