2021 – present
Stanford University
PhD, Earth System Science (expected 2027)
2017 – 2021
University of California–Davis
BS, Atmospheric Sciences, highest honors
BS, Applied Mathematics, high honors
Trok et al. “Large-scale circulation patterns regulate the response of extreme atmospheric river events to global warming.”
Submitted / Under Review
Diffenbaugh, N. S., & Trok, J. T. “Verifying storyline attribution of extreme weather and climate events.” Under review at Environmental Research Letters. [Preprint]
Fay R.L., Glidden C.K., Trok J.T., Diffenbaugh N.S., Ciota A.T., & Mordecai E.A. “The impact of climate change on transmission season length: West Nile virus as a case study.” Submitted to Nature Health. [Preprint]
Ji A., Singh S., Corner J. M., Higgins T., Dang H. V., Mathai M., Trok J. T., & Mamalakis A. “Attributing extreme precipitation over CONUS to global warming via artificial intelligence.” Under review at Geophysical Research Letters.
2026
Trok, J.T., Barnes, E.A., Gordon, E.M., Davenport, F.V. & Diffenbaugh, N.S. “Global emissions since the Paris Agreement have intensified Europe's recent heatwaves.” Geophysical Research Letters.
Media coverage:
TIME Magazine, “The Past Decade’s Emissions Are Already Driving Worse Heat Waves in Europe.” Simmone Shah.
Stanford Report, “Emissions from the past decade have made Europe’s recent heat waves worse.” Katie Jewett.
Nature Research Highlight, "Emissions after the Paris accord made Europe’s heatwaves more severe."
Harris, M.J., Trok, J.T., Martel, K.S., Cordova, M.J.B., Diffenbaugh, N.S., Munayco, C.V., ... & Mordecai, E.A."Extreme precipitation, exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change, drove Peru’s record-breaking 2023 dengue outbreak." One Earth.
Media coverage: Stanford Report, “How climate change is fueling disease outbreaks.” Rob Jordon.
2025
Callahan, C.W., Trok, J.T., Wilson, A.J., Gould, C.F., Heft-Neal, S., Diffenbaugh, N.S., & Burke, M. "Increasing risk of mass human heat mortality if historical weather patterns recur." Nature Climate Change.
Media coverage: Stanford Doerr School of Sustainability. “Weather behind past heat waves could return far deadlier.” Josie Garthwaite.
Callahan, C., Trok, J.T., Wilson, A., Gould, C., Heft-Neal, S., Burke, M., & Diffenbaugh, N.S. "Quantifying the contributions of climate change and adaptation to mortality from unprecedented extreme heat events." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
2024
Trok, J.T., Barnes, E.A., Davenport, F.V. & Diffenbaugh, N.S. "Machine learning–based extreme event attribution." Science Advances.
Media coverage:
Stanford Report, “Using AI to link heat waves to global warming.” Rob Jordon, 2024.
The Hill, “New AI-powered tool could help predict heat waves, link them to climate change.”, Sharon Udasin, 2024.
2023
Rastogi, D., Trok, J.T., Depsky, N., Monier, E. & Jones, A.D. "Historical evaluation and future projections of compound heatwave and drought extremes over the conterminous United States in CMIP6." Environmental Research Letters.
Trok, J.T., Davenport, F.V., Barnes, E.A., & Diffenbaugh, N.S. "Using machine learning with partial dependence analysis to investigate coupling between soil moisture and near‐surface temperature." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
2026
Conference on Attribution Science and Climate Law 2026, Columbia University, NY
[Poster] Extreme event attribution based on fractional shares of historical emissions
Doerr School of Sustainability Research Review 2026, Stanford, CA
[Oral] Extreme event attribution based on fractional shares of historical emissions
Water in the West Conference 2026, Stanford, CA
[Invited] Large-scale circulation patterns regulate the response of extreme atmospheric river
events to global warming
2025
American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2025, New Orleans, LA
[Oral] Large-scale circulation patterns regulate the response of extreme atmospheric river
events to global warming
IPSL’s Extremes: Statistics, Impacts and Regionalization Research Group 2025
[Invited] Using machine learning to quantify uncertainty in extreme event attribution
2024
American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2024, Washington D.C.
[Oral] Quantifying uncertainty in extreme event attribution using neural networks
California E.P.A.’s Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment 2024
[Invited] ML-based extreme event attribution: implications for California
Climate Resolve’s Integrated Climate Committee on Extreme Heat Meeting 2024
[Invited] ML-based extreme event attribution: implications for California
2023
American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2023, San Francisco, CA
[Oral] Machine learning-based extreme event attribution
2022
American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2022, Chicago, IL
[Oral] Using machine learning with partial dependence analysis to investigate coupling
between soil moisture and near‐surface temperature
2026
Mentor, Stanford University’s Science Small Group Program
Leading weekly meetings supporting and mentoring local community college students as they pursue their goals in science.
2024 – 2026
Reviewer for Nature Communications Earth & Environment (2 articles), Earth's Future (3 articles), and npj Natural Hazards (1 article).
PhD Student Mentor, Department of Earth System Science
Mentoring 1st-year PhD students in Earth System Science.
2024 – 2025
Panelist, Earth System Science qualifying exam panel
Invited to provide 1st- and 2nd-year PhD students with helpful tips for preparing and executing their qualifying exams.
2021
American Meteorological Society Graduate Fellowship
Stanford University ($5,000)
Atmospheric Sciences Departmental Award
University of California – Davis
2017 – 2021
Regents Scholar
University of California – Davis ($30,000)
2017
San Diego Air and Space Museum STEM Award
($5,000)