Research
PUBLISHED ARTICLES
The Origins of Monetary Policy Disagreement, with Carlos Madeira and Joao Madeira.
In Review of Economics and Statistics. Accepted September 2023.
Risky Gravity, with Luciana Juvenal.
In Journal of the European Economic Association. Accepted August 2023.
Testing the Predictive Accuracy of COVID-19 Forecasts, with L Coroneo, F Iacone and A Paccagnini.
In International Journal of Forecasting, Volume 39, Issue 2, pages 606-622, April 2023.
Aggregation in Economies with Search Frictions, with Nikos Kokonas.
In Journal of Mathematical Economics, volume 96, October 2021.
Testing for Optimal Monetary Policy via Moment Inequalities, with Laura Coroneo and Valentina Corradi.
In Journal of Applied Econometrics, volume 33, issue 6, pages 780-796, October 2018. Working paper version.
Trade and Synchronization in a Multi-Country Economy, with Luciana Juvenal.
In European Economic Review, volume 92, pages 385–415, February 2017.
Towards a Quantitative Theory of Automatic Stabilizers: the role of demographics, with Alexandre Janiak.
In Journal of Monetary Economics, volume 78, pages 35–49, April 2016.
Inflation and Welfare in Long-run Equilibrium With Firm Dynamics, with Alexandre Janiak.
In Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, volume 43, issue 5, pages 795–834, August 2011.
Eastern Caution, Western Exuberance and Global Imbalances, with Marcus Miller and Lei Zhang.
In Journal of Globalization and Development, volume 2, issue 1, pages 1-38, August 2011.
PUBLISHED POLICY AND OTHER COMMISSIONED REPORTS
The origins of monetary policy disagreement, with Carlos Madeira and Joao Madeira.
In Vox EU CEPR, November 2023.
How Supply Shocks Drive Disagreement in Monetary Policy, with Carlos Madeira and Joao Madeira.
In European Money and Finance Forum (SUERF). October 2023.
Testing the Predictive Accuracy of COVID-19 Forecasts, with L Coroneo, F Iacone and A Paccagnini.
In Vox EU CEPR, February 2022.
External Imbalances and the Wage Curve: the Role of Labour and Product Market Regulation.
In European Economy. Prepared for the European Commission Fellowship initiative on "Challenges to integrated markets".
WORKING PAPERS
The Ins and Outs of Unemployment in General Equilibrium, with Nikos Kokonas. R&R in Economica.
Britain Has Had Enough of Experts? Social Networks and the Brexit Referendum, with Giacomo de Luca and Thilo Huning. Submitted.
Self-fulfilling Labor Wedge Fluctuations and Unemployment Insurance, with Nikos Kokonas. May 2020. Submitted.
Sources of Inequality and the Size of Government, with Weijie Luo and Andrew Pickering. Current version, September 2019. Submitted.
Labor Market Effects of Improved Access to Credit Among the Poor: evidence from Cape Verde, with Paolo Casini and Olivia Riera. Some of our findings are discussed in this post at the Africa Finance Blog.
Export Market Diversification and Productivity Improvements: theory and evidence from Argentinean firms, with Luciana Juvenal.
Family Labor Supply and Aggregate Saving.
Testing Full Consumption Insurance in the Frequency Domain.