R&Rs / Forthcoming
“Robust Inference for the Frisch Labor Supply Elasticity” (2025), Forthcoming, Journal of Labor Economics (with M.Keane) [link]
Publications
“Reconsidering the Macroeconomic Damages of Severe Warning” (2025), Vol. 20 (4), Environmental Research Letters (with B. Newell and A. Pitman) [link] [Guardian article] [Conversation article]
"Estimating the Effectiveness of Forest Protection using Regression Discontinuity" (2024), Vol. 127(Sept.), Journal of Environmental Economics & Management [link] [Conversation article]
"A Practical Guide to Weak Instruments" (2024), Vol. 16, Annual Reviews of Economics (with M. Keane) [link]
“The Role of Instrument Strength in IV Estimation and Inference: A Guide to Theory and Practice” (2023), Journal of Econometrics, Vol.235(2), (with Michael Keane) [link to paper in press] [Replication Package Download Link]
"The Impact of Child Work on Cognitive Development: Results from Four Low-to-Middle Income Countries" (2022), Quantitative Economics, Vol. 13(2), p.425-465 (with Michael Keane and Sonya Krutikova) [link] [Dataset and Replication]
"Consumer Panic in the COVID-19 Pandemic" (2021), Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 220(1), p.86-105 (with Michael Keane) [link to journal page] [link to Working Paper] [Dataset and Replication]
“Evaluating Consumers' Choices of Medicare Part D Plans: A Study in Behavioral Welfare Economics”, (2021), Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 222(1), p.107-140 (with Michael Keane, Jonathan Ketcham and Nicolai Kuminoff) [link to journal page] [link to Working Paper]
"Climate change and U.S. agriculture: Accounting for multidimensional slope heterogeneity in panel data” (2020), Quantitative Economics , Vol. 11(4), p.1391-1429 (with Michael Keane) [Link to Paper, Supplementary Material, and Code] [Correction to Theorem 3]
"Comparing Deep Neural Network and Econometric Approaches to Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Yield” (2020), The Econometrics Journal, 23(3), p.S59–S80 (with Michael Keane) [link to journal page (includes appendix and data)] [link to Working Paper]
"The Keane and Runkle estimator for panel-data models with serial correlation and instruments that are not strictly exogenous" (2016), Stata Journal, Vol16(3), (with Michael Keane) p.523-549 [link]
"Panel Cointegration analysis with xtpedroni" (2014), Stata Journal, Vol14(3), p.684-692 [link]
"Using Panel Co-Integration Methods To Understand Rising Top Income Shares" (2013), The Economic Record, Vol. 89 (284), p.83-98 [link]
Works in Progress
“p-Hacking Instrument Selection” (with Michael Keane and Patrick Vu)
“The Power Asymmetry of Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity” (with Daniel Kaliski and Michael Keane)
"Food Prices under Climate Change" (with Sium Bodha Hannadige)
"Importing Climate Change" (with Petr Sedlacek and Shengyu Li)
Working Papers
"The Importance of External Weather Effects in Projecting the Macroeconomic Impacts of Climate Change" [link]
"Cross-Sectional Dependence and Time-Varying Slope Parameters in Panel Data Models" [link]
"Multidimensional Slope Heterogeneity in Panel Data Models" [link]
"Estimating Heterogeneous Coefficients in Panel Time Series Models with Endogenous Regressors and Common Factors" [link]
"Inequality and the Speed of Recovery from Recession: Evidence from U.S. States" [link]
Notable Mentions of Research in the Media
Graham Readfearn, "Average person will be 40% poorer if world warms by 4C, new research shows", The Guardian, April 1 2025 [link]
Shane Wright, "'Panic index' shows Australians were the world's best panic buyers", The Sydney Morning Herald / The Age, June 2 2020 [link]
Naaman Zhou, "Off the chart: Australians were world leaders in panic buying, beating UK and Italy", The Guardian, June 3 2020 [link]
Media Articles
" Global warming of more than 3°C this century may wipe 40% off the world’s economy, new analysis reveals", The Conversation, 2025
" The 2025 federal budget fails the millions of voters who want action on Australia’s struggling environment", The Conversation, 2025
"National parks and other protected areas often fail to conserve Earth’s forests, research finds", The Conversation, 2024
"Green industry yes, conservation no: a budget for people, not for nature", The Conversation, 2024
“Have some economists severely underestimated the financial hit from climate change? Recent evidence suggests yes”, The Conversation, 2023
“Labor’s ‘sensible’ budget leaves Australians short-changed on climate action. Here’s where it went wrong”, The Conversation / ABC News, 2022, Available online: The Conversation Article & ABC News Article