Upcoming workshop

明治大学政治経済学部経済学科・明治大学EBPM研究センター共催

October 9,  2026 (Friday)  15:30-17:00, JST

Venue: 明治大学駿河台キャンパス　リバティタワー9階1095教室にて開催 

Room 1095, 9th Floor, Liberty Tower, Meiji University Surugadai Campus

※2026年度より会場が明治大学となっております

※※秋学期から前期と会場が変わっております

Guest Speaker：Atsushi Yamagishi (Tohoku University)

Title：Possible Futures in Sight: Disability Service Facilities and Local Fertility

Abstract: This paper examines whether fertility decisions respond to perceived risks of disability in children and associated care needs, potentially made salient by incidental encounters with people with disabilities and their caregivers. Using spatially granular Japanese census data, I find 7.39 fewer children aged 0–4 per 1,000 women aged 15–49 (3.9% of the mean child-to-woman ratio) near disability service facilities, which increase opportunities for such encounters in urban public space. Child-to-woman ratios are also lower along routes between facilities and railway stations, and proximity effects are stronger where private-car use is lower. Placebos based on facility entry timing and elderly care facilities do not reproduce lower ratios. Adjusting for migration, land prices, and neighborhood safety leaves most of the association intact. These findings suggest that more opportunities for the incidental encounters may influence perceived disability risks or anticipated care needs, thereby affecting fertility decisions.

※10月はハイブリッドで開催いたします。

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