1. Inventories matter for the transmission of monetary policy: uncovering the cost-of-carry channel (with Diego Rodrigues)
2. Monetary policy along the yield curve: why can central banks affect long-term real rates? (with Paul Beaudry and Paolo Cavallino)
3. A game-theoretic foundation for the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (with Thomas Norman)
4. Battle of the markups: conflict inflation and the aspirational channel of monetary policy transmission (with Rick van der Ploeg)
5. Forecast accuracy and efficiency at the Bank of England -- and how errors can be leveraged to do better (with Derrick Kanngiesser) -- link to associated dataset containing BoE forecast vintages and errors
(Sleeping papers)
6. Evaluating the impact of non-financial IMF programs using the Synthetic Control Method (with Monique Newiak)
7. What shall we do with the bad dictator? On the perils of commitment when agents are strategic (with Shaun Larcom and Mare Sarr)
Also see our VoxEU-column on this paper: http://www.voxeu.org/article/icc-justice-expense-peace
8. Identifying US monetary policy shocks through sign restrictions in dollarized countries (with Alessandro Gobbi) - Appendix
9. You can go your own way: on the electoral motives and impact of secessions
10. Political accountability and policy experimentation: why to elect left-handed politicians
11. Estimating the output gap: unobserved components meets DSGE