CV

Education

2009     The University of Texas at Austin, Ph.D. in Economics

2007     The University of Texas at Austin, M.Sc. in Economics

2001     Middle East Technical University, M.Sc. in Statistics

1995     Middle East Technical University, B.Sc. in Statistics

Employment

2020-Present IAMECON, Managing Partner and Chief Statistician

2012-2020 Central Bank of Turkey, Statistics Department, Deputy Executive Director

2016-2019 The Banks Association of Turkey Risk Center, Member of the Board

2009-2012     Central Bank of Turkey, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Economist

2000-2005     Central Bank of Turkey, Statistics Department, Statistician

1999-2000     Military Service

1998-1999     Ata Investment Inc., Analyst

1995-1998     Middle East Technical University, Statistics Department, Research and Teaching Assistant 

Research Interests                        

Data Science, Big Data, Macroeconomics, Monetary Economics, Labor Economics

Publications

Aktug, Emrehan, Devrim Ikizler, Timur Hulagu, “Effects of Small Loans on Bank and Small Business Growth,” U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Advocacy, March 2020, https://advocacy.sba.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/De-Novo-Bank-Formation.pdf 

Yalcin, C., Hulagu, T., 2016, "Micro evidence on foreign exchange liabilities and the exchange rate risk in non-financial firms in Turkey: a descriptive analysis," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Combining micro and macro data for financial stability analysis, volume 41, Bank for International Settlements.

Arslan, Y., Atabek, A., Hulagu, T., Şahinöz, S., 2015, "Expectation Errors, Uncertainty And Economic Activity," Oxford Economic Papers, 67(3), 634-660.

Baskaya, Y.S., Hulagu, T., Kucuk, H., 2013, "Oil Price Uncertainty in a Small Open Economy," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan, 61(1), 168-198.

Baltagi, B.H., Baskaya, Y.S., Hulagu, T., 2013, "How different are the wage curves for formal and informal workers? Evidence from Turkey," Papers in Regional Science, 92(2), 271-283.

Öğünç, F., Akdoğan, K., Başer, S., Chadwick, M.G., Ertuğ, D., Hulagu, T., Kösem, S., Özmen, M.U., Tekatlı, N., 2013, "Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis," Economic Modelling, 33, July 2013, 312-325.

Baltagi, B.H., Baskaya, Y.S., Hulagu, T., 2012, "The Turkish wage curve: Evidence from the Household Labor Force Survey," Economics Letters, 114(1), 128-131.

Hulagu, T., Sahinoz, S., 2012, "Is Disagreement a Good Proxy for Inflation Uncertainty? Evidence from Turkey," Central Bank Review, 12(1), 53-62.

Working Papers

2016, A Hedonic House Price Index for Turkey, with Erdi Kızılkaya, Ali Gencay Özbekler and Pınar Tunar

2012, An Empirical Study on Liquidity and Bank Lending, with Koray Alper and Gürsu Keleş

2011, Informal-Formal Worker Wage Gap in Turkey: Evidence From A Semi-Parametric Approach, with Y. Soner Başkaya

2010, Effects of Monetary Unions on Inequalities, with Devrim İkizler

Software Skills

Python, R, SAS, Matlab, Stata, Fortran, Eviews, LaTeX, VBA

Fellowships and Awards

2006-2009   The University of Texas at Austin, Research and Teaching Assistant Scholarship

2005-2009   Central Bank of Turkey, Ph.D. Fellowship

1995           Ranked 1st among the graduates of the Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Graduate with High Honors

1990-1995   Vehbi Koç Foundation Fellowship