Shuhei Kitamura

Upcoming talks

• January 6-7, JSQPS 

• April 11, JADE (discussant)

• May 16, Asian Cliometrics Conference (AClio)

• June 18, Tokyo Keizai University

• June 26, University of Tokyo

• December (tentative), Keio University

Publications

Economics

• Destructive Behavior, Judgment, and Economic Decision-making under Thermal Stress (with I. Almås, M. Auffhammer, T. Bold, I. Bolliger, A. Dembo, S. Hsiang, T. Miguel, and R. Pickmans), The Economic Journal, 2025, 135(672), 2483-2508.

  • • • [NBER Working Paper] [RCT Registry]

      • Media coverage: CNN, National Public Radio (NPR), VoxDev

• Geography and State Fragmentation (with N.-P. Lagerlöf). Journal of the European Economic Association, 2020, 18(4), pp. 1726–1769.

  • • • [Online Appendix] [Natural Borders (an earlier version)]

Other disciplines P=Psychology, PS=Political Science

• The Constructive and Destructive Power of Social Norms in the Presence of Authoritative Influence (with K. Yamada). American Psychologist, 80(3), 345-358, 2025. (P)

  • • • [Online Appendix] [RCT Registry] [Pre-Analysis Plan] [Replication package]

• Now or Later?: The Inter-temporal Decision-making of Electoral Participation (with T. Matsubayashi). Political Behavior, 2022, 45, 1683–1709. (PS)

  • • • [Online Appendix]

Working papers

• Misperceived Social Norms and Political Accountability: Evidence and Theory (with R. Takahashi and K. Yamada) Updated (April, 2026)

  • • • [ISER Working Paper]

• Political Orientation Diverges in Time-Locked Word Responses (with A. S. Ihara) Updated (April, 2026)

  • • • [Earlier versions]

• Battles and Capitals (with N.-P. Lagerlöf) Reject and resubmit

  • • • [ISER Working Paper] [Earlier versions]

• Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Mind and Culture: Evidence from Visual Art

• Tillers of Prosperity: Land Ownership, Reallocation, and Structural Transformation Reject and resubmit at American Economic Review

  • • • [STEG Working Paper] [CJEB Working Paper]

• UFOs: The Political Economy of Unidentified Threats

• Public Media Do Serve the State: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment (with T. Kuroda)

• Loyalty and Treason: Theory and Evidence from Japan's Land Reform

Data

• World Historical Battles Database

Others

• "Towards Transparent Economic Research: Pre-Analysis Plans and Registered Reports". Presentation slides prepared for a tutorial session at the 2nd Japan Association for Development Economics (JADE) Conference.