Publications and Working Papers

Publications

1. Aktug, Emrehan, Devrim Ikizler, Timur Hulagu, “Effects of Small Loans on Bank and Small Business Growth,” U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Advocacy, March 2020, https://advocacy.sba.gov/wpcontent/uploads/2021/03/De-Novo-Bank-Formation.pdf 

2. Yalcin, C., Hulagu, T., 2016, "Micro evidence on foreign exchange liabilities and the exchange rate risk in non-financial firms in Turkey: a descriptive analysis," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Combining micro and macro data for financial stability analysis, volume 41, Bank for International Settlements. https://www.bis.org/ifc/publ/ifcb41.pdf 

3. Arslan, Y., Atabek, A., Hulagu, T., Şahinöz, S., 2015, "Expectation Errors, Uncertainty And Economic Activity," Oxford Economic Papers,  67(3), 634-660. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpv003.

4. Baskaya, Y.S., Hulagu, T., Kucuk, H., 2013, "Oil Price Uncertainty in a Small Open Economy," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan, 61(1), 168-198. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/imfer.2013.5.

5. Baltagi, B.H., Baskaya, Y.S., Hulagu, T., 2013, "How different are the wage curves for formal and informal workers? Evidence from Turkey," Papers in Regional Science, 92(2), 271-283. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1435-5957.2012.00478.x/abstract.

6. Öğünç, F., Akdoğan, K., Başer, S., Chadwick, M.G., Ertuğ, D., Hulagu, T., Kösem, S., Özmen, M.U., Tekatlı, N., 2013, "Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis," Economic Modelling, 33, July 2013, 312-325. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.04.001.

7. Baltagi, B.H., Baskaya, Y.S., Hulagu, T., 2012, "The Turkish wage curve: Evidence from the Household Labor Force Survey," Economics Letters, 114(1), 128-131. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2011.09.033.

8. Hulagu, T., Sahinoz, S., 2012, "Is Disagreement a Good Proxy for Inflation Uncertainty? Evidence from Turkey," Central Bank Review, 12(1), 53-62. https://www3.tcmb.gov.tr/cbr/index.php/cbreview/article/view/260.

Working Papers

1. 2016, A Hedonic House Price Index for Turkey, with Erdi Kızılkaya, Ali Gencay Özbekler and Pınar Tunar

2. 2012, An Empirical Study on Liquidity and Bank Lending, with Koray Alper and Gürsu Keleş

3. 2011, Informal-Formal Worker Wage Gap in Turkey: Evidence From A Semi-Parametric Approach, with Y. Soner Başkaya

4. 2010, Effects of Monetary Unions on Inequalities, with Devrim İkizler