Publications
“Robust Inference for the Frisch Labor Supply Elasticity” (2025), Vol. 43 S1, Journal of Labor Economics (with M.Keane) [link]
“Reconsidering the Macroeconomic Damages of Severe Warning” (2025), Vol. 20 (4), Environmental Research Letters (with B. Newell and A. Pitman) [link] [Guardian article] [Conversation article]
"Estimating the Effectiveness of Forest Protection using Regression Discontinuity" (2024), Vol. 127(Sept.), Journal of Environmental Economics & Management [link] [Conversation article]
"A Practical Guide to Weak Instruments" (2024), Vol. 16, Annual Reviews of Economics (with M. Keane) [link]
“The Role of Instrument Strength in IV Estimation and Inference: A Guide to Theory and Practice” (2023), Journal of Econometrics, Vol.235(2), (with Michael Keane) [link to paper in press] [Replication Package Download Link]
"The Impact of Child Work on Cognitive Development: Results from Four Low-to-Middle Income Countries" (2022), Quantitative Economics, Vol. 13(2), p.425-465 (with Michael Keane and Sonya Krutikova) [link] [Dataset and Replication]
"Consumer Panic in the COVID-19 Pandemic" (2021), Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 220(1), p.86-105 (with Michael Keane) [link to journal page] [link to Working Paper] [Dataset and Replication]
“Evaluating Consumers' Choices of Medicare Part D Plans: A Study in Behavioral Welfare Economics”, (2021), Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 222(1), p.107-140 (with Michael Keane, Jonathan Ketcham and Nicolai Kuminoff) [link to journal page] [link to Working Paper]
"Climate change and U.S. agriculture: Accounting for multidimensional slope heterogeneity in panel data” (2020), Quantitative Economics , Vol. 11(4), p.1391-1429 (with Michael Keane) [Link to Paper, Supplementary Material, and Code] [Correction to Theorem 3]
"Comparing Deep Neural Network and Econometric Approaches to Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Yield” (2020), The Econometrics Journal, 23(3), p.S59–S80 (with Michael Keane) [link to journal page (includes appendix and data)] [link to Working Paper]
"The Keane and Runkle estimator for panel-data models with serial correlation and instruments that are not strictly exogenous" (2016), Stata Journal, Vol16(3), (with Michael Keane) p.523-549 [link]
"Panel Cointegration analysis with xtpedroni" (2014), Stata Journal, Vol14(3), p.684-692 [link]
"Using Panel Co-Integration Methods To Understand Rising Top Income Shares" (2013), The Economic Record, Vol. 89 (284), p.83-98 [link]
Working Papers
"The Power Asymmetry of Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity" [link] (with Daniel Kaliski and Michael Keane)
"Instrument-Hacking" [link coming soon!] (with Michael Keane and Patrick Vu)
"Food Prices under Climate Change" [link coming soon!] (with Sium Bodha Hannadige)
"Cross-Sectional Dependence and Time-Varying Slope Parameters in Panel Data Models" [link]
Works in Progress
"The Economic Costs of Historical Climate Change" (with Ridhima Gupta, Ben Newell, and Andy Pitman)
"Correcting Standard Errors in Existing IV Work" (with Michael Keane and Patrick Vu)
"Structural Estimation of the Impacts of EITC Reform" (with Robert Moffitt, Michael Keane, and Robert Sauer)
Old Working Papers
"Estimating Heterogeneous Coefficients in Panel Time Series Models with Endogenous Regressors and Common Factors" [link]
"Inequality and the Speed of Recovery from Recession: Evidence from U.S. States" [link]
Notable Mentions of Research in the Media
"Economists and Scientists Deeply Disagree About the Cost of Climate Change", PBS Television: Weathered, August 2025, [PBS Link] [Youtube Link]
"Average person will be 40% poorer if world warms by 4C, new research shows", The Guardian (Graham Readfearn), April 2025 [link]
"The real cost of climate change: Global warming could make the average person 40% poorer by 2100, scientists warn", Daily Mail (William Hunter), April 2025 [link]
"Biodiversity declining even faster in ‘protected’ areas, scientists warn Cop16", The Guardian (Phoebe Weston), Oct. 2024 [link]
"'Panic index' shows Australians were the world's best panic buyers", The Sydney Morning Herald / The Age (Shane Wright), June 2 2020 [link]
"Off the chart: Australians were world leaders in panic buying, beating UK and Italy", The Guardian (Naaman Zhou), June 3 2020 [link]
Media Articles
" Global warming of more than 3°C this century may wipe 40% off the world’s economy, new analysis reveals", The Conversation, 2025
" The 2025 federal budget fails the millions of voters who want action on Australia’s struggling environment", The Conversation, 2025
"National parks and other protected areas often fail to conserve Earth’s forests, research finds", The Conversation, 2024
"Green industry yes, conservation no: a budget for people, not for nature", The Conversation, 2024
“Have some economists severely underestimated the financial hit from climate change? Recent evidence suggests yes”, The Conversation, 2023
“Labor’s ‘sensible’ budget leaves Australians short-changed on climate action. Here’s where it went wrong”, The Conversation / ABC News, 2022, Available online: The Conversation Article & ABC News Article